Result
1:0
22/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Hernandez R. 🟨,
- 33', Moreno C. ↓, Yuste A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', 🟨,
- 62', Ramos J. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
- 62', Guerrero A. ↓, Punzano I. ↑,
- 63', Sergio Benito ↓, Ochoa M. ↑,
- 64', Miki ↓, Amigo D. ↑,
- 64', Neskes ↓, Alvarez U. ↑,
- 79', 🟨,
- 84', Mayo N. 🟨,
- 85', 1 - 0, Alvarez U. ⚽,
Chances of winning
CD Guadalajara
37.5% | Draw
31.8% | Ourense CF
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
CD Guadalajara - Ourense CF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(2.38) |
2.85 ↓
(3.03) |
2.96 ↓
(3.06) |
10.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 15).
- Guadalajara is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ourense CF has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ourense CF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guadalajara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has CD Guadalajara won against Ourense CF?
CD Guadalajara has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against CD Guadalajara?
Ourense CF has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CD Guadalajara - Ourense CF were as follows:
16.11.2025
Ourense CF
-
CD Guadalajara
3:0
Latest results of CD Guadalajara
Latest results of Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 45:13 | 32 | 57 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 41:30 | 11 | 48 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 40 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao B | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 39 |
| 5 | AD Merida | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 6 | Real Madrid B | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32:33 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 33:27 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Lugo | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Racing Club Ferrol | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 37 |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 27:22 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Unionistas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 36 |
| 12 | Zamora | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Aviles | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 31 |
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 30 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 16 | Cacereno | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Arenteiro | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Guadalajara | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 22:39 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 20 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
