Orlando City vs Vancouver Whitecaps – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
11/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
worldWorldApple TV, EA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.942.43
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
524
Shots on target
39
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
78% (217/279)90% (541/600)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
0.942.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.022.11
Total shots
524
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
110
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
216
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
543
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
138
Passes
78% (217/279)90% (541/600)
Long passes
43% (25/58)69% (45/65)
Passes in final third
55% (37/67)81% (186/231)
Crosses
25% (1/4)20% (7/35)
Expected assists (xA)
0.762.22
Throw-ins
1217
Fouls
813
Tackles
33% (4/12)64% (9/14)
Duels won
3839
Clearances
387
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
2.111.02
Goals prevented
0.110.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Jansson R. , McGuire D. ,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Thorhallsson D. , McGuire D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 48', Schlegel R. 🟨,
  • 66', Sabbi E. , Gauld R. ,
  • 74', Badwal J. , Ngando J. ,
  • 74', Rios D. , Pierre N. ,
  • 77', Angulo I. 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Pierre N. ,
  • 87', McGuire D. , Loyola F. ,
  • 90+1', Rodriguez N. , Mohammed S. ,
  • 90+7', 1 - 2, Muller T. , Gauld R. (A),
  • 90+9', Smith K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
43.5%
Draw
24.6%
Vancouver Whitecaps
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 22.7% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 23.7% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orlando City's form might have worsened.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vancouver Whitecaps's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orlando City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vancouver Whitecaps, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Orlando City - Vancouver Whitecaps Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (1.79)
    3.96
    (4.13)
    3.11
    (3.79)
    3.3%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Orlando City - Vancouver Whitecaps?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 1 - 20%). Vancouver (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Vancouver (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Vancouver (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Vancouver is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Recent performances by Orlando City have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Vancouver is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Orlando City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Orlando City could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Brekalo D. (International duty) Caraballo G. (Leg Injury) Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Freeman A. (International duty) Pasalic M. (International duty) Spicer T. (International duty) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Vancouver: Adekugbe S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ahmed A. (International duty) Blackmon T. (Knee Injury) Cabrera Nakamura K. G. (International duty) Cubas A. (International duty) Nelson J. (International duty) Schonlau S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Veselinovic R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Araujo C. (Back Injury) Gerbet J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vancouver: White B. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    Latest results of Orlando City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps440014:11312
    2Los Angeles FC44008:0812
    3San Diego FC431011:3810
    4San Jose Earthquakes43016:159
    5Seattle Sounders43015:239
    6Real Salt Lake43017:529
    7Colorado Rapids42027:616
    8Houston Dynamo32015:506
    9FC Dallas41216:605
    10Los Angeles Galaxy41126:7-14
    11Austin FC41125:7-24
    12Sporting Kansas City41124:7-34
    13Minnesota United41124:11-74
    14Portland Timbers41036:11-53
    15St. Louis City40131:6-51


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York City431011:3810
    2Nashville SC43108:2610
    3Inter Miami42116:607
    4New York Red Bulls42114:5-17
    5DC United42024:406
    6Charlotte41214:5-15
    7Chicago Fire41125:414
    8Toronto FC41124:7-34
    9New England Revolution31027:613
    10Atlanta Utd41035:8-33
    11FC Cincinnati41033:8-53
    12CF Montreal41034:10-63
    13Orlando City41035:12-73
    14Columbus Crew40224:6-22
    15Philadelphia Union40042:7-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)