Pachuca vs Tijuana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Pachuca - Tijuana
16/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Pachuca
68.1%
Draw
18.6%
Tijuana
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.4% 17% 11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3% 16.3% 11.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pachuca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Pachuca - Tijuana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.31)
    5.08
    (5.52)
    7.45
    (8.02)
    5.6%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 3.
    • Pachuca is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tijuana has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Tijuana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tijuana has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Pachuca is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Pachuca will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 46:26. (average 2.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 31:7. (average 3.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pachuca - Tijuana were as follows:
    04.10.2024 Tijuana - Pachuca 2:1
    03.02.2024 Pachuca - Tijuana 3:2
    10.11.2023 Tijuana - Pachuca 2:3
    26.02.2023 Tijuana - Pachuca 2:0
    11.09.2022 Pachuca - Tijuana 6:1
    Latest results of Pachuca
    09.08.2025 Atlas - Pachuca 0:3
    05.08.2025 Houston Dynamo - Pachuca 1:2
    01.08.2025 Los Angeles - Pachuca 2:1
    29.07.2025 Pachuca - San Diego 3:2
    26.07.2025 Pachuca - Mazatlan 1:0
    Latest results of Tijuana
    09.08.2025 Mazatlan - Tijuana 2:2
    06.08.2025 Seattle Sounders - Tijuana 2:1
    03.08.2025 Colorado Rapids - Tijuana 1:2
    25.07.2025 Tijuana - Juárez 1:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Pachuca440010:2812
    2Tigres UANL330012:399
    3Club America42206:338
    4Toluca320110:736
    5Santos Laguna42026:516
    6Monterrey32014:406
    7Cruz Azul31207:435
    8Necaxa41216:605
    9Mazatlan FC41214:405
    10Club Tijuana41215:6-15
    11UNAM Pumas41125:7-24
    12Atlas41127:11-44
    13Atl. San Luis31024:5-13
    14Guadalajara Chivas31024:5-13
    15Club Leon31022:5-33
    16Puebla41034:12-83
    17Juarez30212:3-12
    18Queretaro40041:7-60

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )