Result
4:0
14/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 6
- Referee: Culina A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (434/513) | 80% (320/398) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 0.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (434/513) | 80% (320/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/55) | 43% (18/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (93/127) | 70% (98/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 70% (19/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.48 | 2.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.48 | -1.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 20', Ticinovic M. ↓, Suver J. ↑,
- 22', Bukvic D. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Jelenic L. ⚽,
- 45+6', 2 - 0, Omerovic N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Mikolcic S. ↓, Vrbancic L. ↑,
- 50', Tadic M. 🟨,
- 54', Mulac D. ↓, Koeberle S. ↑,
- 57', Puljic J. 🟨,
- 64', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
- 66', Banovec L. ↓, Rai ↑,
- 66', Mejia Moscoso D. M. ↓, Tormin T. ↑,
- 69', Bukvic D. ↓, Toure Y. ↑,
- 73', 3 - 0, Omerovic N. ⚽, Toure Y. (A),
- 75', Jakupovic A. ↓, Zivkovic F. ↑,
- 87', 4 - 0, Omerovic N. ⚽,
- 88', Shopov S. ↓, Farkas N. ↑,
- 89', Renan Guedes ↓, Kolarik I. ↑,
- 90+1', Tormin T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Osijek
74.5% | Draw
15.7% | Vukovar 91
9.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Osijek's performance.Vukovar 91 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vukovar 91 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osijek that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vukovar 91 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Osijek - Vukovar 91 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.43) |
6.92 ↑
(4.48) |
11.2 ↑
(5.78) |
-3.4%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Osijek - Vukovar 91?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Osijek will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osijek: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Osijek (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL).
- Osijek has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Vukovar 91 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Osijek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Vukovar 91 has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Osijek is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Osijek: Jurisic R.
(Broken Leg)
Matkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Mersinaj J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vukovar 91: Calhanoglu K.
(Knee Injury)
Djakovic A.
(Inactive)
Horvat M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Osijek: Hasic E.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Vukovar 91?
Osijek has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vukovar 91 won against Osijek?
Vukovar 91 has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Osijek - Vukovar 91 were as follows:
Latest results of Vukovar 91
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hajduk Split | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | D. Zagreb | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:8 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 16 |
| 4 | Slaven Belupo | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 7 | Rijeka | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Gorica | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Osijek | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
