Lugo vs Ourense CF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/12/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
41
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
106
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Jose Amo 🟨,
  • 37', Yuste A. 🟨,
  • 44', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Celorio N. , Caballo D. ,
  • 62', Ramos J. , Munoz D. ,
  • 62', Camus M. , Ouhdadi O. ,
  • 63', Pastrana V. , Junior L. ,
  • 63', Reniero N. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 63', Presa K. , Carbonell A. ,
  • 71', Alba T. , Teofilovic O. ,
  • 74', 1 - 0, Teofilovic O. ,
  • 77', Yuste A. , Moreno C. ,
  • 77', Unzueta I. 🟨,
  • 77', Bouzaig A. , Aranzabe A. ,
  • 80', Jelbat A. , Coto E. ,
  • 81', 2 - 0, Teofilovic O. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Castillo N. ,

Chances of winning


Lugo
47.1%
Draw
31.2%
Ourense CF
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 30.1% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 30.9% 25.1%

Lugo - Ourense CF Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.94
(2.07)
2.9
(3.03)
4.2
(3.53)
9.8%
(9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Lugo - Ourense CF?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Lugo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Ourense CF will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 14).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lugo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ourense CF has had a series of home games.
    • Lugo might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lugo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Ourense CF were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Lugo - Ourense CF 0:2
    11.01.2025 Ourense CF - Lugo 2:1
    Latest results of Lugo
    13.12.2025 Osasuna B - Lugo 0:0
    07.12.2025 Lugo - Tenerife 2:2
    29.11.2025 Athletic Bilbao B - Lugo 2:0
    22.11.2025 Lugo - Pontevedra 1:0
    15.11.2025 Ponferradina - Lugo 1:1
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife19142335:102544
    2Celta Vigo B19113529:23636
    3Pontevedra1996425:16933
    4Real Madrid B19101825:25031
    5Ath Bilbao B1994623:23031
    6Zamora1986526:21530
    7Racing Club Ferrol1993724:21330
    8Lugo1978418:14429
    9AD Merida1983827:27027
    10Real Aviles1983827:28-127
    11Barakaldo1968526:21526
    12Arenas Getxo1973923:27-424
    13Ourense CF1957722:25-322
    14CF Talavera19631020:22-221
    15Unionistas1956821:26-521
    16Ponferradina1955919:22-320
    17Arenteiro19541014:21-719
    18Osasuna B1946912:21-918
    19Guadalajara1946919:30-1118
    20Cacereno1937916:28-1216

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