Result
1:3
29/04/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 2.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (414/507) | 80% (306/382) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 2.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 2.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (414/507) | 80% (306/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (25/52) | 42% (22/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (125/173) | 63% (49/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 67% (16/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.73 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Sugioka D. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Endo K. ⚽, Marcelo Ryan (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Konishi Y. ↓, Harakawa R. ↑,
- 46', Hosoya M. ↓, Kakita Y. ↑,
- 57', Komi Y. ↓, Okubo T. ↑,
- 60', 0 - 2, Sato R. ⚽, Marcelo Ryan (A),
- 67', Sugioka D. ↓, Yamauchi H. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 2, Nakagawa N. ⚽,
- 73', Endo K. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
- 73', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Otani D. C. ↑,
- 85', Nakagawa N. ↓, Shimano R. ↑,
- 85', Tokiwa K. ↓, Ko T. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 3, Sato R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+1', Sato K. ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
- 90+1', Sato R. ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kashiwa Reysol
36.4% | Draw
28.3% | Tokyo
35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kashiwa Reysol's form might have worsened.Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kashiwa Reysol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.27) |
3.32 ↓
(3.47) |
2.69 ↓
(3.04) |
6.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo?
Users Predictions:
Tokyo will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Tokyo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Koizumi Y.
(Yellow Cards)
Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
Watai M.
(Knee Injury)
Yamada Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Knee Injury)
Nagakura M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nagatomo Y.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tawaratsumida K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Tokyo?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Tokyo has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo were as follows:
28.02.2026
Tokyo
-
Kashiwa Reysol
0:2
05.07.2025
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Tokyo
1:0
11.04.2025
Tokyo
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:1
06.07.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Tokyo
3:2
11.05.2024
Tokyo
-
Kashiwa Reysol
3:3
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 34 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | 32 |
| 3 | Machida | 13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Verdy | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 24 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 20:25 | 20 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 20:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Mito | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:28 | 18 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21:26 | 16 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13:26 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23:18 | 26 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 15 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 28:21 | 25 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 20 |
| 6 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Okayama | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18:27 | 18 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14:22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
