Orenburg vs Fakel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
15/03/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • RUSSIA: Premier League - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
kazakhstanKazakhstanQ Football, Q Sport International
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3, Arena Sport 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.45
Ball Possession
67%33%
Goal Attempts
176
Shots on Goal
72
Shots off Goal
73
Blocked Shots
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
72
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
11
Goalkeeper Saves
26
Free Kicks
1316
Offsides
10
Fouls
1613
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
2620
Touches in the Opposition Box
318
Passes
75% (290/388)58% (109/189)
Passes in the final third
72% (120/167)48% (35/73)
Crosses
23% (7/30)42% (5/12)
Tackles
80% (12/15)57% (8/14)
Clearances Total
2051
Interceptions
68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Basic I. 🟨,
  • 44', Ivlev A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ivlev A. , Mertens D. ,
  • 53', Mertens D. 🟥,
  • 58', Motpan N. , Brahimi M. ,
  • 58', Iljin V. , Yakimov V. ,
  • 60', Basic I. , Savelyev M. ,
  • 67', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,
  • 69', Tataev A. 🟨,
  • 74', Saharkhizan S. , Gurluk E. ,
  • 83', Kalinin I. , Alshin I. ,
  • 89', Savelyev M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Lomovitskiy A. , Shchetinin M. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, Bozhin S. (Own goal),
  • 90+6', Mansilla B. , Kovalenko A. ,

Chances of winning


Orenburg
38.9%
Draw
30.1%
Fakel
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 29.1% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Orenburg - Fakel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.48)
    3.24
    (3.38)
    3.15
    (3.16)
    2.5%
    (1.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Orenburg won 2.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Orenburg: Florentin G. (Injury) Malykh A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Fakel: Yakimov V. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Fakel: Kashtanov A. (Inactive)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Orenburg won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:11 (average 1.5:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Orenburg won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Fakel were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Fakel - Orenburg 1:0
    31.03.2024 Fakel - Orenburg 0:0
    21.10.2023 Orenburg - Fakel 1:2
    21.09.2023 Orenburg - Fakel 1:0
    29.08.2023 Fakel - Orenburg 0:1
    Latest results of Orenburg
    08.03.2025 Orenburg - Rostov 1:2
    02.03.2025 Spartak Moscow - Orenburg 2:0
    06.02.2025 Orenburg - KAMAZ 0:0
    19.01.2025 Orenburg - Chelyabinsk 0:1
    08.12.2024 Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg 1:0
    Latest results of Fakel
    08.03.2025 Fakel - Zenit 0:2
    02.03.2025 Khimki - Fakel 1:0
    06.02.2025 Torpedo Moscow - Fakel 1:2
    08.12.2024 Fakel - CSKA Moscow 0:1
    01.12.2024 Dynamo Makhachkala - Fakel 0:0
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Krasnodar23164348:163252
    2Zenit23156243:162751
    3Lokomotiv Moscow23128349:321744
    4Baltika231110232:112143
    5CSKA Moscow23133736:251142
    6Spartak Moscow23125637:31641
    7Rubin Kazan2396823:25-233
    8Dynamo Moscow2387840:33731
    9Akhmat Grozny2386927:29-230
    10FK Rostov23671018:25-725
    11Akron Togliatti23571128:40-1222
    12Dynamo Makhachkala23571114:29-1522
    13Krylya Sovetov23561223:42-1921
    14Pari NN23621518:37-1920
    15Orenburg23471224:36-1219
    16Sochi23231820:53-339

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL