Result
0:3
11/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Bautista J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Belarus | Sport TV |
Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.58 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (332/407) | 77% (245/318) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (332/407) | 77% (245/318) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (28/55) | 42% (25/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (64/107) | 59% (53/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 60% (3/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.95 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.64 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Castrillon B. ⚽, Navia J. (A),
- 9', Navia J. 🟨,
- 33', Higgins A. ↓, Obregon J. ↑,
- 45', 0 - 2, Bacca C. ⚽, Castrillon B. (A),
- 45+4', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ricaurte A. ↓, Avalo Trejos J. E. ↑,
- 46', Hernandez D. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
- 58', Bacca C. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
- 58', Canchimbo J. ↓, Perez K. ↑,
- 64', Navia J. ↓, Guerrero J. ↑,
- 68', Suarez Chalare F. A. ↓, Uruena B. ↑,
- 72', Castrillon B. ↓, Rivera H. ↑,
- 73', Sarmiento J. ↓, Muriel L. ↑,
- 73', Pineda J. 🟨,
- 82', Guerrero J. 🟨,
- 82', Silveira M. 🟨,
- 84', Pineda J. 🟨,
- 88', 0 - 3, Muriel L. ⚽, Herrera E. (A),
- 90', Rivaldo J. ↓, Roa J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rionegro Águilas 43.8% | Draw 30.8% | Junior Barranquilla 25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rionegro Águilas's performance.Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Junior Barranquilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Junior Barranquilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rionegro Águilas - Junior Barranquilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.14 ↓ (2.55) |
3.04 ↓ (3.19) |
3.67 ↑ (2.75) |
7% (6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rionegro Águilas - Junior Barranquilla?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Junior will win (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Junior may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Rionegro Águilas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Junior Barranquilla?
Rionegro Águilas has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Rionegro Águilas?
Junior Barranquilla has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rionegro Águilas - Junior Barranquilla were as follows:
19.07.2025
Rionegro Águilas
-
Junior Barranquilla
2:3
01.02.2025
Junior Barranquilla
-
Rionegro Águilas
2:2
22.09.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Rionegro Águilas
3:4
08.03.2024
Rionegro Águilas
-
Junior Barranquilla
0:2
29.11.2023
Rionegro Águilas
-
Junior Barranquilla
1:1
Latest results of Rionegro Águilas
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )