Result
3:2
20/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Lauziere P. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (343/387) | 91% (594/653) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 1.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (343/387) | 91% (594/653) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (18/29) | 45% (17/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (57/83) | 81% (95/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 27 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.89 | 2.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | -0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 22', Schlegel R. 🟨,
- 28', Mukhtar H. 🟨,
- 29', Tagseth E. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Ojeda M. ⚽,
- 32', 2 - 0, Ojeda M. ⚽, Smith K. (A), Muriel L. (A2)
- 45+1', 2 - 1, Mukhtar H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Yazbek P. ↓, Shaffelburg J. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 2, Shaffelburg J. ⚽, Lovitz D. (A), Surridge S. (A2)
- 63', Muriel L. ↓, McGuire D. ↑,
- 73', Angulo I. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
- 77', Brugman G. ↓, Corcoran M. ↑,
- 77', Palacios J. ↓, Bauer J. ↑,
- 86', Tagseth E. ↓, Acosta B. ↑,
- 86', Brekalo D. ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,
- 86', Smith K. ↓, Guske C. ↑,
- 90+1', Lovitz D. ↓, Schmitt T. ↑,
- 90+3', Shaffelburg J. 🟨,
- 90+5', 3 - 2, McGuire D. ⚽, Spicer T. (A),
Chances of winning
Orlando City
46.9% | Draw
25.9% | Nashville SC
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando City's performance.Nashville SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nashville SC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nashville SC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Orlando City - Nashville SC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.42) |
3.68 ↑
(3.48) |
3.47 ↑
(2.77) |
5.1%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Orlando City - Nashville SC?
Users Predictions:
Orlando City will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Orlando City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 3.
- Orlando City has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nashville's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nashville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Orlando City has had a series of away games.
- Orlando City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Tsukada Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nashville: Gaines J.
(Thigh Injury)
Meyer W.
(Foot Injury)
Washington T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Orlando City: Marin A.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City won against Nashville SC?
Orlando City has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nashville SC won against Orlando City?
Nashville SC has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Nashville SC were as follows:
23.08.2025
Nashville SC
-
Orlando City
5:1
21.05.2025
Orlando City
-
Nashville SC
2:3
31.08.2024
Orlando City
-
Nashville SC
3:0
17.07.2024
Nashville SC
-
Orlando City
0:3
07.11.2023
Nashville SC
-
Orlando City
0:1
Latest results of Orlando City
Latest results of Nashville SC
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
