Gnistan vs Oulu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Finnish Veikkausliiga Gnistan - Oulu
Result
3:2
25/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Veikkausliiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandRuutu+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.412.17
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
74% (285/384)70% (243/345)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.412.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.402.08
Total shots
911
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
01
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
2425
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
74% (285/384)70% (243/345)
Long passes
37% (25/68)42% (33/78)
Passes in final third
61% (80/131)62% (66/107)
Crosses
15% (2/13)17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.99
Throw-ins
2541
Fouls
1512
Tackles
88% (14/16)67% (10/15)
Duels won
6160
Clearances
3834
Interceptions
135
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
2.081.40
Goals prevented
0.08-1.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Vayrynen T. (Pen),
  • 20', Kabashi A. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Jokelainen N. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Kabashi A. , Europaeus G. ,
  • 63', Eremenko R. , Latonen J. ,
  • 63', Vayrynen T. , Atarah A. ,
  • 65', Kaukua T. , Ghezali L. ,
  • 67', Gnanou R. 🟨,
  • 74', 2 - 1, Bashkirov E. , Oura A. A. (A),
  • 75', Ritari M. , Heiskanen S. ,
  • 75', Jokelainen N. , Paananen J. ,
  • 75', Harrison S. , Rennicks J. ,
  • 80', Paananen A. , Ojala M. ,
  • 80', Azongnitode C. , Mendolin I. ,
  • 81', Say S. 🟨,
  • 82', 3 - 1, Gnanou R. , Heiskanen S. (A),
  • 83', 3 - 2, Paananen J. , Korkko J. (A),
  • 90', Oura A. A. , Raitala J. ,
  • 90+3', Craninx A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Arko-Mensah E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Gnistan
54.4%
Draw
22.8%
Oulu
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 23.1% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 20.8% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gnistan's performance.
  • Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oulu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gnistan that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oulu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gnistan - Oulu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.92)
    4.22
    (4.07)
    4.3
    (3.36)
    3.8%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Gnistan - Oulu?
  • Users Predictions: Gnistan will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 85.45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gnistan will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
    • Oulu is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 3.
    • In recent matches, Gnistan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Oulu has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Oulu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Gnistan might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Gnistan: Hanninen V. (Inactive) Marcelo Costa (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Oulu: Barrow D. (Injury) Tiihonen O. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gnistan - Oulu were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Oulu - Gnistan 2:3
    27.09.2024 Gnistan - Oulu 1:0
    18.08.2024 Gnistan - Oulu 2:0
    11.05.2024 Oulu - Gnistan 1:1
    Latest results of Gnistan
    15.08.2025 Gnistan - VPS Vaasa 0:0
    09.08.2025 IFK Mariehamn - Gnistan 2:5
    04.08.2025 Ilves - Gnistan 2:2
    28.07.2025 Gnistan - HJK 2:4
    20.07.2025 SJK - Gnistan 3:1
    Latest results of Oulu
    21.08.2025 HJK - Oulu 1:0
    16.08.2025 Oulu - Ilves 0:4
    08.08.2025 Inter Turku - Oulu 3:2
    02.08.2025 Oulu - FF Jaro 0:1
    26.07.2025 IFK Mariehamn - Oulu 0:1
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Turku22137246:202646
    2Ilves22143547:272045
    3HJK22142659:293044
    4KuPS22135439:231644
    5SJK22125545:311441
    6Gnistan2277834:39-528
    7VPS2267932:34-225
    8Jaro22741125:36-1125
    9Mariehamn22561125:48-2321
    10AC Oulu22531430:48-1818
    11Haka22441427:43-1616
    12KTP22351424:55-3114

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