Orenburg vs Fakel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian Premier League Orenburg - Fakel
Result
1:0
15/03/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • RUSSIA: Premier League - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
kazakhstanKazakhstanQ Football, Q Sport International
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3, Arena Sport 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.45
Ball Possession
67%33%
Goal Attempts
176
Shots on Goal
72
Shots off Goal
73
Blocked Shots
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
72
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
11
Goalkeeper Saves
26
Free Kicks
1316
Offsides
10
Fouls
1613
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
2620
Touches in the Opposition Box
318
Passes
75% (290/388)58% (109/189)
Passes in the final third
72% (120/167)48% (35/73)
Crosses
23% (7/30)42% (5/12)
Tackles
80% (12/15)57% (8/14)
Clearances Total
2051
Interceptions
68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Basic I. 🟨,
  • 44', Ivlev A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ivlev A. , Mertens D. ,
  • 53', Mertens D. 🟥,
  • 58', Motpan N. , Brahimi M. ,
  • 58', Iljin V. , Yakimov V. ,
  • 60', Basic I. , Savelyev M. ,
  • 67', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,
  • 69', Tataev A. 🟨,
  • 74', Saharkhizan S. , Gurluk E. ,
  • 83', Kalinin I. , Alshin I. ,
  • 89', Savelyev M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Lomovitskiy A. , Shchetinin M. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, Bozhin S. (Own goal),
  • 90+6', Mansilla B. , Kovalenko A. ,

Chances of winning


Orenburg
38.9%
Draw
30.1%
Fakel
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 29.1% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Orenburg - Fakel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.48)
    3.24
    (3.38)
    3.15
    (3.16)
    2.5%
    (1.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Orenburg won 2.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Orenburg: Florentin G. (Injury) Malykh A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Fakel: Yakimov V. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Fakel: Kashtanov A. (Inactive)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Orenburg won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:11 (average 1.5:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Orenburg won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Fakel were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Fakel - Orenburg 1:0
    31.03.2024 Fakel - Orenburg 0:0
    21.10.2023 Orenburg - Fakel 1:2
    21.09.2023 Orenburg - Fakel 1:0
    29.08.2023 Fakel - Orenburg 0:1
    Latest results of Orenburg
    08.03.2025 Orenburg - Rostov 1:2
    02.03.2025 Spartak Moscow - Orenburg 2:0
    06.02.2025 Orenburg - KAMAZ 0:0
    19.01.2025 Orenburg - Chelyabinsk 0:1
    08.12.2024 Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg 1:0
    Latest results of Fakel
    08.03.2025 Fakel - Zenit 0:2
    02.03.2025 Khimki - Fakel 1:0
    06.02.2025 Torpedo Moscow - Fakel 1:2
    08.12.2024 Fakel - CSKA Moscow 0:1
    01.12.2024 Dynamo Makhachkala - Fakel 0:0
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lokomotiv Moscow11003:033
    2Krasnodar11003:033
    3Rubin Kazan11002:023
    4Zenit11002:113
    5Spartak Moscow11001:013
    6Baltika10101:101
    7Dynamo Moscow10101:101
    8Krylya Sovetov10101:101
    9Akron Togliatti10101:101
    10Orenburg10100:001
    11CSKA Moscow10100:001
    12FK Rostov10011:2-10
    13Dynamo Makhachkala10010:1-10
    14Akhmat Grozny10010:2-20
    15Pari NN10010:3-30
    16Sochi10010:3-30

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL