Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
3:1
10/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3318
Shots off target
1911
Shooting PCT
9.09% (3/33)5.56% (1/18)
Blocked shots
1518
Goalkeeper Saves
1730
Saves PCT
94.44% (17/18)93.75% (30/32)
Penalties
44
PIM
1111
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)100% (4/4)
Hits
2023
Faceoffs Won
2829
Faceoffs %
49.1250.88
Giveaways
1112
Takeaways
83
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 0)
  • 04:46, 1 - 0, Kapanen O. (G), Newhook A. (A), Demidov I. (A2)
  • 14:41, 2 - 0, Danault P. (G), Guhle K. (A), Hutson L. (A2)
  • 19:35, McCabe J. (2 min),
  • 19:35, McCabe J. (5 min),
  • 19:35, Gallagher B. (2 min),
  • 19:35, Gallagher B. (5 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 02:35, Xhekaj A. (2 min),
  • 11:55, Hutson L. (2 min),
  • 14:33, 2 - 1, Nylander W. (G), Cowan E. (A),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 11:17, Knies M. (2 min),
  • 13:26, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
  • 19:32, 3 - 1, Evans J. (G), Matheson M. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Montreal Canadiens
48.6%		Draw
21.7%		Toronto Maple Leafs
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 21.7% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9% 21.3% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montreal Canadiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
    •

    Montreal Canadiens - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.99 ↑
    (1.93)    		 4.38 ↑
    (4.35)    		 3.21
    (3.21)    		 4.3%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
    What is the prediction for Montreal Canadiens - Toronto Maple Leafs?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, OT - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5, OT - Montreal (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Montreal Canadiens will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Montreal Canadiens will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Montreal (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Toronto (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3.
    • Montreal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Toronto is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Montreal will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Montreal: Laine P. (Abdominal strain)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Tanev C. (Abdominal strain)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 43:69. (average 2.2:3.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:32. (average 2.1:3.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montreal Canadiens - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens 1:2
    22.11.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:2
    08.10.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens 5:2
    27.09.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens 2:4
    25.09.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:7
    Latest results of Montreal Canadiens
    07.03.2026 Los Angeles Kings - Montreal Canadiens 3:4 ✺
    06.03.2026 Anaheim Ducks - Montreal Canadiens 6:5 ✺
    03.03.2026 San Jose Sharks - Montreal Canadiens 7:5 ✺
    28.02.2026 Montreal Canadiens - Washington Capitals 6:2 ✺
    26.02.2026 Montreal Canadiens - New York Islanders 3:4 ✺
    Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
    07.03.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:5 ✺
    05.03.2026 New York Rangers - Toronto Maple Leafs 6:2 ✺
    04.03.2026 New Jersey Devils - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:3 ✺
    02.03.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Philadelphia Flyers 2:3 ✺
    28.02.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators 2:5 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche ✔ 814771116300:203119
    2Dallas Stars ✔ 8238121220279:226112
    3Minnesota Wild ✔ 8231151224272:240104
    4Vegas Golden Knights ✔ 823091726265:25095
    5Utah Mammoth ✔ 813310632265:23592
    6Edmonton Oilers ✔ 813191130276:26891
    7Anaheim Ducks ✔ 812517633268:28490
    8Los Angeles Kings ✔ 8122132026224:24490
    9Nashville Predators8128101033243:26486
    10San Jose Sharks812612835245:29184
    11St. Louis Blues813241233226:25584
    12Winnipeg Jets812871234230:25482
    13Seattle Kraken812681136226:26179
    14Calgary Flames81267939209:25875
    15Chicago Blackhawks822271439213:27572
    16Vancouver Canucks811510848215:31058


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes ✔ 823914722296:240113
    2Buffalo Sabres ✔ 82428923288:241109
    3Tampa Bay Lightning ✔ 824010626290:231106
    4Montreal Canadiens ✔ 8234141024283:256106
    5Boston Bruins ✔ 8233121027272:250100
    6Ottawa Senators ✔ 823861127278:24699
    7Pittsburgh Penguins ✔ 823471625293:26898
    8Philadelphia Flyers ✔ 8227161227250:24398
    9Washington Capitals82376930263:24495
    10Detroit Red Wings8230111031241:25892
    11Columbus Blue Jackets8228121230253:25392
    12New York Islanders822914534233:24191
    13New Jersey Devils822913337230:25487
    14Florida Panthers82328438251:27684
    15Toronto Maple Leafs822391436253:29978
    16New York Rangers82259939238:25077

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Minnesota Wild is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Vegas Golden Knights is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Utah Mammoth is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Edmonton Oilers is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Anaheim Ducks is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Los Angeles Kings is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Carolina Hurricanes is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Buffalo Sabres is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Tampa Bay Lightning is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Montreal Canadiens is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Boston Bruins is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Ottawa Senators is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Pittsburgh Penguins is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Philadelphia Flyers is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
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