Result
2:0
29/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611, DSports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611 |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611 |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611, DSports 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (427/494) | 85% (377/441) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (427/494) | 85% (377/441) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (11/26) | 43% (23/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (80/107) | 79% (88/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 41% (9/22) | 56% (14/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Martinelli ⚽,
- 34', 2 - 0, Serna K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Barrios M. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
- 46', Rojas I. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
- 46', Zuleta M. ↓, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↑,
- 46', Martinelli ↓, Nonato ↑,
- 65', Moreno D. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
- 71', Serna K. ↓, Riquelme Felipe ↑,
- 71', Everaldo ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
- 78', PH Ganso ↓, Lima ↑,
- 78', Thiago Silva ↓, Ignacio ↑,
- 84', Garcia Castillo A. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
66.7% | Draw
20.6% | Once Caldas
12.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fluminense's performance.Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fluminense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Once Caldas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fluminense - Once Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.58) |
4.55 ↑
(3.99) |
7.37 ↑
(5.41) |
6.5%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Once Caldas?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 2 - 50%). Once Caldas (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Recently, Once Caldas has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Fluminense is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fluminense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Once Caldas?
Fluminense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Fluminense?
Once Caldas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Once Caldas were as follows:
01.04.2025
Once Caldas
-
Fluminense
0:1
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Once Caldas
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
