Result
4:2
01/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Flohockey |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 14.29% (4/28) | 8.33% (2/24) |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 91.67% (22/24) | 88.89% (24/27) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 16.67% (1/6) | 14.29% (1/7) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 85.71% (6/7) | 83.33% (5/6) |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 01:31, 1 - 0, Jamsen A. (G),
- 07:58, 1 - 1, Leppanen A. (G), Marjala V. (A), Griffith S. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 12:23, 2 - 1, Wright J. (G), Millar J. (A), Jamsen A. (A2)
- 19:19, 2 - 2, Samanski J. (G), Jarventie R. (A), Carfagna D. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 01:47, 3 - 2, Ziemmer K. (G), Brown L. (A), Bolduc S. (A2)
- 19:33, 4 - 2, Guttman C. (G), Lee A. (A), Hicketts J. (A2)
Chances of winning
Ontario Reign
41.6% | Draw
22.4% | Bakersfield Condors
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ontario Reign has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Bakersfield Condors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (-2%)
Ontario Reign - Bakersfield Condors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.06) |
4.15 ↑
(4) |
2.6 ↓
(2.82) |
7.6%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Ontario Reign - Bakersfield Condors?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Bakersfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ontario has had a series of away games.
- Ontario is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 61:53. (average 3.1:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ontario won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:31. (average 3.6:3.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ontario Reign won against Bakersfield Condors?
Ontario Reign has won 19 of their last 28 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bakersfield Condors won against Ontario Reign?
Bakersfield Condors has won 9 of their last 28 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ontario Reign - Bakersfield Condors were as follows:
07.02.2026
Ontario Reign
-
Bakersfield Condors
4:3
06.02.2026
Bakersfield Condors
-
Ontario Reign
3:4
11.01.2026
Bakersfield Condors
-
Ontario Reign
3:0
17.12.2025
Bakersfield Condors
-
Ontario Reign
0:4
22.11.2025
Bakersfield Condors
-
Ontario Reign
2:3
Latest results of Ontario Reign
Latest results of Bakersfield Condors
AHL Table
2025/26Atlantic Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Providence Bruins | 54 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 177:114 | 85 |
| 2 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton | 57 | 31 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 189:150 | 79 |
| 3 | Charlotte Checkers | 56 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 188:157 | 71 |
| 4 | Hershey Bears | 56 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 160:172 | 60 |
| 5 | Bridgeport Islanders | 56 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 165:174 | 54 |
| 6 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 55 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 162:183 | 54 |
| 7 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 56 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 151:196 | 51 |
| 8 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 55 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 149:185 | 50 |
Central Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Grand Rapids Griffins | 56 | 36 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 196:111 | 90 |
| 2 | Chicago Wolves | 52 | 21 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 166:160 | 67 |
| 3 | Manitoba Moose | 50 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 131:143 | 56 |
| 4 | Texas Stars | 53 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 155:165 | 56 |
| 5 | Milwaukee Admirals | 54 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 152:165 | 51 |
| 6 | Rockford IceHogs | 56 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 152:194 | 44 |
| 7 | Iowa Wild | 54 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 126:170 | 43 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ontario Reign | 55 | 28 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 188:150 | 76 |
| 2 | Colorado Eagles | 55 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 178:139 | 74 |
| 3 | San Jose Barracuda | 54 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 188:164 | 72 |
| 4 | Bakersfield Condors | 57 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 192:178 | 70 |
| 5 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 54 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 180:169 | 63 |
| 6 | San Diego Gulls | 55 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 164:161 | 62 |
| 7 | Henderson Silver Knights | 52 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 173:166 | 58 |
| 8 | Tucson Roadrunners | 55 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 171:182 | 58 |
| 9 | Calgary Wranglers | 56 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 151:204 | 52 |
| 10 | Abbotsford Canucks | 57 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 132:191 | 48 |
North Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Laval Rocket | 59 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 192:157 | 77 |
| 2 | Syracuse Crunch | 55 | 31 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 180:135 | 72 |
| 3 | Cleveland Monsters | 56 | 17 | 13 | 7 | 19 | 164:167 | 67 |
| 4 | Toronto Marlies | 55 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 176:179 | 63 |
| 5 | Rochester Americans | 54 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 166:168 | 57 |
| 6 | Belleville Senators | 58 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 181:214 | 52 |
| 7 | Utica Comets | 55 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 143:175 | 49 |
Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )
