Oriental vs Moncarapachense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 15

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
32
Corner kicks
56
Total shots
127
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
95
Corner kicks
56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Oriental
39.6%
Draw
31.7%
Moncarapachense
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 28.8% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 28.4% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oriental has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Moncarapachense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Oriental - Moncarapachense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.07)
    2.86
    (3.13)
    3.15
    (3.28)
    10.4%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 11 in the zone Relegation)
    • Oriental is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Moncarapachense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Oriental has had a series of away games.
    • Oriental is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oriental won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oriental - Moncarapachense were as follows:
    17.08.2025 Moncarapachense - Oriental 0:0
    07.01.2024 Moncarapachense - Oriental 5:1
    20.08.2023 Oriental - Moncarapachense 1:1
    Latest results of Oriental
    21.12.2025 Serpa - Oriental 1:2
    14.12.2025 Oriental - Alcochetense 0:3
    07.12.2025 Lagoa - Oriental 6:3
    29.11.2025 Alverca B - Oriental 3:1
    Latest results of Moncarapachense
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louletano ✔ 25148335:132250
    2Malveira25128536:221444
    3Alverca B25135744:321244
    4Juv. Evora251110432:221043
    5Lagoa25116843:321139
    6GD Alcochetense25108731:211038
    7Sintrense25107828:24437
    8Serpa2597927:32-534
    9O Elvas CAD25961033:29433
    10Moncarapachense2579921:21030
    11Oriental ✔ 25611827:34-729
    12Portimonense B ✔ 25641518:40-2222
    13Industria ✔ 25281520:40-2014
    14Vasco da Gama ✔ 251111319:52-3314

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louletano is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
    Oriental is Relegated to
    Portimonense B is Relegated to
    Industria is Relegated to
    Vasco da Gama is Relegated to