Result
1:5
04/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (345/430) | 80% (333/416) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 2.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (345/430) | 80% (333/416) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (42/72) | 34% (23/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (69/113) | 67% (76/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.04 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.77 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 10', 1 - 0, Eremenko S. ⚽,
- 17', 1 - 1, Kaukua T. ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 2, Korkko J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 51', Pitkanen M. 🟨,
- 53', 1 - 3, Karjalainen R. ⚽,
- 57', Marcelo Costa ↓, Bjurstrom M. H. ↑,
- 57', Hanninen V. ↓, Hannula O. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 4, Karjalainen R. ⚽,
- 70', Latonen J. ↓, Jouhi A. ↑,
- 70', Eremenko S. ↓, Atarah A. ↑,
- 71', Kallio E. ↓, Silander S. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 5, Korkko J. ⚽, Silander S. (A),
- 81', Korkko J. ↓, Makelainen J. ↑,
- 83', Eremenko R. 🟨,
- 90', Pitkanen M. ↓, Lietsa A. ↑,
- 90+1', Kemppainen O. ↓, Sipola S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gnistan
34.1% | Draw
26.6% | Oulu
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Gnistan - Oulu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↓
(2.88) |
3.52 ↑
(3.35) |
2.4 ↑
(2.38) |
6.1%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Gnistan - Oulu?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Gnistan will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Oulu will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Gnistan (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gnistan (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 4.
- In recent matches, Gnistan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Oulu is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against Oulu?
Gnistan has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oulu won against Gnistan?
Oulu has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gnistan - Oulu were as follows:
25.08.2025
Gnistan
-
Oulu
3:2
10.05.2025
Oulu
-
Gnistan
2:3
27.09.2024
Gnistan
-
Oulu
1:0
18.08.2024
Gnistan
-
Oulu
2:0
11.05.2024
Oulu
-
Gnistan
1:1
Latest results of Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AC Oulu | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | HJK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | KuPS | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Lahti | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | TPS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Mariehamn | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | VPS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Inter Turku | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Jaro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Ilves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | SJK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 12 | Gnistan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
