Result
4:1
22/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Dujic F. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (373/428) | 91% (511/559) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 2.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (373/428) | 91% (511/559) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (17/38) | 62% (31/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (100/132) | 84% (136/161) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 100% (8/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.50 | 1.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.50 | -2.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Luis Otavio ⚽, Taifi Z. (A),
- 24', Angulo I. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 1, Agyemang M. ⚽, Biel P. (A),
- 41', Westwood A. 🟨,
- 41', Luis Otavio 🟨,
- 45+2', Ojeda M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 49', 2 - 1, Ojeda M. ⚽, Ellis J. (A),
- 59', Toffolo H. 🟨,
- 61', 3 - 1, Ojeda M. ⚽,
- 66', Tiago 🟨,
- 73', Aloko R. ↓, Calderon Vargas K. A. ↑,
- 73', Toklomati I. ↓, Goodwin A. ↑,
- 73', de la Torre L. ↓, Bronico B. ↑,
- 74', Tiago ↓, Reid-Brown T. ↑,
- 78', Taifi Z. ↓, Gomez I. ↑,
- 80', Gomez I. 🟨,
- 81', Toffolo H. ↓, Schnegg D. ↑,
- 81', Westwood A. ↓, Diani D. ↑,
- 88', 4 - 1, Gomez I. ⚽, Angulo I. (A),
Chances of winning
Orlando City
32.1% | Draw
24.1% | Charlotte
43.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orlando City's form might have worsened.Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charlotte's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orlando City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charlotte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Orlando City - Charlotte Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.98 ↑
(2.27) |
3.93 ↑
(3.6) |
2.18 ↓
(2.8) |
4.8%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Orlando City - Charlotte?
Users Predictions:
Charlotte will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 3.
- Recent form of Orlando City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Charlotte is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Orlando City has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Charlotte has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W.
(Thigh Injury)
Gerbet J.
(Knee Injury)
McGuire D.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City won against Charlotte?
Orlando City has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Charlotte won against Orlando City?
Charlotte has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Charlotte were as follows:
05.07.2025
Charlotte
-
Orlando City
2:2
14.05.2025
Orlando City
-
Charlotte
3:1
09.11.2024
Orlando City
-
Charlotte
2:1
01.11.2024
Charlotte
-
Orlando City
1:0
27.10.2024
Orlando City
-
Charlotte
2:0
Latest results of Orlando City
Latest results of Charlotte
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25:6 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 25:5 | 20 | 24 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:6 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 17 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | San Diego FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:15 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:19 | -2 | 13 |
| 7 | New York City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:25 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:29 | -17 | 7 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 5 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
