Once Caldas vs Rionegro Águilas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Once Caldas - Rionegro Águilas
Result
1:1
09/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 6
  • Referee: Gracia Benitez L. D. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.91
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
87
Passes
84% (337/403)79% (232/293)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.690.53
Total shots
914
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
87
Touches in opposition box
1624
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
84% (337/403)79% (232/293)
Long passes
54% (27/50)55% (26/47)
Passes in final third
75% (77/102)69% (69/100)
Crosses
20% (5/25)42% (8/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.460.93
Throw-ins
1824
Fouls
1411
Tackles
79% (15/19)92% (12/13)
Duels won
4135
Clearances
2024
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.530.69
Goals prevented
-0.47-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', Malagon J. 🟨,
  • 21', Sanchez L. 🟨,
  • 24', Alfonzo D. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Zapata Ramirez J. A. , Garcia M. (A),
  • 43', Mejia R. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Rivaldo J. , Yony Gonzalez (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Malagon J. , Castano J. ,
  • 46', Quinones D. , Barrios M. ,
  • 48', Lopes H. 🟨,
  • 55', Gomez P. , Zuleta M. ,
  • 60', Oliveros A. 🟨,
  • 65', Alfonzo D. , Lozano D. ,
  • 65', Benitez Hernandez R. A. , Ramirez M. ,
  • 69', Sanchez L. , Moreno D. ,
  • 74', Rivaldo J. , Obregon J. ,
  • 74', Blanco Betancur C. , Mena J. ,
  • 75', Tamayo K. , Palacios L. ,
  • 88', Yony Gonzalez , Morelo W. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3bvk9tvw

Chances of winning


Once Caldas
52.9%
Draw
28.8%
Rionegro Águilas
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 28.9% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1% 27.9% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Once Caldas's performance.
  • Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rionegro Águilas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Once Caldas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rionegro Águilas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Once Caldas - Rionegro Águilas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (2.06)
    3.31
    (3.24)
    5.21
    (3.65)
    5%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Rionegro Águilas?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 2.
    • Once Caldas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Rionegro Águilas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Rionegro Águilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Once Caldas could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Rionegro Águilas were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Once Caldas 0:1
    20.07.2024 Once Caldas - Rionegro Águilas 1:0
    25.01.2024 Rionegro Águilas - Once Caldas 1:0
    04.08.2023 Rionegro Águilas - Once Caldas 2:1
    11.02.2023 Once Caldas - Rionegro Águilas 1:2
    Latest results of Once Caldas
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior962120:101020
    2Ind. Medellin961216:10619
    3Deportes Tolima952210:6417
    4Atl. Nacional944115:8716
    5Fortaleza936013:9415
    6Llaneros94239:9014
    7Bucaramanga741214:8613
    8Pereira93339:9012
    9Santa Fe93339:10-112
    10Alianza93339:12-312
    11Envigado92438:9-110
    12Chico92437:9-210
    13La Equidad92436:9-310
    14Dep. Cali924311:15-410
    15U. Magdalena92258:15-78
    16Millonarios821510:12-27
    17Aguilas91449:14-57
    18Dep. Pasto71338:10-26
    19Once Caldas81348:12-46
    20America De Cali71245:8-35

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )