Result
0:3
09/08/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 4
- Referee: Quintero D. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (212/253) | 86% (281/325) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (212/253) | 86% (281/325) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (16/30) | 55% (24/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (55/78) | 81% (65/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 36% (4/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 27 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.46 | 0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 9', 0 - 1, Togni G. ⚽, Montiel E. (A),
- 24', 0 - 2, Aceves A. ⚽, Guzman V. (A),
- 42', 0 - 3, Barreto S. D. ⚽, Montiel E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Orrantia C. ↓, Coccaro M. ↑,
- 54', Djurdjevic U. 🟨,
- 54', 🟨,
- 60', Cadiz J. ↓, Alemao ↑,
- 60', Togni G. ↓, Quinones L. ↑,
- 61', Moreno C. 🟨,
- 61', Coccaro M. 🟨,
- 70', Dominguez A. 🟨,
- 71', 🟨,
- 71', Gustavo Ferrareis ↓, Hernandez S. ↑,
- 72', Aguirre E. ↓, del Prete G. ↑,
- 72', Dominguez A. ↓, Idrissi O. ↑,
- 72', Guzman V. ↓, Kenedy ↑,
- 72', Rodriguez L. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
- 83', Pedraza P. 🟨,
- 88', Gonzalez D. ↓, Blanco L. ↑,
- 90+3', Gonzalez A. ↓, Garcia M. E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlas
26.3% | Draw
26.9% | Pachuca
46.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlas's form might have worsened.Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pachuca's recent form is better than expected.
Atlas - Pachuca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.57 ↑
(2.81) |
3.5 ↑
(3.45) |
2.01 ↓
(2.31) |
6.4%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlas - Pachuca?
Users Predictions:
Pachuca will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pachuca will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 2.
- Atlas has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Pachuca is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Atlas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Atlas has had a series of away games.
- Pachuca might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Atlas: Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Lozano J.
(Red Card)
Manotas M.
(Knee Injury)
Rodriguez J.
(Injury)
Zaldivar E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlas: Mora A.
(Injury)
Ramirez P.
(Muscle Injury)
Rios De Alba V. H.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against Pachuca?
Atlas has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Atlas?
Pachuca has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlas - Pachuca were as follows:
01.02.2025
Pachuca
-
Atlas
0:0
13.09.2024
Atlas
-
Pachuca
2:0
31.01.2024
Pachuca
-
Atlas
4:3
01.11.2023
Atlas
-
Pachuca
0:2
15.04.2023
Atlas
-
Pachuca
4:1
Latest results of Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pachuca | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Toluca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Club America | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Santos Laguna | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Mazatlan FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | UNAM Pumas | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Atlas | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Club Leon | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 16 | Puebla | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 3 |
| 17 | Juarez | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Queretaro | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
