Oxford United vs Stoke City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Kassam Stadium (Oxford).

Championship - Round 14
Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.66	2.19
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
16	14
Shots on target
1	6
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
10	7
Passes
76% (264/347)	78% (306/392)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66	2.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.11	3.24
Total shots
16	14
Shots on target
1	6
Shots off target
10	5
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
8	12
Shots outside the Box
7	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
10	7
Touches in opposition box
28	29
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
13	6
Passes
76% (264/347)	78% (306/392)
Long passes
42% (23/55)	42% (30/72)
Passes in final third
63% (68/108)	62% (54/87)
Crosses
25% (9/36)	26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.14	1.03
Throw-ins
19	21
Fouls
6	13
Tackles
79% (11/14)	62% (8/13)
Duels won
46	39
Clearances
14	44
Interceptions
22	8
Errors leading to shot
0	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
3.24	0.11
Goals prevented
0.24	0.11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Baker L. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, N'Zonzi S. ⚽, Baker L. (A),
40', Brown C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 3, Baker L. ⚽,
53', Placheta P. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
53', Vaulks W. ↓, Prelec N. ↑,
59', N'Zonzi S. 🟨,
63', Baker L. ↓, Bae J. ↑,
63', Seko T. ↓, Pearson B. ↑,
73', Mubama D. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,
73', Manhoef M. ↓, Cisse L. ↑,
74', Phillips A. 🟨,
76', Lankshear W. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
78', N'Zonzi S. ↓, Rigo T. ↑,
81', Mills S. ↓, ter Haar Romeny O. ↑,
81', Leigh G. ↓, Sibley L. ↑,
83', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Oxford United
30.9%

Draw
28.9%

Stoke City
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

27.9%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

28.3%

37.8%

Oxford United - Stoke City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.8)	3.29 ↓ (3.39)	2.38 ↓ (2.47)	5.2% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Oxford United - Stoke City?

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Stoke will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 34.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 23.3% – 61.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Oxford (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Stoke (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 18 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Recent performances by Oxford have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Stoke is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Oxford: Phillips M. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Stoke: Gallagher S. (Muscle Injury) Lawal B. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Oxford: Currie J. (Injury) Spencer B. (Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
Including home match between the teams, Oxford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Stoke City?

Oxford United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Oxford United?

Stoke City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Stoke City were as follows:

25.01.2025 Stoke City - Oxford United 0:0

14.09.2024 Oxford United - Stoke City 1:0

Latest results of Oxford United

01.11.2025 Oxford United - Millwall 2:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Sheffield Wednesday - Oxford United 1:2 ✺

22.10.2025 Wrexham - Oxford United 1:0 ✺

18.10.2025 Oxford United - Derby County 1:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Watford - Oxford United 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Stoke City

01.11.2025 Stoke City - Bristol City 5:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Portsmouth - Stoke City 0:1 ✺

21.10.2025 Millwall - Stoke City 2:0 ✺

18.10.2025 Stoke City - Wrexham 1:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Stoke City 1:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	31	18	7	6	49:30	19	61
2	Coventry	31	17	8	6	63:35	28	59
3	Ipswich	30	15	9	6	51:29	22	54
4	Hull	31	16	6	9	50:43	7	54
5	Millwall	31	15	8	8	39:36	3	53
6	Wrexham	31	12	11	8	44:39	5	47
7	Preston	31	12	11	8	38:34	4	47
8	Bristol City	31	13	7	11	43:38	5	46
9	Southampton	32	12	10	10	48:44	4	46
10	Birmingham	32	12	10	10	43:39	4	46
11	Derby	31	12	9	10	45:39	6	45
12	Watford	31	11	11	9	39:36	3	44
13	QPR	31	12	8	11	42:43	-1	44
14	Stoke	31	12	7	12	34:28	6	43
15	Swansea	31	12	6	13	38:37	1	42
16	Norwich	32	11	6	15	42:42	0	39
17	Sheffield Utd	31	12	3	16	44:45	-1	39
18	Charlton	30	9	9	12	29:38	-9	36
19	West Brom	32	9	7	16	32:47	-15	34
20	Portsmouth	29	8	9	12	27:38	-11	33
21	Leicester	32	10	8	14	44:51	-7	32
22	Blackburn	31	8	8	15	27:40	-13	32
23	Oxford Utd	32	6	10	16	28:44	-16	28
24	Sheffield Wed	31	1	8	22	18:62	-44	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One