Lugo vs Ourense CF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/12/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
41
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
106
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Jose Amo 🟨,
  • 37', Yuste A. 🟨,
  • 44', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Celorio N. , Caballo D. ,
  • 62', Ramos J. , Munoz D. ,
  • 62', Camus M. , Ouhdadi O. ,
  • 63', Pastrana V. , Junior L. ,
  • 63', Reniero N. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 63', Presa K. , Carbonell A. ,
  • 71', Alba T. , Teofilovic O. ,
  • 74', 1 - 0, Teofilovic O. ,
  • 77', Yuste A. , Moreno C. ,
  • 77', Unzueta I. 🟨,
  • 77', Bouzaig A. , Aranzabe A. ,
  • 80', Jelbat A. , Coto E. ,
  • 81', 2 - 0, Teofilovic O. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Castillo N. ,

Chances of winning


Lugo
47.1%
Draw
31.2%
Ourense CF
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 30.1% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 30.9% 25.1%

Lugo - Ourense CF Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.94
(2.07)
2.9
(3.03)
4.2
(3.53)
9.8%
(9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Lugo - Ourense CF?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Lugo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Ourense CF will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 14).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lugo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ourense CF has had a series of home games.
    • Lugo might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lugo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Ourense CF were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Lugo - Ourense CF 0:2
    11.01.2025 Ourense CF - Lugo 2:1
    Latest results of Lugo
    13.12.2025 Osasuna B - Lugo 0:0
    07.12.2025 Lugo - Tenerife 2:2
    29.11.2025 Athletic Bilbao B - Lugo 2:0
    22.11.2025 Lugo - Pontevedra 1:0
    15.11.2025 Ponferradina - Lugo 1:1
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife22172344:123253
    2Celta Vigo B22125535:27841
    3Pontevedra22108431:181338
    4Ath Bilbao B22105726:26035
    5Zamora2297630:25534
    6Racing Club Ferrol22103926:25133
    7Real Madrid B22103929:31-233
    8AD Merida2295831:30132
    9Lugo2288621:20132
    10Barakaldo2279628:24430
    11Real Aviles22931031:32-130
    12Arenas Getxo22931028:32-430
    13Ponferradina2285925:22329
    14Unionistas2276929:30-127
    15Ourense CF2267925:28-325
    16Cacereno2258919:28-923
    17CF Talavera22641222:32-1022
    18Arenteiro22561116:25-921
    19Osasuna B22471115:27-1219
    20Guadalajara22461220:37-1718

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