Result
2:0
18/04/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 17
- Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (511/569) | 78% (238/305) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (511/569) | 78% (238/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (39/59) | 48% (25/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (144/180) | 61% (42/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.71 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 100% (17/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 24 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.63 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Salas J. ⚽, Arroyo A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Salas J. 🟨,
- 58', Cuero S. 🟨,
- 64', Uruena B. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
- 64', Roa J. ↓, Avalo Trejos J. E. ↑,
- 68', Suarez Chalare F. A. ↓, Obregon J. ↑,
- 72', Avalo Trejos J. E. 🟥,
- 74', Salas J. ↓, Rivas Torres R. D. ↑,
- 79', Herrera J. 🟨,
- 85', Velasquez J. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 0, Lopes H. (Own goal),
- 88', Ricaurte A. 🟨,
- 89', Ricaurte A. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
- 90', Herrera J. ↓, Pulicastro F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza CEIF 42.4% | Draw 30.2% | Rionegro Águilas 27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Fortaleza CEIF - Rionegro Águilas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.19 ↑ (2.06) |
3.09 ↓ (3.14) |
3.43 ↓ (3.72) |
7.2% (7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Rionegro Águilas?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 11).
- Recent form of Fortaleza has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Rionegro Águilas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Fortaleza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Fortaleza could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Rionegro Águilas?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Rionegro Águilas has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Rionegro Águilas were as follows:
03.08.2025
Rionegro Águilas
-
Fortaleza CEIF
2:2
17.02.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Rionegro Águilas
2:1
14.11.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Rionegro Águilas
0:1
28.04.2024
Rionegro Águilas
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:1
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Latest results of Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior ✔ | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
| 4 | America De Cali ✔ | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas ✔ | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 | Ind. Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )