Result
3:1
20/07/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (405/485) | 86% (415/481) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (405/485) | 86% (415/481) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (24/56) | 56% (36/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (96/133) | 74% (102/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 33% (8/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 43% (9/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 2.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.63 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Michel B. ⚽, Kanellopoulos G. (A),
- 32', 2 - 0, Meriluoto K. ⚽, Mentu P. (A),
- 35', Tikkanen V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Kouassivi-Benissan K. ↓, Hostikka S. ↑,
- 56', 3 - 0, Kallinen J. ⚽, Simojoki K. (A),
- 57', Mentu P. ↓, Ring A. ↑,
- 63', Silander S. ↓, Kemppainen O. ↑,
- 63', Paananen A. ↓, Mendolin I. ↑,
- 63', Rennicks J. ↓, Harrison S. ↑,
- 71', Jokelainen N. ↓, Korkko J. ↑,
- 77', Tikkanen V. ↓, Boamah M. ↑,
- 77', Kanellopoulos G. ↓, Lingman L. ↑,
- 77', Kemppainen O. ↓, Lehtonen J. ↑,
- 82', Tiihonen O. 🟨,
- 85', Michel B. ↓, Baranov S. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 1, Pitkanen M. ⚽, Korkko J. (A),
Chances of winning
HJK
59% | Draw
23.1% | Oulu
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HJK's form might have worsened.Oulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oulu's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HJK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oulu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
HJK - Oulu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.33) |
4.15 ↓
(5.25) |
5.19 ↓
(8.37) |
5.4%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for HJK - Oulu?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Oulu will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for HJK: 71.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): HJK will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HJK won 3.
- In recent matches, HJK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Oulu is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- HJK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Oulu has had a series of home games.
- In this match, HJK is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, HJK won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:9. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, HJK won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 2.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against Oulu?
HJK has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oulu won against HJK?
Oulu has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HJK - Oulu were as follows:
14.06.2025
Oulu
-
HJK
0:4
27.07.2024
HJK
-
Oulu
3:0
31.05.2024
Oulu
-
HJK
1:0
27.08.2023
Oulu
-
HJK
1:3
23.04.2023
HJK
-
Oulu
1:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 32:12 | 20 | 34 |
| 3 | KuPS | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | HJK | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35:18 | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | SJK | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31:23 | 8 | 28 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
| 7 | VPS | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Mariehamn | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:31 | -15 | 17 |
| 9 | Haka | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | 16 |
| 10 | Jaro | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 22:35 | -13 | 12 |
| 12 | KTP | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18:38 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
