Result
0:2
29/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | FEF TV, TVG 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Noriega J. ⚽,
- 20', Reniero N. 🟨,
- 33', Lizancos A. 🟨,
- 34', Ramos J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ramos J. ↓, Xesc Fullana ↑,
- 60', Martinez R. ↓, Vidal D. ↑,
- 60', Pereira P. ↓, Sanchez M. ↑,
- 68', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Mendoza B. ↑,
- 69', Raigal J. 🟨,
- 69', 🟨,
- 71', 0 - 2, Raigal J. ⚽,
- 72', Noriega J. ↓, Juanma Bravo ↑,
- 72', Raigal J. ↓, Gil A. ↑,
- 77', Sanchez A. ↓, Prada R. ↑,
- 82', 🟨,
- 85', Reniero N. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 85', Perero G. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
- 90', Fidalgo A. 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lugo
39.7% | Draw
31.3% | Ourense CF
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugo's form might have worsened.Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ourense CF's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ourense CF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lugo - Ourense CF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(1.94) |
2.93 ↓
(3.15) |
3.22 ↓
(3.85) |
8.7%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 13).
- Recent matches Lugo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Ourense CF is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Lugo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Lugo will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Lugo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Ourense CF?
Lugo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Lugo?
Ourense CF has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Ourense CF were as follows:
11.01.2025
Ourense CF
-
Lugo
2:1
Latest results of Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:4 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Racing Club Ferrol | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Celta Vigo B | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Real Aviles | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:14 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Guadalajara | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Real Madrid B | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Lugo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Pontevedra | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Osasuna B | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao B | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | CF Talavera | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Zamora | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Arenteiro | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Unionistas | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 | Merida AD | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 | Arenas Getxo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 | Cacereno | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 20 | Ourense CF | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
