Result
03/05/2026 at 21:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Toluca
53.9% | Draw
24.3% | Pachuca
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Toluca - Pachuca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.82) |
3.8 ↓
(4.01) |
4.27 ↑
(3.84) |
7.4%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Toluca is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:36. (average 1.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 2.1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Pachuca?
Toluca has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Toluca?
Pachuca has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Pachuca were as follows:
22.03.2026
Pachuca
-
Toluca
1:1
26.10.2025
Toluca
-
Pachuca
2:2
29.03.2025
Toluca
-
Pachuca
3:2
17.09.2024
Pachuca
-
Toluca
2:2
30.03.2024
Pachuca
-
Toluca
2:3
Latest results of Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
