Paysandu vs Operário Ferroviario – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Belem).

Serie B Superbet - Round 23
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.67	1.00
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
13	7
Shots on target
1	4
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
7	3
Passes
85% (263/311)	81% (291/358)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67	1.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.99	1.26
Total shots
13	7
Shots on target
1	4
Shots off target
10	1
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
7	3
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
15	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
16	7
Passes
85% (263/311)	81% (291/358)
Long passes
48% (22/46)	39% (22/57)
Passes in final third
62% (53/86)	65% (64/98)
Crosses
26% (9/34)	10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.78	0.65
Throw-ins
20	19
Fouls
8	16
Tackles
64% (7/11)	92% (12/13)
Duels won
47	32
Clearances
12	31
Interceptions
9	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
1.26	0.99
Goals prevented
-0.74	-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Denner ↓, Andre Lima ↑,
27', 1 - 0, Diogo Oliveira ⚽, Mauricio Garcez (A),
40', 1 - 1, Neto Paraiba ⚽, Boschilia (A),
45+2', Thiaguinho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gabriel Souza ↓, Diogo Mateus ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Boschilia (Pen),
53', Thiaguinho ↓, Andre ↑,
54', Miranda 🟨,
61', Kleiton ↓, Vinicius Mingotti ↑,
61', Neto Paraiba ↓, Leo Silva ↑,
68', Ramon Martinez ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
76', Reverson 🟨,
81', Andre 🟨,
81', Andre Lima ↓, Dudu Vieira ↑,
81', Marlon Douglas ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
82', Edilson ↓, Bryan Borges ↑,
85', Cristiano ↓, Jefferson ↑,
89', Diogo Mateus 🟨,

Chances of winning

Paysandu
40%

Draw
31.2%

Operário Ferroviario
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

28.6%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

29.5%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Paysandu - Operário Ferroviario Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.38)	2.99 ↓ (3.25)	3.3 ↑ (2.88)	7% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Paysandu - Operário Ferroviario?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Operário PR will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Operário PR (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1.
Paysandu is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Operário PR has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Operário PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Paysandu could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Paysandu: Dudu Vieira (Inactive) Matheus Vargas (Inactive) Ronaldo Henrique (Yellow Cards) Rossi (Inactive)
There will not play in Operário PR: Gabriel Feliciano (Injury) Indio (Yellow Cards) Joseph (Yellow Cards) Rodrigo Rodrigues (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Paysandu: Edinho (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Operário PR: Filipe Claudino (Inactive) Jean Lucas (Injury) Marcos Paulo (Inactive) Vinicius Mingotti (Inactive) Vitor Pernambuco (Inactive)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Operário Ferroviario?

Paysandu has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Operário Ferroviario won against Paysandu?

Operário Ferroviario has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Paysandu - Operário Ferroviario were as follows:

19.04.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Paysandu 0:0

20.10.2024 Operário Ferroviario - Paysandu 1:1

30.06.2024 Paysandu - Operário Ferroviario 1:1

07.06.2023 Operário Ferroviario - Paysandu 0:0

Latest results of Paysandu

17.08.2025 Chapecoense - Paysandu 2:0 ✺

11.08.2025 Paysandu - Vila Nova 0:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Paysandu 1:1 ✺

28.07.2025 Paysandu - Athletic Club 1:1 ✺

23.07.2025 Amazonas - Paysandu 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Operário Ferroviario

19.08.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Avaí 0:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Goiás - Operário Ferroviario 2:1 ✺

01.08.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Criciúma 1:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Ferroviária - Operário Ferroviario 0:0 ✺

22.07.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Atlético Goianiense 3:0 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Avai	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Ceara	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Sport Recife	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Goias	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Nautico	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	CRB	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Criciuma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Vila Nova FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Juventude	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Ponte Preta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Fortaleza	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Atletico GO	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	America MG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Botafogo SP	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Londrina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sao Bernardo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cuiaba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Operario-PR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Novorizontino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Athletic Club	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
      Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )