Orense vs Deportivo Cuenca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio 9 de Mayo (Machala).

Liga Pro - Round 12
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.94	0.16
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
13	3
Shots on target
5	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
82% (341/416)	78% (232/299)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94	0.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.94	0.00
Total shots
13	3
Shots on target
5	0
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
2	0
Shots inside the Box
8	0
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
23	6
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
7	12
Passes
82% (341/416)	78% (232/299)
Long passes
57% (17/30)	45% (26/58)
Passes in final third
72% (98/136)	57% (31/54)
Crosses
29% (6/21)	28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.75	0.12
Throw-ins
19	25
Fouls
12	7
Tackles
82% (9/11)	67% (12/18)
Duels won
45	35
Clearances
12	29
Interceptions
8	10
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	4
xGOT faced
0.00	1.94
Goals prevented
0.00	0.94

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Estupinan L. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
64', Calderon R. ↓, Moreno K. ↑,
65', Vasquez S. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
65', Herrera A. ↓, Mena A. ↑,
78', Molina N. ↓, Luna R. ↑,
80', Chacon J. 🟨,
80', Mancinelli L. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
80', Lopez A. ↓, Solis Jaramillo M. A. ↑,
80', Chacon J. ↓, Piedra M. ↑,
82', Solis Jaramillo M. A. 🟨,
82', 1 - 0, Parrales M. ⚽,
84', Parrales M. 🟨,
86', Caicedo B. ↓, Olinick A. ↑,
89', Luna R. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Orense
53.6%

Draw
27.8%

Deportivo Cuenca
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

30.9%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

31.3%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orense's performance.

Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Cuenca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Cuenca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Orense - Deportivo Cuenca Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.3)	3.38 ↑ (3)	4.97 ↑ (3.23)	5.8% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Orense - Deportivo Cuenca?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Orense will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Orense (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Orense could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Orense won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Deportivo Cuenca?

Orense has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Orense?

Deportivo Cuenca has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - Deportivo Cuenca were as follows:

09.08.2024 Deportivo Cuenca - Orense 1:2

10.03.2024 Orense - Deportivo Cuenca 1:1

03.09.2023 Deportivo Cuenca - Orense 1:0

07.04.2023 Orense - Deportivo Cuenca 2:0

15.10.2022 Orense - Deportivo Cuenca 1:0

Latest results of Orense

04.05.2025 Delfín - Orense 0:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Orense - Independiente del Valle 1:2 ✺

20.04.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Orense 2:0 ✺

14.04.2025 Orense - Barcelona Guayaquil 3:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Orense - Vinotinto 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca

02.05.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Manta 2:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Vinotinto - Deportivo Cuenca 0:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec 0:1 ✺

10.04.2025 Deportivo Macará - Deportivo Cuenca 0:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca 4:0 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	24	14	8	2	43:19	24	50
2	Barcelona SC	24	13	5	6	37:27	10	44
3	LDU Quito	24	12	7	5	40:23	17	43
4	Aucas	24	11	5	8	33:33	0	38
5	Orense	24	11	5	8	26:27	-1	38
6	Libertad	24	10	7	7	36:31	5	37
7	U. Catolica	24	9	8	7	45:32	13	35
8	Dep. Cuenca	23	10	5	8	27:24	3	35
9	Emelec	23	8	7	8	22:27	-5	31
10	Delfin	24	6	10	8	24:34	-10	28
11	EL Nacional	24	6	7	11	27:35	-8	25
12	Tecnico U	24	6	7	11	24:34	-10	25
13	Vinotinto	24	6	6	12	29:34	-5	24
14	Macara	24	5	9	10	21:26	-5	24
15	Manta	24	5	9	10	30:41	-11	24
16	Mushuc Runa	24	4	5	15	26:43	-17	17

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )