Stoke City vs Oxford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Result
2:1
25/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 34
  • Referee: Linington J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1, SupeSport ESPN 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
haitiHaitiTele Haiti
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1, SupeSport ESPN 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 4, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN 2, SupeSport ESPN
swedenSwedenViaplay
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.511.46
Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
219
Shots on target
92
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
87
Passes
85% (389/456)74% (202/273)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
1.511.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.680.97
Total shots
219
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
75
Blocked shots
52
Shots inside the box
128
Shots outside the box
91
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
87
Touches in opposition box
1817
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free kicks
511
Passes
85% (389/456)74% (202/273)
Long passes
49% (32/65)34% (18/53)
Passes in final third
81% (108/134)62% (58/94)
Crosses
27% (7/26)23% (6/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.080.82
Throw ins
2613
Fouls
115
Tackles
64% (7/11)78% (14/18)
Duels won
4651
Clearances
3037
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
16
xGOT faced
0.971.68
Goals prevented
-0.03-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', Talovierov M. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Cisse L. ⚽, Manhoef M. (A),
  • 44', 1 - 1, Brown C. ⚽, Mills S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Jeon Jin-Woo ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
  • 53', Wilmot B. 🟨,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Rak-Sakyi J. ⚽, Thomas S. (A),
  • 66', Lankshear W. ↓, Prelec N. ↑,
  • 66', Mills S. ↓, ter Haar Romeny O. ↑,
  • 66', Brannagan C. ↓, Konak Y. E. ↑,
  • 70', Rak-Sakyi J. ↓, Bae J. ↑,
  • 78', Rigo T. ↓, Seko T. ↑,
  • 83', Peart-Harris M. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
  • 89', Vaulks W. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Cisse L. ↓, Smit M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stoke City
50.7%		Draw
27%		Oxford United
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 26.6% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 24.8% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
    •

    Stoke City - Oxford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.87 ↑
    (1.78)    		 3.51 ↓
    (3.55)    		 4.28 ↓
    (4.6)    		 5.4%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Stoke City - Oxford United?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 19 - 76%). Oxford will win (votes: 1 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 59.3% – 92.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Oxford (3.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Oxford (4.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Oxford (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stoke City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 3 - 50%). Oxford (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 16 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Stoke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Stoke is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Stoke: Ampah A. (Injury) Baker L. (Inactive) Bazunu G. (Thigh Injury) Bozenik R. (Shoulder Injury) Gallagher S. (Hamstring Injury) Johansson V. (Shoulder Injury) Lawal B. (Inactive) Mubama D. (Ankle Injury) Tchamadeu J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Oxford: Goodrham T. (Injury) Leigh G. (Inactive) ter Avest H. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oxford: De Keersmaecker B. (Inactive) McDonnell J. (Injury) Prelec N. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Stoke won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Oxford United were as follows:
    04.11.2025 Oxford United - Stoke City 0:3
    25.01.2025 Stoke City - Oxford United 0:0
    14.09.2024 Oxford United - Stoke City 1:0
    Latest results of Stoke City
    21.02.2026 Stoke City - Leicester City 2:2 ✺
    15.02.2026 Stoke City - Fulham 1:2 ✺
    11.02.2026 Charlton Athletic - Stoke City 1:0 ✺
    07.02.2026 West Bromwich Albion - Stoke City 0:0 ✺
    31.01.2026 Stoke City - Southampton 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Oxford United
    21.02.2026 Middlesbrough - Oxford United 0:0 ✺
    15.02.2026 Oxford United - Sunderland 0:1 ✺
    10.02.2026 Oxford United - Norwich City 0:3 ✺
    07.02.2026 Coventry City - Oxford United 0:0 ✺
    03.02.2026 Sheffield United - Oxford United 3:1 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry39248781:404180
    2Middlesbrough392011859:372271
    3Ipswich381912767:392869
    4Millwall392091053:44969
    5Hull392061362:57566
    6Southampton3917121063:481563
    7Wrexham3917121060:51963
    8Derby391791356:48860
    9Watford3914141150:46456
    10Norwich391661752:46654
    11Birmingham3914111448:49-153
    12QPR391581655:61-653
    13Preston3913131345:49-452
    14Swansea391571744:49-552
    15Stoke391491646:43351
    16Bristol City391491649:50-151
    17Sheffield Utd391551954:54050
    18Charlton3912121536:46-1048
    19Blackburn3911101836:49-1343
    20West Brom3911101840:54-1443
    21Portsmouth3810101837:54-1740
    22Leicester3911121651:60-939
    23Oxford Utd399121836:51-1539
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 39192924:79-55-6

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
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