Result
1:0
22/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Hernandez R. 🟨,
- 33', Moreno C. ↓, Yuste A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', 🟨,
- 62', Ramos J. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
- 62', Guerrero A. ↓, Punzano I. ↑,
- 63', Sergio Benito ↓, Ochoa M. ↑,
- 64', Miki ↓, Amigo D. ↑,
- 64', Neskes ↓, Alvarez U. ↑,
- 79', 🟨,
- 84', Mayo N. 🟨,
- 85', 1 - 0, Alvarez U. ⚽,
Chances of winning
CD Guadalajara
37.5% | Draw
31.8% | Ourense CF
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
CD Guadalajara - Ourense CF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(2.38) |
2.85 ↓
(3.03) |
2.96 ↓
(3.06) |
10.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 15).
- Guadalajara is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ourense CF has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ourense CF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guadalajara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has CD Guadalajara won against Ourense CF?
CD Guadalajara has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against CD Guadalajara?
Ourense CF has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CD Guadalajara - Ourense CF were as follows:
16.11.2025
Ourense CF
-
CD Guadalajara
3:0
Latest results of CD Guadalajara
Latest results of Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 51:18 | 33 | 65 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 47:42 | 5 | 54 |
| 3 | Ponferradina | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 35:25 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 46:41 | 5 | 46 |
| 6 | Zamora | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Pontevedra | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 46 |
| 8 | Lugo | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 45 |
| 9 | Unionistas | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 44:42 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao B | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 | Arenas Getxo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 44 |
| 13 | Racing Club Ferrol | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 35:36 | -1 | 42 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 45:53 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 | CF Talavera | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 32:40 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 30 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28:42 | -14 | 26 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
