CD Guadalajara vs Ourense CF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
22/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
83
Shots on target
41
Corner kicks
52
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
83
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
42
Corner kicks
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 3', Hernandez R. 🟨,
  • 33', Moreno C. , Yuste A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', 🟨,
  • 62', Ramos J. , Munoz D. ,
  • 62', Guerrero A. , Punzano I. ,
  • 63', Sergio Benito , Ochoa M. ,
  • 64', Miki , Amigo D. ,
  • 64', Neskes , Alvarez U. ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 84', Mayo N. 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 0, Alvarez U. ,

Chances of winning


CD Guadalajara
37.5%
Draw
31.8%
Ourense CF
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 30.6% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 30.4% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • CD Guadalajara - Ourense CF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.38)
    2.85
    (3.03)
    2.96
    (3.06)
    10.1%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 15).
    • Guadalajara is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ourense CF has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ourense CF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guadalajara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CD Guadalajara - Ourense CF were as follows:
    16.11.2025 Ourense CF - CD Guadalajara 3:0
    Latest results of CD Guadalajara
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife28186449:173260
    2Celta Vigo B28148643:35850
    3Ath Bilbao B28127930:30043
    4Barakaldo281110738:29943
    5Pontevedra271012532:201242
    6Zamora28119836:31542
    7Real Madrid B281261038:36242
    8Lugo281011727:27041
    9Racing Club Ferrol281251134:33141
    10Ponferradina281171028:23540
    11AD Merida281171037:38-140
    12Unionistas281081037:36138
    13Arenas Getxo271041331:38-734
    14Real Aviles28961340:48-833
    15Ourense CF28881231:33-232
    16Guadalajara28871330:41-1131
    17CF Talavera28861429:38-930
    18Cacereno286111126:37-1129
    19Arenteiro28671525:36-1125
    20Osasuna B28591418:33-1524

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