Result
0:0
28/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 16
- Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Francisco Ramos 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 48', Derick Poloni 🟨,
- 51', D'Agrella L. 🟨,
- 60', Almeida B. ↓, Candeias A. ↑,
- 66', Anilson ↓, Mota ↑,
- 72', Teixeira R. ↓, Semedo Y. ↑,
- 72', Dorregaray D. ↓, Dario Miranda ↑,
- 73', Francisco Ramos ↓, Nito ↑,
- 73', Pinto J. ↓, Diegao ↑,
- 84', Silva V. ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
- 90', Derick Poloni ↓, Jaiminho ↑,
- 90', Ndiaye A. ↓, Geovanny ↑,
Chances of winning
Paços de Ferreira
25.2% | Draw
28.1% | Farense
46.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Paços de Ferreira - Farense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.63 ↑
(3.53) |
3.27 ↓
(3.29) |
2 ↓
(2.07) |
8.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Paços de Ferreira - Farense?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Farense will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Farense: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Farense (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Paços de Ferreira (4.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Farense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 10).
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Farense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Farense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paços de Ferreira won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Farense?
Paços de Ferreira has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Paços de Ferreira?
Farense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paços de Ferreira - Farense were as follows:
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Latest results of Farense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
