Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Armenta J. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (325/381) | 85% (328/388) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (325/381) | 85% (328/388) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (43/67) | 46% (28/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (63/93) | 62% (49/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | 1.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Orozco J. 🟥,
- 20', Rivero I. 🟨,
- 45+3', Quinones L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rodriguez C. ↓, Lira E. ↑,
- 56', Quinones L. 🟥,
- 62', Aceves A. 🟥,
- 65', 0 - 1, Fernandez G. (Pen),
- 67', Dominguez A. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
- 67', Idrissi O. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
- 71', Cadiz J. ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
- 71', Bautista A. ↓, Kenedy ↑,
- 75', Paradela J. ↓, Bogusz M. ↑,
- 75', Romero L. ↓, Campos O. ↑,
- 85', Rotondi C. ↓, Faravelli L. ↑,
- 85', Rivero I. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
- 90+4', Montiel E. ↓, Togni G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pachuca
37.3% | Draw
28.9% | Cruz Azul
33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Pachuca - Cruz Azul Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↑
(2.46) |
3.37 ↓
(3.4) |
2.96 ↑
(2.73) |
2.2%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pachuca - Cruz Azul?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruz Azul: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 2.
- Pachuca is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cruz Azul is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Recently, Pachuca has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Pachuca: Cadiz J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Cruz Azul: Montano A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Cruz Azul?
Pachuca has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Pachuca?
Cruz Azul has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pachuca - Cruz Azul were as follows:
08.02.2025
Cruz Azul
-
Pachuca
2:1
28.09.2024
Pachuca
-
Cruz Azul
2:4
13.01.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Pachuca
0:1
23.08.2023
Pachuca
-
Cruz Azul
1:0
01.04.2023
Pachuca
-
Cruz Azul
0:2
Latest results of Pachuca
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca ✔ | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 39:16 | 23 | 32 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27:17 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Club America ✔ | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31:16 | 15 | 31 |
| 5 | Monterrey ✔ | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30:24 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 8 | Pachuca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Juarez | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Atlas | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 24:33 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | UNAM Pumas | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 14 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | Puebla | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 19:38 | -19 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
