Result
0:3
04/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 14
- Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 2.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (264/347) | 78% (306/392) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 2.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 3.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (264/347) | 78% (306/392) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (23/55) | 42% (30/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (68/108) | 62% (54/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (9/36) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.24 | 0.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Baker L. ⚽,
- 32', 0 - 2, N'Zonzi S. ⚽, Baker L. (A),
- 40', Brown C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', 0 - 3, Baker L. ⚽,
- 53', Placheta P. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
- 53', Vaulks W. ↓, Prelec N. ↑,
- 59', N'Zonzi S. 🟨,
- 63', Baker L. ↓, Bae J. ↑,
- 63', Seko T. ↓, Pearson B. ↑,
- 73', Mubama D. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,
- 73', Manhoef M. ↓, Cisse L. ↑,
- 74', Phillips A. 🟨,
- 76', Lankshear W. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
- 78', N'Zonzi S. ↓, Rigo T. ↑,
- 81', Mills S. ↓, ter Haar Romeny O. ↑,
- 81', Leigh G. ↓, Sibley L. ↑,
- 83', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Oxford United
30.9% | Draw
28.9% | Stoke City
40.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Oxford United - Stoke City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↑
(2.8) |
3.29 ↓
(3.39) |
2.38 ↓
(2.47) |
5.2%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Oxford United - Stoke City?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Stoke will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 34.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 23.3% – 61.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Oxford (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 18 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Recent performances by Oxford have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Stoke is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Oxford: Phillips M.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Stoke: Gallagher S.
(Muscle Injury)
Lawal B.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Oxford: Currie J.
(Injury)
Spencer B.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Oxford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Stoke City?
Oxford United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Oxford United?
Stoke City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Stoke City were as follows:
25.01.2025
Stoke City
-
Oxford United
0:0
14.09.2024
Oxford United
-
Stoke City
1:0
Latest results of Oxford United
Latest results of Stoke City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 61:31 | 30 | 58 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 52 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 47:24 | 23 | 50 |
| 4 | Hull | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 45:39 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Millwall | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 32:35 | -3 | 46 |
| 6 | Preston | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 36:29 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 | Watford | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 38:32 | 6 | 42 |
| 8 | Stoke | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 33:25 | 8 | 41 |
| 9 | Wrexham | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 40:35 | 5 | 41 |
| 10 | Derby | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 41 |
| 11 | Bristol City | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:31 | 7 | 40 |
| 12 | QPR | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:39 | -1 | 40 |
| 13 | Birmingham | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 38 |
| 14 | Leicester | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:41 | -2 | 38 |
| 15 | Southampton | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 40:40 | 0 | 36 |
| 16 | Swansea | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 31:35 | -4 | 36 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 36:40 | -4 | 32 |
| 18 | Charlton | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 32 |
| 19 | West Brom | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
| 20 | Norwich | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 35:40 | -5 | 30 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 23:36 | -13 | 29 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 25:36 | -11 | 28 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:54 | -36 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
