Result
1:1
31/08/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 27
- Referee: Cabrera R. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (360/428) | 74% (160/216) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 3 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (360/428) | 74% (160/216) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (22/38) | 52% (26/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (80/121) | 52% (23/44) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/32) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Olinick A. 🟨,
- 39', Caicedo B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', Caicedo B. ↓, Bermudez M. ↑,
- 58', Bianchi O. ↓, Vinan B. ↑,
- 61', 0 - 1, Bustos B. (Own goal),
- 62', Rodriguez A. ↓, Mancinelli L. ↑,
- 62', Luna Tobar C. ↓, Morocho S. ↑,
- 69', Piedra M. ↓, Leguizamon N. ↑,
- 69', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 75', Velasco P. 🟨,
- 77', Maccari M. 🟨,
- 82', Maccari M. ↓, Solis Jaramillo M. A. ↑,
- 83', Mena A. 🟨,
- 83', Romero N. ↓, Quinonez B. ↑,
- 83', Mena A. ↓, Vasquez S. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 1, Morocho S. ⚽, Mancinelli L. (A),
- 90+7', Velasco P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Cuenca
46.2% | Draw
30.2% | Orense
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Cuenca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Deportivo Cuenca - Orense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↑
(1.88) |
3.01 ↓
(3.35) |
3.95 ↓
(4.08) |
8.4%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca - Orense?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 1.
- Deportivo Cuenca is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Orense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Deportivo Cuenca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Deportivo Cuenca might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Orense?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Deportivo Cuenca?
Orense has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cuenca - Orense were as follows:
09.05.2025
Orense
-
Deportivo Cuenca
1:0
09.08.2024
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Orense
1:2
10.03.2024
Orense
-
Deportivo Cuenca
1:1
03.09.2023
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Orense
1:0
07.04.2023
Orense
-
Deportivo Cuenca
2:0
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 | Macara | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 44 |
| 10 | Aucas | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 42 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:48 | -14 | 35 |
| 12 | Delfin | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 28:48 | -20 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
