Ospreys vs Connacht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
24:21
07/12/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge Cup - Round 1

Match Stats

Tries
43
Conversion Goals
23
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (5 - 21)
  • 11', Bealham F. (Try),
  • 12', Naughton S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 17', Ratti J. 🟨,
  • 17', Jansen S. (Try),
  • 18', Naughton S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 23', Aungier J. (Try),
  • 24', Naughton S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 28', Phillips G. 🟨,
  • 40+2', Deaves-Small H. (Try),
  • 2nd Half (19 - 0)
  • 56', Cokanasiga P. (Try),
  • 57', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 68', Smith R. (Try),
  • 69', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 75', Hopkins I. (Try),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ospreys
51.5%
Draw
4.5%
Connacht
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 4.7% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ospreys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Connacht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Ospreys - Connacht Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.81)
    21
    (19.33)
    2.1
    (2.05)
    8.4%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 45.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 1.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that Ospreys will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 489:475. (average 24.5:23.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ospreys won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 249:168. (average 27.7:18.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ospreys - Connacht were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Ospreys - Connacht 43:40
    21.10.2023 Connacht - Ospreys 34:26
    29.10.2022 Ospreys - Connacht 19:22
    Latest results of Ospreys
    29.11.2025 Edinburgh - Ospreys 19:17
    18.10.2025 Ospreys - Glasgow Warriors 17:42
    11.10.2025 Ospreys - Zebre 24:0
    03.10.2025 Stormers - Ospreys 26:10
    Latest results of Connacht
    29.11.2025 Connacht - Sharks 44:17
    25.10.2025 Munster - Connacht 17:15
    17.10.2025 Connacht - Blue Bulls 27:28
    11.10.2025 Cardiff Rugby - Connacht 14:8
    04.10.2025 Connacht - Llanelli Scarlets Postponed
    Challenge Cup Rugby Table
    Main

    Group 1
    PlWDLPts
    1Montpellier4400119:7720
    2Zebre430199:8114
    3Ospreys4202102:9713
    4Connacht4202179:7113
    5Black Lion410358:1325
    6Montauban400481:1802


    Group 2
    PlWDLPts
    1Benetton4400182:8919
    2Newcastle Red Bulls430175:7813
    3Dragons420296:1489
    4USA Perpignan4112111:1078
    5Lions411290:938
    6Lyon400487:1263


    Group 3
    PlWDLPts
    1Ulster4301141:5517
    2Stade Francais Paris4301129:9016
    3Exeter Chiefs4211129:7014
    4Cardiff Rugby420278:10810
    5Racing 92411282:1528
    6Cheetahs400462:1462

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