Talavera de la Reina vs Real Avilés – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio El Prado (Talavera de la Reina).

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28
Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+

Match Stats


Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
0	0
Shots on target
0	0
Corner kicks
0	0
Total shots
0	0
Shots on target
0	0
Shots off target
0	0
Corner kicks
0	0

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Ferni ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Cayarga B. ⚽,
45', Navarro I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Grigore R. ↓, Chukwuma E. ↑,
62', Cayarga B. ↓, Rubio R. ↑,
62', Gomez A. ↓, Rivera C. ↑,
62', Cuenca D. ↓, Roig A. ↑,
62', Montero Sergio ↓, Gomez V. ↑,
69', Cueto J. ↓, Santamaria A. ↑,
72', Navarro I. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
73', Menendez O. ↓, Ortega G. ↑,
77', Moreno M. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
77', Pitu ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
83', Isi Ros 🟨,
90', Belman 🟨,
90+5', Bautista K. 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Talavera de la Reina
50.4%

Draw
27.1%

Real Avilés
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

27%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Talavera de la Reina's performance.

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Talavera de la Reina - Real Avilés Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.03)	3.39 ↑ (3.31)	4.07 ↑ (3.34)	8.4% (9.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14).
Recent performances by Talavera have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Real Avilés has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Real Avilés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Talavera might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Talavera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Talavera de la Reina won against Real Avilés?

Talavera de la Reina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Avilés won against Talavera de la Reina?

Real Avilés has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Talavera de la Reina - Real Avilés were as follows:

19.10.2025 Real Avilés - Talavera de la Reina 1:1

Latest results of Talavera de la Reina

07.03.2026 Mérida AD - Talavera de la Reina 0:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Talavera de la Reina - Ferrol 3:1 ✺

20.02.2026 Ponferradina - Talavera de la Reina 1:0 ✺

15.02.2026 Talavera de la Reina - Arenteiro 2:1 ✺

06.02.2026 Barakaldo - Talavera de la Reina 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Real Avilés

08.03.2026 Real Avilés - Zamora 0:2 ✺

27.02.2026 Tenerife - Real Avilés 2:2 ✺

21.02.2026 Real Avilés - Real Madrid Castilla 1:1 ✺

15.02.2026 Celta de Vigo B - Real Avilés 4:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Arenteiro - Real Avilés 6:3 ✺

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tenerife	35	21	10	4	57:20	37	73
2	Celta Vigo B	35	17	10	8	56:44	12	61
3	Zamora	35	16	10	9	49:38	11	58
4	Real Madrid B	35	16	8	11	55:43	12	56
5	Pontevedra	35	13	15	7	43:26	17	54
6	Ponferradina	35	14	9	12	38:32	6	51
7	Barakaldo	35	13	12	10	44:36	8	51
8	Unionistas	35	13	10	12	47:45	2	49
9	AD Merida	34	13	9	12	44:47	-3	48
10	Racing Club Ferrol	35	13	8	14	38:43	-5	47
11	Arenas Getxo	35	14	5	16	41:51	-10	47
12	Lugo	34	11	13	10	32:37	-5	46
13	Ath Bilbao B	34	12	9	13	34:38	-4	45
14	Real Aviles	35	11	10	14	51:58	-7	43
15	CF Talavera	35	10	9	16	35:44	-9	39
16	Ourense CF	34	9	11	14	38:40	-2	38
17	Guadalajara	35	9	10	16	39:54	-15	37
18	Osasuna B	35	9	9	17	25:39	-14	36
19	Cacereno	34	7	14	13	31:45	-14	35
20	Arenteiro	34	6	9	19	29:46	-17	27

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