CD Guadalajara vs Ourense CF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
22/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
83
Shots on target
41
Corner kicks
52
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
83
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
42
Corner kicks
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 3', Hernandez R. 🟨,
  • 33', Moreno C. , Yuste A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', 🟨,
  • 62', Ramos J. , Munoz D. ,
  • 62', Guerrero A. , Punzano I. ,
  • 63', Sergio Benito , Ochoa M. ,
  • 64', Miki , Amigo D. ,
  • 64', Neskes , Alvarez U. ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 84', Mayo N. 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 0, Alvarez U. ,

Chances of winning


CD Guadalajara
37.5%
Draw
31.8%
Ourense CF
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 30.6% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 30.4% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • CD Guadalajara - Ourense CF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.38)
    2.85
    (3.03)
    2.96
    (3.06)
    10.1%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 15).
    • Guadalajara is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ourense CF has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ourense CF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guadalajara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CD Guadalajara - Ourense CF were as follows:
    16.11.2025 Ourense CF - CD Guadalajara 3:0
    Latest results of CD Guadalajara
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife342010455:203570
    2Celta Vigo B341710756:431361
    3Zamora341510946:38855
    4Real Madrid B341581154:431153
    5Pontevedra341314743:261753
    6Ponferradina341491138:29951
    7Barakaldo341312944:341051
    8Unionistas3413101147:44349
    9AD Merida341391244:47-348
    10Arenas Getxo341451540:49-947
    11Lugo3411131032:37-546
    12Racing Club Ferrol341371438:43-546
    13Ath Bilbao B341291334:38-445
    14Real Aviles341191449:56-742
    15Ourense CF349111438:40-238
    16CF Talavera34991633:43-1036
    17Guadalajara34991637:52-1536
    18Cacereno347141331:45-1435
    19Osasuna B34891724:39-1533
    20Arenteiro34691929:46-1727

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