Once Caldas vs Rionegro Águilas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Palogrande (Manizales).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 6
Referee: Gracia Benitez L. D. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.66	0.91
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
9	14
Shots on target
1	3
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
8	7
Passes
84% (337/403)	79% (232/293)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66	0.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.69	0.53
Total shots
9	14
Shots on target
1	3
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked Shots
4	5
Shots inside the Box
5	8
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
8	7
Touches in opposition box
16	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
11	13
Passes
84% (337/403)	79% (232/293)
Long passes
54% (27/50)	55% (26/47)
Passes in final third
75% (77/102)	69% (69/100)
Crosses
20% (5/25)	42% (8/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.46	0.93
Throw-ins
18	24
Fouls
14	11
Tackles
79% (15/19)	92% (12/13)
Duels won
41	35
Clearances
20	24
Interceptions
8	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
0.53	0.69
Goals prevented
-0.47	-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Malagon J. 🟨,
21', Sanchez L. 🟨,
24', Alfonzo D. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ⚽, Garcia M. (A),
43', Mejia R. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Rivaldo J. ⚽, Yony Gonzalez (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Malagon J. ↓, Castano J. ↑,
46', Quinones D. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
48', Lopes H. 🟨,
55', Gomez P. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
60', Oliveros A. 🟨,
65', Alfonzo D. ↓, Lozano D. ↑,
65', Benitez Hernandez R. A. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
69', Sanchez L. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
74', Rivaldo J. ↓, Obregon J. ↑,
74', Blanco Betancur C. ↓, Mena J. ↑,
75', Tamayo K. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
88', Yony Gonzalez ↓, Morelo W. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3bvk9tvw

Chances of winning

Once Caldas
52.9%

Draw
28.8%

Rionegro Águilas
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

28.9%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

27.9%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Once Caldas's performance.

Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rionegro Águilas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Once Caldas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rionegro Águilas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Once Caldas - Rionegro Águilas Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.06)	3.31 ↑ (3.24)	5.21 ↑ (3.65)	5% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Rionegro Águilas?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 2.
Once Caldas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Rionegro Águilas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Rionegro Águilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Once Caldas could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Rionegro Águilas?

Once Caldas has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Once Caldas?

Rionegro Águilas has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Rionegro Águilas were as follows:

22.02.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Once Caldas 0:1

20.07.2024 Once Caldas - Rionegro Águilas 1:0

25.01.2024 Rionegro Águilas - Once Caldas 1:0

04.08.2023 Rionegro Águilas - Once Caldas 2:1

11.02.2023 Once Caldas - Rionegro Águilas 1:2

Latest results of Once Caldas

06.08.2025 Patriotas - Once Caldas Postponed ✺

03.08.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas 2:1 ✺

30.07.2025 Once Caldas - Patriotas 6:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Once Caldas - Junior Barranquilla 2:2 ✺

23.07.2025 Once Caldas - San Antonio Bulo Bulo 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Rionegro Águilas

03.08.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Fortaleza CEIF 2:2 ✺

26.07.2025 América de Cali - Rionegro Águilas 2:1 ✺

22.07.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas 0:0 ✺

19.07.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Junior Barranquilla 2:3 ✺

13.07.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Rionegro Águilas 0:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	6	4	2	0	14:6	8	14
2	Atl. Nacional	6	3	2	1	11:5	6	11
3	Llaneros	6	3	2	1	6:2	4	11
4	Fortaleza	6	2	4	0	8:6	2	10
5	Ind. Medellin	6	3	1	2	8:7	1	10
6	Deportes Tolima	6	3	1	2	5:4	1	10
7	Santa Fe	6	2	3	1	7:6	1	9
8	Pereira	6	2	2	2	6:6	0	8
9	Bucaramanga	4	2	1	1	8:6	2	7
10	Envigado	5	1	3	1	6:6	0	6
11	Chico	6	1	3	2	6:7	-1	6
12	La Equidad	6	1	3	2	3:5	-2	6
13	Dep. Cali	6	1	3	2	7:11	-4	6
14	Dep. Pasto	3	1	2	0	6:5	1	5
15	U. Magdalena	5	1	2	2	3:7	-4	5
16	Alianza	6	1	2	3	5:10	-5	5
17	America De Cali	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4
18	Aguilas	6	0	4	2	6:8	-2	4
19	Once Caldas	5	0	2	3	6:10	-4	2
20	Millonarios	4	0	1	3	3:6	-3	1

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )