Oriental vs Moncarapachense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 15

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
32
Corner kicks
56
Total shots
127
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
95
Corner kicks
56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Oriental
39.6%
Draw
31.7%
Moncarapachense
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 28.8% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 28.4% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oriental has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Moncarapachense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Oriental - Moncarapachense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.07)
    2.86
    (3.13)
    3.15
    (3.28)
    10.4%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 11 in the zone Relegation)
    • Oriental is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Moncarapachense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Oriental has had a series of away games.
    • Oriental is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oriental won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oriental - Moncarapachense were as follows:
    17.08.2025 Moncarapachense - Oriental 0:0
    07.01.2024 Moncarapachense - Oriental 5:1
    20.08.2023 Oriental - Moncarapachense 1:1
    Latest results of Oriental
    21.12.2025 Serpa - Oriental 1:2
    14.12.2025 Oriental - Alcochetense 0:3
    07.12.2025 Lagoa - Oriental 6:3
    29.11.2025 Alverca B - Oriental 3:1
    Latest results of Moncarapachense
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Malveira20107329:181137
    2Louletano2098322:91335
    3Juv. Evora2097424:18634
    4Serpa2087523:23031
    5GD Alcochetense2086626:18830
    6Lagoa2085734:29529
    7Alverca B1985633:28529
    8Sintrense2077621:21028
    9O Elvas CAD2084829:23628
    10Oriental2068623:27-426
    11Moncarapachense2049715:19-421
    12Portimonense B19531116:27-1118
    13Vasco da Gama20110916:36-2013
    14Industria20261218:33-1512

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