Result
3:2
25/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 2.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (285/384) | 70% (243/345) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 2.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 2.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (285/384) | 70% (243/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (25/68) | 42% (33/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (80/131) | 62% (66/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 41 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -1.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Vayrynen T. (Pen),
- 20', Kabashi A. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 1, Jokelainen N. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Kabashi A. ↓, Europaeus G. ↑,
- 63', Eremenko R. ↓, Latonen J. ↑,
- 63', Vayrynen T. ↓, Atarah A. ↑,
- 65', Kaukua T. ↓, Ghezali L. ↑,
- 67', Gnanou R. 🟨,
- 74', 2 - 1, Bashkirov E. ⚽, Oura A. A. (A),
- 75', Ritari M. ↓, Heiskanen S. ↑,
- 75', Jokelainen N. ↓, Paananen J. ↑,
- 75', Harrison S. ↓, Rennicks J. ↑,
- 80', Paananen A. ↓, Ojala M. ↑,
- 80', Azongnitode C. ↓, Mendolin I. ↑,
- 81', Say S. 🟨,
- 82', 3 - 1, Gnanou R. ⚽, Heiskanen S. (A),
- 83', 3 - 2, Paananen J. ⚽, Korkko J. (A),
- 90', Oura A. A. ↓, Raitala J. ↑,
- 90+3', Craninx A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Arko-Mensah E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gnistan
54.4% | Draw
22.8% | Oulu
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gnistan's performance.Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oulu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gnistan that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oulu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gnistan - Oulu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.92) |
4.22 ↑
(4.07) |
4.3 ↑
(3.36) |
3.8%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Gnistan - Oulu?
Users Predictions:
Gnistan will win
(19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gnistan will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- Oulu is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 3.
- In recent matches, Gnistan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Oulu has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Oulu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Gnistan might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Gnistan: Hanninen V.
(Inactive)
Marcelo Costa
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Oulu: Barrow D.
(Injury)
Tiihonen O.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against Oulu?
Gnistan has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oulu won against Gnistan?
Oulu has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gnistan - Oulu were as follows:
10.05.2025
Oulu
-
Gnistan
2:3
27.09.2024
Gnistan
-
Oulu
1:0
18.08.2024
Gnistan
-
Oulu
2:0
11.05.2024
Oulu
-
Gnistan
1:1
Latest results of Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 48:20 | 28 | 49 |
| 2 | Ilves | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 51:29 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | HJK | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 45 |
| 4 | KuPS | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 41:27 | 14 | 44 |
| 5 | SJK | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 48:34 | 14 | 42 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 34:41 | -7 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
