Ontario Reign vs Bakersfield Condors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey AHL
Result
4:2
01/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2824
Shooting PCT
14.29% (4/28)8.33% (2/24)
Goalkeeper Saves
2224
Saves PCT
91.67% (22/24)88.89% (24/27)
Penalties
76
PIM
2515
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
16.67% (1/6)14.29% (1/7)
Pen. Killing PCT
85.71% (6/7)83.33% (5/6)
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 01:31, 1 - 0, Jamsen A. (G),
  • 07:58, 1 - 1, Leppanen A. (G), Marjala V. (A), Griffith S. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 12:23, 2 - 1, Wright J. (G), Millar J. (A), Jamsen A. (A2)
  • 19:19, 2 - 2, Samanski J. (G), Jarventie R. (A), Carfagna D. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 01:47, 3 - 2, Ziemmer K. (G), Brown L. (A), Bolduc S. (A2)
  • 19:33, 4 - 2, Guttman C. (G), Lee A. (A), Hicketts J. (A2)

Chances of winning


Ontario Reign
41.6%		Draw
22.4%		Bakersfield Condors
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 22.9% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 23.9% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ontario Reign has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Bakersfield Condors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (-2%)
    •

    Ontario Reign - Bakersfield Condors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.23 ↑
    (2.06)    		 4.15 ↑
    (4)    		 2.6 ↓
    (2.82)    		 7.6%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for Ontario Reign - Bakersfield Condors?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Bakersfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Ontario has had a series of away games.
    • Ontario is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 61:53. (average 3.1:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ontario won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:31. (average 3.6:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ontario Reign - Bakersfield Condors were as follows:
    07.02.2026 Ontario Reign - Bakersfield Condors 4:3
    06.02.2026 Bakersfield Condors - Ontario Reign 3:4
    11.01.2026 Bakersfield Condors - Ontario Reign 3:0
    17.12.2025 Bakersfield Condors - Ontario Reign 0:4
    22.11.2025 Bakersfield Condors - Ontario Reign 2:3
    Latest results of Ontario Reign
    22.02.2026 Tucson Roadrunners - Ontario Reign 3:5
    21.02.2026 Tucson Roadrunners - Ontario Reign 2:4 ✺
    18.02.2026 Ontario Reign - Abbotsford Canucks 4:2
    16.02.2026 Abbotsford Canucks - Ontario Reign 5:3
    14.02.2026 Abbotsford Canucks - Ontario Reign 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Bakersfield Condors
    28.02.2026 Coachella Valley Firebirds - Bakersfield Condors 3:2
    25.02.2026 Colorado Eagles - Bakersfield Condors 3:4
    24.02.2026 Colorado Eagles - Bakersfield Condors 4:2 ✺
    20.02.2026 Bakersfield Condors - Calgary Wranglers 4:5
    18.02.2026 Bakersfield Condors - Coachella Valley Firebirds 4:3
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 633712113215:14099
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 64346816207:16988
    3Charlotte Checkers64308521212:17481
    4Hershey Bears64226927185:20765
    5Bridgeport Islanders64226828190:19964
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms64199630191:21662
    7Springfield Thunderbirds63233829175:21760
    8Hartford Wolf Pack63204732169:21655


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 64388513217:13797
    2Chicago Wolves622281319193:19873
    3Texas Stars63239427193:20468
    4Manitoba Moose62264626152:17866
    5Milwaukee Admirals621711727178:18363
    6Rockford IceHogs63187533174:20955
    7Iowa Wild61166831149:19152


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign65329519211:17787
    2Colorado Eagles632981016210:16684
    3San Jose Barracuda62299420217:18780
    4Bakersfield Condors632681019213:19878
    5Henderson Silver Knights642941120230:20177
    6Coachella Valley Firebirds622412521210:18977
    7San Diego Gulls632361222191:19570
    8Tucson Roadrunners631812924202:21169
    9Calgary Wranglers651191431178:24554
    10Abbotsford Canucks65158636151:22052


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 662811720211:17585
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 64363520214:16483
    3Toronto Marlies642571022206:20074
    4Cleveland Monsters642013724189:19873
    5Rochester Americans61216925188:19363
    6Belleville Senators65196931203:23459
    7Utica Comets63204930168:20157

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
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