Result
0:0
18/04/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Apertura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Girado S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hernandez J. ↓, Parra J. ↑,
- 53', 🟨,
- 54', Arrechea S. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
- 54', Valoyes Y. ↓, Villareal A. ↑,
- 60', 🟨,
- 63', Girado S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 64', Martinez J. ↓, Segura O. ↑,
- 64', Montoya S. ↓, Hincapie Ossa J. F. ↑,
- 77', Meneses G. ↓, Lopez Posada I. ↑,
- 90+6', 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Orsomarso
53.3% | Draw
28.4% | Leones
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orsomarso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orsomarso's performance.Leones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leones might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leones could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Orsomarso - Leones Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.95) |
3.23 ↓
(3.36) |
5.01 ↑
(3.73) |
9.1%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Orsomarso - Leones?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Leones (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Orsomarso will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leones (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orsomarso won 1.
- Recent performances by Orsomarso have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Leones is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Orsomarso is considered a favorite.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Orsomarso won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:31. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orsomarso won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Orsomarso won against Leones?
Orsomarso has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leones won against Orsomarso?
Leones has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orsomarso - Leones were as follows:
19.07.2025
Leones
-
Orsomarso
0:1
09.02.2025
Orsomarso
-
Leones
2:3
08.09.2024
Orsomarso
-
Leones
1:1
03.04.2024
Leones
-
Orsomarso
1:1
24.08.2023
Leones
-
Orsomarso
4:0
Latest results of Orsomarso
Colombian Primera B Table
Apertura - QuadrangularGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Quindio | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Envigado | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Tigres | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Inter Palmira | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. Magdalena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Bogota | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Cartagena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Barranquilla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final)
