Result
2:0
29/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Referee: Abrosimov I. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (471/547) | 75% (244/324) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (471/547) | 75% (244/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (35/56) | 33% (13/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (87/126) | 66% (72/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Matheus Alves 🟨,
- 41', Thompson J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Guzina G. ↓, Alexandre Jesus ↑,
- 55', 1 - 0, Khotulev D. (Own goal),
- 60', Lukin M. 🟨,
- 64', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,
- 65', Matheus Alves ↓, Villagra R. ↑,
- 71', Popovic M. ↓, Musaev T. ↑,
- 83', Du Queiroz ↓, Kamilov V. ↑,
- 83', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Ignatjev I. ↑,
- 83', Kvekveskiri I. ↓, Bolotov E. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 0, Musaev T. ⚽, Glebov K. (A),
- 86', Glebov K. ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
- 87', Krugovoy D. ↓, Henrique Carmo ↑,
- 90+5', Gurluk E. ↓, Savelyev M. ↑,
Chances of winning
CSKA Moscow
67.4% | Draw
19.5% | Orenburg
13.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
CSKA Moscow - Orenburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↑
(1.4) |
4.88 ↑
(4.5) |
7.25 ↓
(8.2) |
5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow - Orenburg?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. CSKA will win (votes: 5 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. CSKA (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - CSKA (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2 - CSKA (3.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. CSKA (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 3.
- CSKA has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Orenburg has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, CSKA is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in CSKA: Di Luciano R.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 35:11. (average 2.2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, CSKA won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:8. (average 2.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has CSKA Moscow won against Orenburg?
CSKA Moscow has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against CSKA Moscow?
Orenburg has won 0 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CSKA Moscow - Orenburg were as follows:
21.07.2025
Orenburg
-
CSKA Moscow
0:0
12.04.2025
Orenburg
-
CSKA Moscow
0:2
04.08.2024
CSKA Moscow
-
Orenburg
5:1
02.03.2024
CSKA Moscow
-
Orenburg
1:1
02.11.2023
CSKA Moscow
-
Orenburg
3:1
Latest results of CSKA Moscow
Latest results of Orenburg
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:13 | 26 | 43 |
| 2 | Zenit | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 35:12 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 41:24 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 36 |
| 5 | Baltika | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 24:8 | 16 | 35 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
| 7 | Akhmat Grozny | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 24 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 23 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 18 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20:37 | -17 | 17 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 13:30 | -17 | 14 |
| 16 | Sochi | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 18:44 | -26 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
