Result
3:2 penalties
29/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2/J3 League - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', Kanuma N. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 1, Sugimoto T. ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Sugawara R. ⚽, Kawakami R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Kitsui T. ↓, Shimada T. ↑,
- 67', Natsukawa Y. ↓, Morimura S. ↑,
- 67', Toya T. ↓, Nose R. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 1, Kawakami R. ⚽,
- 73', Kodama S. ↓, Takada S. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 2, Takagi Y. ⚽, Kanuma N. (A),
- 81', Yanagisawa K. ↓, Izuchukwu L. ↑,
- 83', Mima K. 🟨,
- 85', Kaique 🟨,
- 87', Sugawara R. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
- 89', Sugimoto T. ↓, Iwao K. ↑,
- 90+3', Kaique 🟨,
- Penalties (14 - 13)
- 1, Kawakami R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Thonny Anderson (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Nose R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Takagi Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Matsumoto K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Lucas Barcelos (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Sumida S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Kanuma N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Shimada T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Yamada N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Yamashita R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Iwao K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Iesaka Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Yamaguchi T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 8, Morimura S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 8, Takada S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 9, Mima K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 9, Izuchukwu L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 10, Sugawara H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 10, Nagaishi T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 11, Kawakami R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 11, Thonny Anderson (Penalty Awarded),
- 12, Nose R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 12, Takagi Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 13, Matsumoto K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 13, Lucas Barcelos (Penalty Awarded),
- 14, Sumida S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 14, Kanuma N. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Osaka
30.6% | Draw
29.2% | Tokushima Vortis
40.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Osaka - Tokushima Vortis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.99 ↓
(3.3) |
3.12 ↑
(3.1) |
2.27 ↑
(2.2) |
9.4%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Osaka - Tokushima Vortis?
Users Predictions:
Tokushima Vortis will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )).
- Osaka has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Tokushima is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tokushima might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Tokushima will win today's game, with odds of 2.18.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Osaka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Osaka won against Tokushima Vortis?
Osaka has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tokushima Vortis won against Osaka?
Tokushima Vortis has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Osaka - Tokushima Vortis were as follows:
05.04.2026
Tokushima Vortis
-
Osaka
1:0
Latest results of Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 J3 League Table
2026East A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 14 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 31:10 | 35 |
| 2 | Shonan Bellmare | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 26:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Blaublitz | 14 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19:13 | 28 |
| 4 | Sagamihara | 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 26:25 | 21 |
| 5 | Montedio Yamagata | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Yokohama FC | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 28:26 | 18 |
| 7 | Kusatsu | 14 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 17:32 | 16 |
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 14 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 22:28 | 15 |
| 9 | Vanraure | 14 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13:19 | 15 |
| 10 | Tochigi City | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16:31 | 15 |
East B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kofu | 14 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:9 | 29 |
| 2 | Iwaki | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 22:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Omiya Ardija | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 30:21 | 24 |
| 4 | Gifu | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 14 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 19:20 | 23 |
| 6 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Yamaga | 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 25:19 | 19 |
| 8 | Iwata | 14 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 9 | Fukushima Utd | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20:34 | 11 |
| 10 | Nagano | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12:30 | 11 |
West A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Toyama | 14 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 34:16 | 33 |
| 2 | Tokushima | 14 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 32:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Kochi United | 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 22:19 | 27 |
| 4 | Albirex Niigata | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Ehime | 14 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 22:16 | 22 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 14 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Nara Club | 14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 18:29 | 15 |
| 8 | Osaka | 14 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Imabari | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:16 | 13 |
| 10 | Kamatamare | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9:26 | 13 |
West B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 14 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 29:9 | 37 |
| 2 | Kagoshima Utd | 14 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20:12 | 27 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18:13 | 24 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20:19 | 23 |
| 5 | Kumamoto | 14 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16:16 | 22 |
| 6 | Oita Trinita | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17:16 | 18 |
| 7 | Gainare Tottori | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 8 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14:25 | 14 |
| 9 | Reilac Shiga | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | 13 |
| 10 | Ryukyu | 14 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | 12 |
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )
