Result
2:1
03/01/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 🟨,
- 31', 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Cueto J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Cueto J. 🟨,
- 54', Hernandez R. 🟨,
- 64', Hernandez R. ↓, Rubio R. ↑,
- 64', Cueto J. ↓, Gete A. ↑,
- 65', Prado M. ↓, Coto E. ↑,
- 65', Ramos J. ↓, Punzano I. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Ouhdadi O. ⚽,
- 74', 2 - 1, Bouzaig A. ⚽,
- 80', Sanz H. ↓, Jelbat A. ↑,
- 81', Gomez A. ↓, Bari Q. ↑,
- 81', Babin J. ↓, Chukwuma E. ↑,
- 81', Ortega G. ↓, Carracedo O. ↑,
- 82', Bautista K. 🟨,
- 86', Guerrero A. ↓, Aranzabe A. ↑,
- 86', Ouhdadi O. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
- 88', 🟨,
- 90+1', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ourense CF
39.3% | Draw
30.4% | Real Avilés
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Ourense CF - Real Avilés Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.29) |
2.96 ↓
(3.19) |
3.03 ↓
(3.06) |
9.9%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 6).
- Recent form of Ourense CF has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Real Avilés has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ourense CF won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:0. (average 2.3:0).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ourense CF won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Real Avilés?
Ourense CF has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Avilés won against Ourense CF?
Real Avilés has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ourense CF - Real Avilés were as follows:
05.05.2024
Real Avilés
-
Ourense CF
0:2
06.01.2024
Ourense CF
-
Real Avilés
2:0
22.04.2023
Real Avilés
-
Ourense CF
0:3
11.12.2022
Ourense CF
-
Real Avilés
2:0
Latest results of Ourense CF
Latest results of Real Avilés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 45:13 | 32 | 57 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 41:30 | 11 | 48 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 40 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao B | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 39 |
| 5 | AD Merida | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 6 | Real Madrid B | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32:33 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 33:27 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Lugo | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Racing Club Ferrol | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 37 |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 27:22 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Unionistas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 36 |
| 12 | Zamora | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Aviles | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 31 |
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 30 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 16 | Cacereno | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Arenteiro | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Guadalajara | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 22:39 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 20 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
