Result
2:2
13/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Castillo N. ⚽,
- 18', 2 - 0, Yuste A. ⚽,
- 26', Ouhdadi O. 🟨,
- 45+4', Carmona F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 53', Ouhdadi O. ↓, Aranzabe A. ↑,
- 61', Torra M. ↓, Galarza A. ↑,
- 61', de Leon J. ↓, Mandiang S. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 1, Perez E. ⚽,
- 68', Castillo N. ↓, Moreno C. ↑,
- 68', Ramos J. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
- 72', Huidobro J. ↓, Sabin ↑,
- 72', Valino A. ↓, Molina E. ↑,
- 81', Guerrero A. ↓, Coto E. ↑,
- 81', Bouzaig A. ↓, Vazquez K. ↑,
- 86', Perez E. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
- 89', Lopez O. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Sabin ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ourense CF
40.8% | Draw
31.6% | Barakaldo
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barakaldo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Ourense CF - Barakaldo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.48) |
2.88 ↓
(3.14) |
3.35 ↑
(2.82) |
9.1%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 12).
- Ourense CF is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Barakaldo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Barakaldo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ourense CF will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ourense CF won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Ourense CF won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Barakaldo?
Ourense CF has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barakaldo won against Ourense CF?
Barakaldo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ourense CF - Barakaldo were as follows:
19.01.2025
Barakaldo
-
Ourense CF
1:1
29.09.2024
Ourense CF
-
Barakaldo
1:3
Latest results of Ourense CF
Latest results of Barakaldo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 45:13 | 32 | 57 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 41:30 | 11 | 48 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 40 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao B | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 39 |
| 5 | AD Merida | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 6 | Real Madrid B | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32:33 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 33:27 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Lugo | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Racing Club Ferrol | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 37 |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 27:22 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Unionistas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 36 |
| 12 | Zamora | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Aviles | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 31 |
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 30 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 16 | Cacereno | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Arenteiro | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Guadalajara | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 22:39 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 20 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
