Oxford United vs Stoke City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
04/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 14
  • Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.19
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
107
Passes
76% (264/347)78% (306/392)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.113.24
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
105
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
107
Touches in opposition box
2829
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
136
Passes
76% (264/347)78% (306/392)
Long passes
42% (23/55)42% (30/72)
Passes in final third
63% (68/108)62% (54/87)
Crosses
25% (9/36)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.141.03
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
613
Tackles
79% (11/14)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4639
Clearances
1444
Interceptions
228
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
3.240.11
Goals prevented
0.240.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Baker L. ,
  • 32', 0 - 2, N'Zonzi S. , Baker L. (A),
  • 40', Brown C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', 0 - 3, Baker L. ,
  • 53', Placheta P. , Dembele S. ,
  • 53', Vaulks W. , Prelec N. ,
  • 59', N'Zonzi S. 🟨,
  • 63', Baker L. , Bae J. ,
  • 63', Seko T. , Pearson B. ,
  • 73', Mubama D. , Bozenik R. ,
  • 73', Manhoef M. , Cisse L. ,
  • 74', Phillips A. 🟨,
  • 76', Lankshear W. , Harris M. ,
  • 78', N'Zonzi S. , Rigo T. ,
  • 81', Mills S. , ter Haar Romeny O. ,
  • 81', Leigh G. , Sibley L. ,
  • 83', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Oxford United
30.9%
Draw
28.9%
Stoke City
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.8% 27.9% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2% 28.3% 37.8%

Oxford United - Stoke City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.04
(2.8)
3.29
(3.39)
2.38
(2.47)
5.2%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Oxford United - Stoke City?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Stoke will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 34.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 23.3%61.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Oxford (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 18 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Recent performances by Oxford have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Stoke is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Oxford: Phillips M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Stoke: Gallagher S. (Muscle Injury) Lawal B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oxford: Currie J. (Injury) Spencer B. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Oxford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Stoke City were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Stoke City - Oxford United 0:0
    14.09.2024 Oxford United - Stoke City 1:0
    Latest results of Oxford United
    Latest results of Stoke City
    01.11.2025 Stoke City - Bristol City 5:1
    25.10.2025 Portsmouth - Stoke City 0:1
    21.10.2025 Millwall - Stoke City 2:0
    18.10.2025 Stoke City - Wrexham 1:0
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry24156354:252951
    2Middlesbrough24127533:25843
    3Ipswich24118540:231741
    4Hull24125740:37341
    5Millwall24116727:32-539
    6Watford24108634:29538
    7Preston24910531:25637
    8Bristol City24106833:27636
    9QPR24105934:37-335
    10Stoke241041029:23634
    11Wrexham24810634:31334
    12Leicester2497834:34034
    13Southampton2488838:34432
    14Derby2488833:33032
    15Birmingham2487932:31131
    16West Brom24941128:32-431
    17Sheffield Utd24921333:37-429
    18Swansea24851125:31-629
    19Blackburn23761022:26-427
    20Charlton23761022:29-727
    21Portsmouth23671021:30-925
    22Oxford Utd24571224:33-922
    23Norwich24561326:36-1021
    24Sheffield Wed23181418:45-27-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One