Connacht vs Ospreys – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/03/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • United Rugby Championship - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC

Chances of winning


Connacht
74.6%
Draw
3.8%
Ospreys
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73.1% 4.1% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Ospreys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Connacht - Ospreys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.24
    (1.27)
    24.06
    (22.88)
    4.26
    (4.06)
    8.3%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 3.
    • Ospreys may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Connacht is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 474:503. (average 23.7:25.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Connacht won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 285:230. (average 28.5:23).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Connacht - Ospreys were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Ospreys - Connacht 24:21
    22.03.2025 Ospreys - Connacht 43:40
    21.10.2023 Connacht - Ospreys 34:26
    29.10.2022 Ospreys - Connacht 19:22
    Latest results of Connacht
    20.03.2026 Ulster - Connacht 19:26
    13.03.2026 Connacht - Llanelli Scarlets 31:14
    28.02.2026 Connacht - Glasgow Warriors 15:10
    31.01.2026 Zebre - Connacht 15:31
    24.01.2026 Connacht - Leinster 23:34
    Latest results of Ospreys
    21.03.2026 Benetton Treviso - Ospreys 31:19
    28.02.2026 Ospreys - Ulster 21:10
    23.01.2026 Ospreys - Lions 24:24
    17.01.2026 Ospreys - Montpellier 26:31
    United Rugby Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Glasgow Warriors141103389:19754
    2Stormers131003345:22546
    3Leinster14905361:29945
    4Ulster13805371:27442
    5Cardiff Rugby14806262:27141
    6Munster13805248:27039
    7Lions13715379:35938
    8Bulls13706363:30935
    9Connacht13607315:31235
    10Sharks14617322:34833
    11Ospreys13526279:30429
    12Benetton14527257:33128
    13Edinburgh13409255:30723
    14Scarlets14419261:34721
    15Dragons13238248:31520
    16Zebre132011214:40112

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