Result
2:0
29/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 20
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Munoz J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 38', Kouassi E. ↓, Pires M. ↑,
- 39', Michel D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', 2 - 0, Michel D. ⚽,
- 55', Victor J. ↓, da Silva Moreira I. A. ↑,
- 55', Anilson ↓, Mota ↑,
- 62', 🟨,
- 64', da Silva Moreira I. A. 🟨,
- 65', Costa D. ↓, Nito ↑,
- 65', Francisco Ramos ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
- 74', Michel D. ↓, Lottin A. ↑,
- 77', Sousa A. ↓, Dias L. ↑,
- 80', Jair da Silva ↓, Martins D. ↑,
- 80', Munoz J. ↓, Lucho Vega ↑,
- 80', Ze Pedro ↓, Marcelo ↑,
- 87', Nito 🟨,
Chances of winning
Leiria
57.6% | Draw
24.4% | Paços de Ferreira
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leiria's performance.Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Leiria - Paços de Ferreira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.78) |
3.8 ↑
(3.52) |
5.07 ↑
(4.48) |
8%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Leiria - Paços de Ferreira?
Users Predictions:
Leiria will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 1.
- Recent performances by Leiria have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Paços de Ferreira is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Leiria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Leiria is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leiria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Leiria won against Paços de Ferreira?
Leiria has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Leiria?
Paços de Ferreira has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
23.08.2025
Paços de Ferreira
-
Leiria
0:0
25.04.2025
Paços de Ferreira
-
Leiria
2:3
14.12.2024
Leiria
-
Paços de Ferreira
0:1
22.12.2023
Leiria
-
Paços de Ferreira
1:1
12.08.2023
Paços de Ferreira
-
Leiria
0:0
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 53:33 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 4 | Leiria | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 45:36 | 9 | 46 |
| 5 | Vizela | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 37:34 | 3 | 44 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 41 |
| 7 | Sporting CP B | 29 | 13 | 2 | 14 | 41:30 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | FC Porto B | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 41 |
| 9 | Feirense | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | Chaves | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 31:29 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Lusitania FC | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 38 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 35:50 | -15 | 38 |
| 13 | Penafiel | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28:30 | -2 | 35 |
| 14 | Felgueiras | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 31:42 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
