Result
2:0
28/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 24
- Referee: Kolaric P. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (278/351) | 78% (319/407) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (278/351) | 78% (319/407) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (21/52) | 32% (20/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (58/94) | 52% (47/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.46 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 2.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 57', 1 - 0, Jakupovic A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 58', Jurilj A. ↓, Butic S. ↑,
- 60', Mejia Moscoso D. M. 🟨,
- 64', Pavicic K. ↓, Gurlica J. ↑,
- 64', Cabrajic K. ↓, Bosec A. ↑,
- 65', Barisic B. ↓, Jurisic R. ↑,
- 65', Omerovic N. ↓, Akere S. ↑,
- 68', Karacic F. 🟨,
- 74', Teklic T. ↓, Mikolcic S. ↑,
- 74', Karacic F. ↓, Renan Guedes ↑,
- 77', Bubanja V. 🟨,
- 79', Gurlica J. 🟨,
- 84', Mejia Moscoso D. M. ↓, Matkovic A. ↑,
- 86', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
- 87', Gonzalez R. ↓, Spoljaric J. ↑,
- 90+3', Hasic E. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 0, Akere S. ⚽, Mikolcic S. (A),
Chances of winning
Osijek
48.7% | Draw
27.9% | Vukovar 91
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Vukovar 91 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Osijek - Vukovar 91 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.79) |
3.35 ↓
(3.52) |
4.02 ↓
(4.11) |
7%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Osijek - Vukovar 91?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Osijek will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Vukovar 91 will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osijek: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Osijek (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 9).
- Osijek is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vukovar 91's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vukovar 91 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Osijek is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Osijek: Farkas N.
(Inactive)
Shopov S.
(Knee Injury)
Toure Y.
(Inactive)
Vrbancic L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Vukovar 91: Biljan J.
(Inactive)
Djakovic A.
(Injury)
Shabani E.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 3.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Osijek won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Vukovar 91?
Osijek has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vukovar 91 won against Osijek?
Vukovar 91 has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Osijek - Vukovar 91 were as follows:
28.11.2025
Vukovar 91
-
Osijek
2:2
14.09.2025
Osijek
-
Vukovar 91
4:0
Latest results of Vukovar 91
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 56:19 | 37 | 54 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 36:21 | 15 | 47 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 36:25 | 11 | 35 |
| 4 | Slaven Belupo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:36 | -3 | 34 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 30:35 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:35 | -6 | 30 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 29:37 | -8 | 29 |
| 8 | Gorica | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
| 9 | Osijek | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 21:36 | -15 | 20 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 26:43 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
