Result
1:0
09/11/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 17
- Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (239/318) | 87% (455/526) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (239/318) | 87% (455/526) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (20/62) | 55% (26/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (53/79) | 74% (117/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 23% (6/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 2.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.75 | 2.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Palacios K. 🟨,
- 17', Abella J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Pedraza P. ↓, Luna I. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 0, Amione B. ⚽, Abella J. (A),
- 64', Quinones L. ↓, Idrissi O. ↑,
- 69', Palacios K. ↓, Dajome C. ↑,
- 69', Villalba F. ↓, Guemez J. ↑,
- 73', Berlanga J. 🟨,
- 79', Barticciotto B. ↓, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ↑,
- 79', Balanta K. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 80', Guzman V. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
- 80', Garcia Caprizo B. A. ↓, Cadiz J. ↑,
- 85', Amione B. ↓, Echeverria E. ↑,
- 90+3', Sordo R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santos Laguna
23.3% | Draw
23.1% | Pachuca
53.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-1%)
Santos Laguna - Pachuca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.99 ↑
(3.79) |
4.11 ↑
(4.08) |
1.77 ↓
(1.82) |
6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Santos Laguna - Pachuca?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Pachuca (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Pachuca will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- Pachuca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Santos Laguna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Pachuca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Santos Laguna: Fagundez F.
(Coach's decision)
- There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Lozano C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Pachuca: Dominguez A.
(Injury)
Montiel E.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:36. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos Laguna won against Pachuca?
Santos Laguna has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Santos Laguna?
Pachuca has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos Laguna - Pachuca were as follows:
20.01.2025
Pachuca
-
Santos Laguna
2:1
22.10.2024
Santos Laguna
-
Pachuca
1:1
20.04.2024
Santos Laguna
-
Pachuca
0:2
18.09.2023
Pachuca
-
Santos Laguna
3:2
06.05.2023
Pachuca
-
Santos Laguna
4:5
Latest results of Santos Laguna
Latest results of Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | Toluca | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20:12 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Club America | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:12 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Puebla | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Juarez | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Necaxa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:29 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
