Result
11/04/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2 |
Chances of winning
Ourense CF
41.7% | Draw
29.9% | Lugo
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Ourense CF - Lugo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.45) |
3.07 ↑
(3) |
3.19 ↑
(2.99) |
9.8%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).
- Ourense CF has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Lugo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ourense CF won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ourense CF won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Lugo?
Ourense CF has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Ourense CF?
Lugo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ourense CF - Lugo were as follows:
21.12.2025
Lugo
-
Ourense CF
2:1
29.03.2025
Lugo
-
Ourense CF
0:2
11.01.2025
Ourense CF
-
Lugo
2:1
Latest results of Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 51:18 | 33 | 65 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 47:42 | 5 | 54 |
| 3 | Ponferradina | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 35:25 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 46:41 | 5 | 46 |
| 6 | Zamora | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Pontevedra | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 46 |
| 8 | Lugo | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 45 |
| 9 | Unionistas | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 44:42 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao B | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 | Arenas Getxo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 44 |
| 13 | Racing Club Ferrol | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 35:36 | -1 | 42 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 45:53 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 | CF Talavera | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 32:40 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 30 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28:42 | -14 | 26 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
