Result
3:1
14/02/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', Guerrero A. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Guerrero A. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 0, Hernandez R. ⚽,
- 45+1', Areso J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Dominguez J. 🟨,
- 63', Dibrani B. ↓, Beneit R. ↑,
- 63', Pipe ↓, Capitas M. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Areso J. ⚽,
- 68', Rabadan D. ↓, Ochoa M. ↑,
- 68', Sergio Benito ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
- 70', 3 - 1, Ochoa M. ⚽,
- 76', Guerrero A. ↓, Yuste A. ↑,
- 76', Ramos J. ↓, Aranzabe A. ↑,
- 76', Areso J. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
- 76', Pareja L. ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
- 81', Capitas M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Sanz H. ↓, Jelbat A. ↑,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ourense CF
41.7% | Draw
32% | Mérida AD
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mérida AD might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Ourense CF - Mérida AD Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.44) |
2.83 ↓
(2.91) |
3.51 ↑
(2.84) |
9.5%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
- Ourense CF has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mérida AD is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ourense CF might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ourense CF won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Mérida AD?
Ourense CF has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against Ourense CF?
Mérida AD has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ourense CF - Mérida AD were as follows:
07.12.2025
Mérida AD
-
Ourense CF
3:2
Latest results of Ourense CF
Latest results of Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 35 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 56:44 | 12 | 61 |
| 3 | Zamora | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 58 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 35 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 43:26 | 17 | 54 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 38:32 | 6 | 51 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 44:36 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 47:45 | 2 | 49 |
| 9 | AD Merida | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 48 |
| 10 | Racing Club Ferrol | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 47 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 35 | 14 | 5 | 16 | 41:51 | -10 | 47 |
| 12 | Lugo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 46 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 45 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 51:58 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | CF Talavera | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 35:44 | -9 | 39 |
| 16 | Ourense CF | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:40 | -2 | 38 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 39:54 | -15 | 37 |
| 18 | Osasuna B | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 25:39 | -14 | 36 |
| 19 | Cacereno | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 35 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 29:46 | -17 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
