Orlando City vs Vancouver Whitecaps – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
11/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
worldWorldApple TV, EA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.942.43
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
524
Shots on target
39
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
78% (217/279)90% (541/600)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
0.942.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.022.11
Total shots
524
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
110
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
216
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
543
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
138
Passes
78% (217/279)90% (541/600)
Long passes
43% (25/58)69% (45/65)
Passes in final third
55% (37/67)81% (186/231)
Crosses
25% (1/4)20% (7/35)
Expected assists (xA)
0.762.22
Throw-ins
1217
Fouls
813
Tackles
33% (4/12)64% (9/14)
Duels won
3839
Clearances
387
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
2.111.02
Goals prevented
0.110.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Jansson R. , McGuire D. ,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Thorhallsson D. , McGuire D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 48', Schlegel R. 🟨,
  • 66', Sabbi E. , Gauld R. ,
  • 74', Badwal J. , Ngando J. ,
  • 74', Rios D. , Pierre N. ,
  • 77', Angulo I. 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Pierre N. ,
  • 87', McGuire D. , Loyola F. ,
  • 90+1', Rodriguez N. , Mohammed S. ,
  • 90+7', 1 - 2, Muller T. , Gauld R. (A),
  • 90+9', Smith K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
43.5%
Draw
24.6%
Vancouver Whitecaps
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 22.7% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 23.7% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orlando City's form might have worsened.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vancouver Whitecaps's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orlando City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vancouver Whitecaps, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Orlando City - Vancouver Whitecaps Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (1.79)
    3.96
    (4.13)
    3.11
    (3.79)
    3.3%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Orlando City - Vancouver Whitecaps?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 1 - 20%). Vancouver (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Vancouver (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Vancouver (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Vancouver is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Recent performances by Orlando City have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Vancouver is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Orlando City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Orlando City could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Brekalo D. (International duty) Caraballo G. (Leg Injury) Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Freeman A. (International duty) Pasalic M. (International duty) Spicer T. (International duty) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Vancouver: Adekugbe S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ahmed A. (International duty) Blackmon T. (Knee Injury) Cabrera Nakamura K. G. (International duty) Cubas A. (International duty) Nelson J. (International duty) Schonlau S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Veselinovic R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Araujo C. (Back Injury) Gerbet J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vancouver: White B. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    Latest results of Orlando City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Jose Earthquakes1090125:61927
    2Vancouver Whitecaps980125:52024
    3Los Angeles FC1062217:61120
    4Seattle Sounders861112:4819
    5Minnesota United1052311:14-317
    6Real Salt Lake951317:14316
    7Colorado Rapids1041522:18413
    8FC Dallas1034318:15313
    9Houston Dynamo940512:18-612
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1033415:16-112
    11San Diego FC1032517:17011
    12Portland Timbers931513:19-610
    13Austin FC1024414:19-510
    14St. Louis City91359:16-76
    15Sporting Kansas City91177:25-184


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC971121:61522
    2Inter Miami1054119:15419
    3Chicago Fire952217:8917
    4New England Revolution951317:12516
    5Charlotte1042418:18014
    6Toronto FC1034317:19-213
    7New York City1033419:16312
    8Columbus Crew1033414:13112
    9FC Cincinnati1033419:23-412
    10DC United1033411:15-412
    11New York Red Bulls1033416:25-912
    12CF Montreal930613:20-79
    13Atlanta Utd102179:17-87
    14Orlando City1021712:29-177
    15Philadelphia Union101279:17-85

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)