Result
1:4
21/03/2026 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 13
- Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.96 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (524/588) | 76% (194/255) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 3.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (524/588) | 76% (194/255) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (40/59) | 50% (30/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (172/218) | 63% (55/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 44% (7/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.96 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 24 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.07 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.93 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', Castro Espinosa B. D. 🟨,
- 36', Cuesta Santos J. D. 🟨,
- 36', Herrera H. 🟨,
- 45+2', Mejia R. 🟨,
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Castro Espinosa B. D. ⚽, Urena R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 53', Contreras R. 🟨,
- 59', 0 - 2, Silva D. ⚽, Valencia S. (A),
- 60', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
- 60', Gomez P. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
- 62', Silva D. ↓, Viveros S. ↑,
- 66', Garcia M. 🟨,
- 68', 1 - 2, Moreno D. ⚽,
- 72', Quinones J. ↓, Roa A. ↑,
- 72', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Quintero D. ↑,
- 72', Garcia M. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 3, Contreras R. ⚽, Elizalde E. (A),
- 80', Sanchez L. ↓, Alvarado J. ↑,
- 80', Tamayo K. ↓, Patino J. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 4, Llinas A. ⚽, Urena R. (A),
- 84', Valencia S. ↓, Banguero D. ↑,
- 84', Contreras R. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ywcr6cwk
Chances of winning
Once Caldas
38.5% | Draw
29.4% | Millonarios
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millonarios's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Once Caldas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Millonarios, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Once Caldas - Millonarios Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.16) |
3.19 ↑
(3.11) |
2.91 ↓
(3.5) |
7.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Millonarios?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Millonarios will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 1.
- Once Caldas has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Millonarios is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Millonarios may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Once Caldas might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Millonarios?
Once Caldas has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Once Caldas?
Millonarios has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Millonarios were as follows:
29.10.2025
Millonarios
-
Once Caldas
0:0
11.06.2025
Millonarios
-
Once Caldas
2:2
08.06.2025
Once Caldas
-
Millonarios
0:0
11.05.2025
Once Caldas
-
Millonarios
2:2
05.03.2025
Once Caldas
-
Millonarios
1:0
Latest results of Once Caldas
Latest results of Millonarios
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
