Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL Montreal Canadiens - Ottawa Senators
Result
1:3
04/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NHL - Pre-season
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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mexicoMexicoDisney+
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venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2028
Shots off target
168
Shooting PCT
5% (1/20)10.71% (3/28)
Blocked Shots
1416
Goalkeeper Saves
2519
Saves PCT
92.59% (25/27)95% (19/20)
Penalties
34
PIM
68
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)0% (0/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (3/3)100% (4/4)
Hits
3119
Faceoffs Won
1622
Faceoffs %
42.1157.89
Giveaways
2013
Takeaways
35
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 09:15, 0 - 1, Pinto S. (G), Sanderson J. (A), Kaliyev A. (A2)
  • 16:31, Caufield C. (2 min),
  • 16:31, Slafkovsky J. (2 min),
  • 16:31, Zub A. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 08:22, 0 - 2, Perron D. (G), Jensen N. (A), Chabot T. (A2)
  • 09:04, Jensen N. (2 min),
  • 12:24, Halliday S. (2 min),
  • 13:59, Laine P. (2 min),
  • 19:42, Lycksell O. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 15:36, 1 - 2, Caufield C. (G), Slafkovsky J. (A), Suzuki N. (A2)
  • 17:57, 1 - 3, Eller L. (G), Zetterlund F. (A), Zub A. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Montreal Canadiens
44.6%
Draw
21.1%
Ottawa Senators
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 21.4% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 20.4% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montreal Canadiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montreal Canadiens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Montreal Canadiens - Ottawa Senators Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (1.95)
    4.48
    (4.3)
    2.76
    (2.95)
    5.9%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
  • What is the prediction for Montreal Canadiens - Ottawa Senators?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Montreal (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Montreal Canadiens will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 4.
    • Montreal is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ottawa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Montreal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Montreal will win today's game, with odds of 2.11.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 65:76. (average 3.3:3.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:34. (average 3.4:3.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montreal Canadiens - Ottawa Senators were as follows:
    30.09.2025 Ottawa Senators - Montreal Canadiens 0:5
    11.04.2025 Ottawa Senators - Montreal Canadiens 5:2
    18.03.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Ottawa Senators 6:3
    22.02.2025 Ottawa Senators - Montreal Canadiens 2:5
    12.10.2024 Montreal Canadiens - Ottawa Senators 4:1
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