Orlando City vs Vancouver Whitecaps – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
11/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
worldWorldApple TV, EA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.942.43
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
524
Shots on target
39
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
78% (217/279)90% (541/600)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
0.942.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.022.11
Total shots
524
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
110
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
216
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
543
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
138
Passes
78% (217/279)90% (541/600)
Long passes
43% (25/58)69% (45/65)
Passes in final third
55% (37/67)81% (186/231)
Crosses
25% (1/4)20% (7/35)
Expected assists (xA)
0.762.22
Throw-ins
1217
Fouls
813
Tackles
33% (4/12)64% (9/14)
Duels won
3839
Clearances
387
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
2.111.02
Goals prevented
0.110.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Jansson R. , McGuire D. ,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Thorhallsson D. , McGuire D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 48', Schlegel R. 🟨,
  • 66', Sabbi E. , Gauld R. ,
  • 74', Badwal J. , Ngando J. ,
  • 74', Rios D. , Pierre N. ,
  • 77', Angulo I. 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Pierre N. ,
  • 87', McGuire D. , Loyola F. ,
  • 90+1', Rodriguez N. , Mohammed S. ,
  • 90+7', 1 - 2, Muller T. , Gauld R. (A),
  • 90+9', Smith K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
43.5%
Draw
24.6%
Vancouver Whitecaps
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 22.7% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 23.7% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orlando City's form might have worsened.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vancouver Whitecaps's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orlando City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vancouver Whitecaps, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Orlando City - Vancouver Whitecaps Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (1.79)
    3.96
    (4.13)
    3.11
    (3.79)
    3.3%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Orlando City - Vancouver Whitecaps?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 1 - 20%). Vancouver (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Vancouver (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Vancouver (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Vancouver is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Recent performances by Orlando City have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Vancouver is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Orlando City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Orlando City could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Brekalo D. (International duty) Caraballo G. (Leg Injury) Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Freeman A. (International duty) Pasalic M. (International duty) Spicer T. (International duty) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Vancouver: Adekugbe S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ahmed A. (International duty) Blackmon T. (Knee Injury) Cabrera Nakamura K. G. (International duty) Cubas A. (International duty) Nelson J. (International duty) Schonlau S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Veselinovic R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Araujo C. (Back Injury) Gerbet J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vancouver: White B. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    Latest results of Orlando City
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC11005:053
    2San Jose Earthquakes11003:033
    3Los Angeles FC11003:033
    4Seattle Sounders11002:023
    5FC Dallas11003:213
    6Portland Timbers11003:213
    7Houston Dynamo11002:113
    8Vancouver Whitecaps11001:013
    9Minnesota United10102:201
    10Austin FC10102:201
    11Los Angeles Galaxy10101:101
    12St. Louis City10101:101
    13Real Salt Lake10010:1-10
    14Colorado Rapids10010:2-20
    15Sporting Kansas City10010:3-30


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC11004:133
    2FC Cincinnati11002:023
    3New York Red Bulls11002:113
    4DC United11001:013
    5New York City10101:101
    6Charlotte10101:101
    7Toronto FC10012:3-10
    8Columbus Crew10012:3-10
    9Chicago Fire10011:2-10
    10Orlando City10011:2-10
    11Philadelphia Union10010:1-10
    12Atlanta Utd10010:2-20
    13New England Revolution10011:4-30
    14Inter Miami10010:3-30
    15CF Montreal10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)