Result
2:3
10/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Referee: Reitala O. (Fin)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (258/387) | 59% (172/291) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (258/387) | 59% (172/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (23/85) | 29% (18/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (57/101) | 45% (60/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.77 | 2.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.23 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Leppalahti J. 🟨,
- 35', Vayrynen T. 🟨,
- 44', Heiskanen S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 47', 1 - 0, Koskela M. ⚽, Kaukua T. (A),
- 50', 2 - 0, Kaukua T. ⚽, Jokelainen N. (A),
- 57', Heiskanen S. ↓, Hafstad D. ↑,
- 59', 2 - 1, Arko-Mensah E. ⚽, Eremenko R. (A),
- 64', Hanninen V. ↓, Europaeus G. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 2, Arko-Mensah E. ⚽, Eremenko R. (A),
- 72', Dumbuya A. ↓, Barrow D. ↑,
- 81', Jokelainen N. ↓, Ojala M. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 3, Hafstad D. ⚽, Arko-Mensah E. (A),
- 89', Latonen J. ↓, Vauhkonen E. ↑,
- 89', Paananen J. ↓, Korkko J. ↑,
- 90+3', Arko-Mensah E. 🟥,
- 90+3', Rennicks J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Oulu
30.8% | Draw
28.2% | Gnistan
41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Oulu - Gnistan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↑
(2.66) |
3.37 ↓
(3.41) |
2.33 ↓
(2.58) |
5.1%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Oulu - Gnistan?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Oulu will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Gnistan will win (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Oulu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Oulu has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Oulu: Eskelinen W.
(Red Card)
Holtta S.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Gnistan: Marcelo Costa
(Knee Injury)
Pettersson O.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oulu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Oulu won against Gnistan?
Oulu has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against Oulu?
Gnistan has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oulu - Gnistan were as follows:
27.09.2024
Gnistan
-
Oulu
1:0
18.08.2024
Gnistan
-
Oulu
2:0
11.05.2024
Oulu
-
Gnistan
1:1
Latest results of Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku ✔ | 19 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 43:16 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | KuPS ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 37 |
| 3 | Ilves ✔ | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 40:26 | 14 | 36 |
| 4 | HJK ✔ | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 45:25 | 20 | 35 |
| 5 | SJK | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 37:28 | 9 | 34 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 30:35 | -5 | 24 |
| 7 | Jaro | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 22 |
| 8 | VPS | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 21 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19:38 | -19 | 18 |
| 10 | Haka | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 15 |
| 12 | KTP ✔ | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 21:45 | -24 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
KuPS is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
HJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
KTP is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
