Result
3:1
14/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | FOX One |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (241/312) | 87% (448/516) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (241/312) | 87% (448/516) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (30/58) | 56% (32/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (55/91) | 69% (75/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.74 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -2.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', Bautista A. 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Idrissi O. ⚽, Rivera C. (A),
- 41', 2 - 0, Garcia Caprizo B. A. ⚽, Idrissi O. (A),
- 45+3', Dominguez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Garcia M. E. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
- 46', Rios De Alba V. H. ↓, Zaldivar E. ↑,
- 62', Barreto S. D. 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 1, Gonzalez A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 65', Idrissi O. ↓, Quinones L. ↑,
- 67', 3 - 1, Rondon S. ⚽, Dominguez A. (A),
- 79', Bautista A. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
- 79', Gustavo Ferrareis ↓, Gamboa L. ↑,
- 79', Rodriguez S. ↓, Pedraza P. ↑,
- 83', Moreno C. 🟨,
- 87', Sanchez C. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 88', Gonzalez A. ↓, del Prete G. ↑,
- 90+6', Pedraza P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pachuca
53.7% | Draw
26.6% | Atlas
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Atlas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pachuca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Pachuca - Atlas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.62) |
3.54 ↓
(3.76) |
4.75 ↓
(5.72) |
6.2%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Pachuca - Atlas?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Pachuca (1.96) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -0.25 - Pachuca (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Pachuca (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Pachuca (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Pachuca will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pachuca will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Atlas (votes: 1 - 8.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 3.
- Pachuca has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Pachuca is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
Montiel E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mozo A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Atlas: Ortega E.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Pachuca: Valencia E.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlas: Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Rodriguez J.
(Muscle Injury)
Serrato J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Atlas?
Pachuca has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against Pachuca?
Atlas has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pachuca - Atlas were as follows:
09.08.2025
Atlas
-
Pachuca
0:3
01.02.2025
Pachuca
-
Atlas
0:0
13.09.2024
Atlas
-
Pachuca
2:0
31.01.2024
Pachuca
-
Atlas
4:3
01.11.2023
Atlas
-
Pachuca
0:2
Latest results of Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | Toluca | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20:12 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Club America | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:12 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Puebla | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Juarez | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Necaxa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:29 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
