Result
2:3
25/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 31
- Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', Ze Vitor 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Antunes V. (Pen),
- 33', Resende J. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 1, Munoz J. ⚽, Ze Vitor (A),
- 45', Ferigra E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 54', 1 - 2, Resende J. ⚽, Baro M. (A),
- 71', Paulo M. ↓, Pavlic I. ↑,
- 73', Amado D. 🟨,
- 77', Cardoso G. 🟨,
- 79', 1 - 3, Munoz J. ⚽,
- 80', Resende J. ↓, Lucho Vega ↑,
- 80', dos Anjos D. ↓, Mbina O. ↑,
- 80', Joao Caiado 🟨,
- 80', Baro M. 🟨,
- 81', Joao Caiado ↓, Welton ↑,
- 81', Costinha ↓, Morozov V. ↑,
- 81', Welton 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 3, Morozov V. ⚽,
- 87', Ze Vitor ↓, Ferreira T. ↑,
- 88', Jair da Silva ↓, Monteiro D. ↑,
- 90+2', Antunes V. ↓, Pedro R. ↑,
- 90+2', Ferigra E. ↓, Mota ↑,
Chances of winning
Paços de Ferreira
39.9% | Draw
29% | Leiria
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paços de Ferreira's performance.Leiria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leiria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paços de Ferreira that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leiria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Paços de Ferreira - Leiria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.81) |
3.19 ↓
(3.28) |
3 ↑
(2.45) |
7.3%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Paços de Ferreira - Leiria?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leiria (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Paços de Ferreira will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8).
- Paços de Ferreira is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Leiria is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.5:0.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Paços de Ferreira won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Leiria?
Paços de Ferreira has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leiria won against Paços de Ferreira?
Leiria has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paços de Ferreira - Leiria were as follows:
14.12.2024
Leiria
-
Paços de Ferreira
0:1
22.12.2023
Leiria
-
Paços de Ferreira
1:1
12.08.2023
Paços de Ferreira
-
Leiria
0:0
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Leixoes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Feirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Penafiel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Portimonense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Vizela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Chaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Oliveirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Torreense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Maritimo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Leiria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Academico Viseu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Lusitania FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | SC Farense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Felgueiras | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Porto B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Sporting CP B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Benfica B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
