Peniche vs Os Marialvas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
02/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
610
Shots on target
22
Corner Kicks
59
Red Cards
10
Total shots
610
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
48
Corner Kicks
59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 75', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Peniche
46.2%
Draw
28.7%
Os Marialvas
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 29.3% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 26.8% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peniche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peniche's performance.
  • Os Marialvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peniche that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Os Marialvas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Peniche - Os Marialvas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (2.22)
    3.17
    (3.1)
    3.62
    (3.06)
    10%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 12 in the zone Relegation).
    • In recent matches, Peniche has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Marialvas is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Peniche is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Peniche won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Peniche won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peniche - Os Marialvas were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Peniche - Os Marialvas 0:0
    03.11.2024 Os Marialvas - Peniche 2:0
    Latest results of Peniche
    26.10.2025 Naval - Peniche 2:0
    05.10.2025 Peniche - Mortágua 4:0
    28.09.2025 Fatima - Peniche 3:1
    21.09.2025 Peniche - 1 Dezembro 4:5
    14.09.2025 Peniche - Samora Correia 1:0
    Latest results of Os Marialvas
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache19135128:72144
    2SB Castelo Branco19112635:191635
    3Naval 18931995526:19732
    4Mortagua1995519:18132
    5Oliveira Hospital1987423:111231
    6Uniao Da Serra1987429:191031
    7Os Marialvas1873825:22324
    8Peniche1966721:26-524
    9Fatima1957717:21-422
    10Lajense2057826:28-222
    11Marinhense1747611:20-919
    12Samora Correia19451013:25-1217
    13SC Lusitania20441220:34-1416
    14Electrico20341323:47-2413

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