Result
28/03/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- United Rugby Championship - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC |
Chances of winning
Connacht 74.6% | Draw 3.8% | Ospreys 21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Ospreys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Connacht - Ospreys Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.24 ↓ (1.27) |
24.06 ↑ (22.88) |
4.26 ↑ (4.06) |
8.3% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 3.
- Ospreys may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Connacht is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 474:503. (average 23.7:25.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Connacht won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 285:230. (average 28.5:23).
How many head-to-head matches has Connacht won against Ospreys?
Connacht has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ospreys won against Connacht?
Ospreys has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Connacht - Ospreys were as follows:
07.12.2025
Ospreys
-
Connacht
24:21
22.03.2025
Ospreys
-
Connacht
43:40
21.10.2023
Connacht
-
Ospreys
34:26
29.10.2022
Ospreys
-
Connacht
19:22
Latest results of Connacht
Latest results of Ospreys
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Glasgow Warriors | 14 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 389:197 | 54 |
| 2 | Stormers | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 345:225 | 46 |
| 3 | Leinster | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 361:299 | 45 |
| 4 | Ulster | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 371:274 | 42 |
| 5 | Cardiff Rugby | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 262:271 | 41 |
| 6 | Munster | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 248:270 | 39 |
| 7 | Lions | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 379:359 | 38 |
| 8 | Bulls | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 363:309 | 35 |
| 9 | Connacht | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 315:312 | 35 |
| 10 | Sharks | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 322:348 | 33 |
| 11 | Ospreys | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 279:304 | 29 |
| 12 | Benetton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 257:331 | 28 |
| 13 | Edinburgh | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 255:307 | 23 |
| 14 | Scarlets | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 261:347 | 21 |
| 15 | Dragons | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 248:315 | 20 |
| 16 | Zebre | 13 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 214:401 | 12 |
Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)