Result
2:1
05/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Ochoa M. ⚽,
- 25', 🟨,
- 25', 🟨,
- 28', Coto E. 🟥,
- 30', Sergio Benito ↓, Prado M. ↑,
- 45', 1 - 1, Uzkudun A. ⚽,
- 45+5', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hernandez R. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
- 52', Lopez A. ↓, Isi Ros ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Bari Q. ⚽,
- 73', 🟨,
- 77', 🟨,
- 78', Sanz H. ↓, Bouzaig A. ↑,
- 78', Aranzabe A. ↓, Castillo N. ↑,
- 82', Bari Q. ↓, Rivera C. ↑,
- 82', Uzkudun A. ↓, Rubio R. ↑,
- 87', Santamaria A. 🟨,
- 88', 🟨,
- 89', Santamaria A. ↓, Luis Alcalde ↑,
- 89', Bautista K. ↓, Cueto J. ↑,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Real Avilés
41.6% | Draw
31.5% | Ourense CF
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Real Avilés - Ourense CF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.19) |
2.88 ↓
(3.05) |
3.44 ↑
(3.23) |
9.1%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent form of Real Avilés has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Ourense CF has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Real Avilés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Real Avilés might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Avilés won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:11. (average 0.2:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real Avilés won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Avilés won against Ourense CF?
Real Avilés has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Real Avilés?
Ourense CF has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Avilés - Ourense CF were as follows:
03.01.2026
Ourense CF
-
Real Avilés
2:1
05.05.2024
Real Avilés
-
Ourense CF
0:2
06.01.2024
Ourense CF
-
Real Avilés
2:0
22.04.2023
Real Avilés
-
Ourense CF
0:3
11.12.2022
Ourense CF
-
Real Avilés
2:0
Latest results of Real Avilés
Latest results of Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 51:18 | 33 | 65 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 47:42 | 5 | 54 |
| 3 | Ponferradina | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 35:25 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 46:41 | 5 | 46 |
| 6 | Zamora | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Pontevedra | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 46 |
| 8 | Lugo | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 45 |
| 9 | Unionistas | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 44:42 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao B | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 | Arenas Getxo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 44 |
| 13 | Racing Club Ferrol | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 35:36 | -1 | 42 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 45:53 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 | CF Talavera | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 32:40 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 30 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28:42 | -14 | 26 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
