Orlando City vs Nashville SC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Orlando City - Nashville SC
Result
3:2
20/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Lauziere P. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.621.36
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
89% (343/387)91% (594/653)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.621.36
xG on target (xGOT)
2.251.89
Total shots
149
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2717
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
146
Passes
89% (343/387)91% (594/653)
Long passes
62% (18/29)45% (17/38)
Passes in final third
69% (57/83)81% (95/118)
Crosses
40% (6/15)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.751.10
Throw-ins
1014
Fouls
614
Tackles
62% (8/13)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4627
Clearances
1512
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.892.25
Goals prevented
-0.11-0.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 22', Schlegel R. 🟨,
  • 28', Mukhtar H. 🟨,
  • 29', Tagseth E. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Ojeda M. ,
  • 32', 2 - 0, Ojeda M. , Smith K. (A), Muriel L. (A2)
  • 45+1', 2 - 1, Mukhtar H. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Yazbek P. , Shaffelburg J. ,
  • 51', 2 - 2, Shaffelburg J. , Lovitz D. (A), Surridge S. (A2)
  • 63', Muriel L. , McGuire D. ,
  • 73', Angulo I. , Spicer T. ,
  • 77', Brugman G. , Corcoran M. ,
  • 77', Palacios J. , Bauer J. ,
  • 86', Tagseth E. , Acosta B. ,
  • 86', Brekalo D. , Thorhallsson D. ,
  • 86', Smith K. , Guske C. ,
  • 90+1', Lovitz D. , Schmitt T. ,
  • 90+3', Shaffelburg J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 2, McGuire D. , Spicer T. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
46.9%
Draw
25.9%
Nashville SC
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 27.1% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 28.2% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando City's performance.
  • Nashville SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nashville SC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nashville SC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Orlando City - Nashville SC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.42)
    3.68
    (3.48)
    3.47
    (2.77)
    5.1%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Orlando City - Nashville SC?
  • Users Predictions: Orlando City will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Orlando City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 3.
    • Orlando City has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Nashville's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Nashville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Orlando City has had a series of away games.
    • Orlando City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Nashville: Gaines J. (Thigh Injury) Meyer W. (Foot Injury) Washington T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Marin A. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Nashville SC were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Nashville SC - Orlando City 5:1
    21.05.2025 Orlando City - Nashville SC 2:3
    31.08.2024 Orlando City - Nashville SC 3:0
    17.07.2024 Nashville SC - Orlando City 0:3
    07.11.2023 Nashville SC - Orlando City 0:1
    Latest results of Orlando City
    Latest results of Nashville SC
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2