Result
2:1
21/12/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Jose Amo 🟨,
- 37', Yuste A. 🟨,
- 44', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Celorio N. ↓, Caballo D. ↑,
- 62', Ramos J. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
- 62', Camus M. ↓, Ouhdadi O. ↑,
- 63', Pastrana V. ↓, Junior L. ↑,
- 63', Reniero N. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 63', Presa K. ↓, Carbonell A. ↑,
- 71', Alba T. ↓, Teofilovic O. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 0, Teofilovic O. ⚽,
- 77', Yuste A. ↓, Moreno C. ↑,
- 77', Unzueta I. 🟨,
- 77', Bouzaig A. ↓, Aranzabe A. ↑,
- 80', Jelbat A. ↓, Coto E. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 0, Teofilovic O. ⚽,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Castillo N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lugo
47.1% | Draw
31.2% | Ourense CF
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Lugo - Ourense CF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.07) |
2.9 ↓
(3.03) |
4.2 ↑
(3.53) |
9.8%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Lugo - Ourense CF?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Lugo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Ourense CF will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 14).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Lugo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ourense CF has had a series of home games.
- Lugo might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Lugo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Ourense CF?
Lugo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Lugo?
Ourense CF has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Ourense CF were as follows:
29.03.2025
Lugo
-
Ourense CF
0:2
11.01.2025
Ourense CF
-
Lugo
2:1
Latest results of Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 49:17 | 32 | 60 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 50 |
| 3 | Ath Bilbao B | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:30 | 0 | 43 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 43 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | Zamora | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 36:31 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Real Madrid B | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 8 | Lugo | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Racing Club Ferrol | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 34:33 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 40 |
| 12 | Unionistas | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:36 | 1 | 38 |
| 13 | Arenas Getxo | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 40:48 | -8 | 33 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:41 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 30 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 29 |
| 19 | Arenteiro | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 18:33 | -15 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
