Ospreys vs Connacht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
24:21
07/12/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge Cup - Round 1

Match Stats

Tries
43
Conversion Goals
23
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (5 - 21)
  • 11', Bealham F. (Try),
  • 12', Naughton S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 17', Ratti J. 🟨,
  • 17', Jansen S. (Try),
  • 18', Naughton S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 23', Aungier J. (Try),
  • 24', Naughton S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 28', Phillips G. 🟨,
  • 40+2', Deaves-Small H. (Try),
  • 2nd Half (19 - 0)
  • 56', Cokanasiga P. (Try),
  • 57', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 68', Smith R. (Try),
  • 69', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 75', Hopkins I. (Try),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ospreys
51.5%
Draw
4.5%
Connacht
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 4.7% 44.8%

Ospreys - Connacht Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.79
(1.81)
21
(19.33)
2.1
(2.05)
8.4%
(9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 45.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
Preview Facts
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 1.
  • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
  • We predict that Ospreys will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 489:475. (average 24.5:23.8).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Ospreys won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 249:168. (average 27.7:18.7).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ospreys - Connacht were as follows:
22.03.2025 Ospreys - Connacht 43:40
21.10.2023 Connacht - Ospreys 34:26
29.10.2022 Ospreys - Connacht 19:22
Latest results of Ospreys
29.11.2025 Edinburgh - Ospreys 19:17
18.10.2025 Ospreys - Glasgow Warriors 17:42
11.10.2025 Ospreys - Zebre 24:0
03.10.2025 Stormers - Ospreys 26:10
Latest results of Connacht
29.11.2025 Connacht - Sharks 44:17
25.10.2025 Munster - Connacht 17:15
17.10.2025 Connacht - Blue Bulls 27:28
11.10.2025 Cardiff Rugby - Connacht 14:8
04.10.2025 Connacht - Llanelli Scarlets Postponed
Challenge Cup Rugby Table
2025/26

Group 1
PlWDLPts
1Montpellier220055:2010
2Ospreys220057:4310
3Connacht210173:246
4Zebre210148:485
5Montauban200239:740
6Black Lion200213:760


Group 2
PlWDLPts
1Benetton220070:499
2Newcastle Red Bulls220037:248
3USA Perpignan210172:615
4Dragons210140:624
5Lyon200235:462
6Lions200228:401


Group 3
PlWDLPts
1Stade Francais Paris220083:3910
2Exeter Chiefs211073:438
3Ulster210187:367
4Cardiff Rugby210146:645
5Racing 92201138:923
6Cheetahs200234:870

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