Result
29/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 20
Chances of winning
Leiria
53.2% | Draw
26.3% | Paços de Ferreira
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Leiria - Paços de Ferreira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.78) |
3.53 ↑
(3.52) |
4.43 ↓
(4.48) |
8.6%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 1.
- Recent performances by Leiria have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Paços de Ferreira is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Leiria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Leiria is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leiria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Leiria won against Paços de Ferreira?
Leiria has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Leiria?
Paços de Ferreira has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
23.08.2025
Paços de Ferreira
-
Leiria
0:0
25.04.2025
Paços de Ferreira
-
Leiria
2:3
14.12.2024
Leiria
-
Paços de Ferreira
0:1
22.12.2023
Leiria
-
Paços de Ferreira
1:1
12.08.2023
Paços de Ferreira
-
Leiria
0:0
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Vizela | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 5 | Leiria | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 27 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 39:26 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Benfica B | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaves | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Feirense | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 32:49 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | Pacos Ferreira | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
