Result
1:0
08/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', 🟨,
- 31', 🟨,
- 38', 🟨,
- 38', Naveira U. ↓, Castillo I. ↑,
- 45+5', Garcia B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Garcia B. ↓, Pena A. ↑,
- 46', Torra M. ↓, Ropero I. ↑,
- 54', 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 0, Huidobro J. ⚽,
- 65', Munoz D. ↓, Guerrero A. ↑,
- 65', Aranzabe A. ↓, Sergio Benito ↑,
- 68', 🟨,
- 68', Lopez O. ↓, de Jesus B. ↑,
- 74', Munoz I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 76', Hernandez R. ↓, Bouzaig A. ↑,
- 76', Moreno C. ↓, Punzano I. ↑,
- 76', Ochoa M. ↓, Yuste A. ↑,
- 82', Valino A. ↓, Galarza A. ↑,
- 83', de Leon J. 🟨,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Barakaldo
48.1% | Draw
30% | Ourense CF
22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barakaldo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Barakaldo - Ourense CF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.76) |
3.07 ↓
(3.1) |
4.19 ↓
(4.6) |
8.9%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Barakaldo - Ourense CF?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 15).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Ourense CF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Barakaldo is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Barakaldo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Barakaldo won against Ourense CF?
Barakaldo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Barakaldo?
Ourense CF has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barakaldo - Ourense CF were as follows:
13.12.2025
Ourense CF
-
Barakaldo
2:2
19.01.2025
Barakaldo
-
Ourense CF
1:1
29.09.2024
Ourense CF
-
Barakaldo
1:3
Latest results of Barakaldo
Latest results of Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 49:17 | 32 | 60 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 50 |
| 3 | Ath Bilbao B | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:30 | 0 | 43 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 43 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | Zamora | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 36:31 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Real Madrid B | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 8 | Lugo | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Racing Club Ferrol | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 34:33 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 40 |
| 12 | Unionistas | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:36 | 1 | 38 |
| 13 | Arenas Getxo | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 40:48 | -8 | 33 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:41 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 30 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 29 |
| 19 | Arenteiro | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 18:33 | -15 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
