Ourense CF vs Real Madrid Castilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
19/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
77
Shots on target
55
Corner Kicks
36
Yellow Cards
62
Red Cards
10
Total shots
77
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
22
Corner Kicks
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Munoz D. 🟨,
  • 15', Martin R. , Yanez D. ,
  • 43', Bouzaig A. 🟨,
  • 45+8', Bouzaig A. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Munoz D. , Camus M. ,
  • 57', 0 - 1, Palacios C. ,
  • 65', Ramos J. 🟨,
  • 67', 0 - 2, Valdepenas V. , Jimenez D. (A),
  • 68', Ouhdadi O. , Castillo N. ,
  • 68', Ramos J. , Vazquez K. ,
  • 71', Raton A. 🟨,
  • 76', Carmona F. 🟨,
  • 77', 0 - 3, Zuniga L. (Pen),
  • 79', Prado M. , Gueye L. ,
  • 79', Guerrero A. , Coto E. ,
  • 80', Zuniga L. , Iglesias Lois B. ,
  • 80', Angel M. , Perea C. ,
  • 83', Cestero Sancho J. , Fortea J. ,
  • 83', Palacios C. , Castrelo G. ,
  • 88', Serrano M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 3, Vazquez K. ,
  • 90+4', Vazquez K. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ourense CF
32.6%
Draw
30.9%
Real Madrid Castilla
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.8% 28.9% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 27.9% 38.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Ourense CF - Real Madrid Castilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (2.65)
    3
    (3.1)
    2.54
    (2.4)
    8.3%
    (11.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ourense CF - Real Madrid Castilla?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Real Madrid Castilla (1.77) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Real Madrid Castilla (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Ourense CF has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    04.10.2025 Ferrol - Ourense CF 1:1
    01.10.2025 Bergantiños - Ourense CF 0:2
    27.09.2025 Ourense CF - Pontevedra 1:2
    Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife29196450:173363
    2Celta Vigo B29149644:36851
    3Ath Bilbao B29128931:31044
    4Barakaldo291111738:29944
    5Pontevedra281013532:201243
    6Ponferradina291271031:24743
    7Zamora291110838:33543
    8Real Madrid B291271040:38243
    9Lugo291012728:28042
    10Racing Club Ferrol291261134:33142
    11AD Merida291181038:39-141
    12Unionistas291081138:39-138
    13Arenas Getxo281051332:39-735
    14Real Aviles29971341:49-834
    15Ourense CF29891231:33-233
    16Guadalajara29881331:42-1132
    17CF Talavera29871430:39-931
    18Cacereno296121127:38-1130
    19Arenteiro29681526:37-1126
    20Osasuna B29591518:34-1624

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