Result
2:1
25/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 19
- Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 7 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 1.13 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (494/575) | 71% (206/292) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.68 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 50 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (494/575) | 71% (206/292) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (24/44) | 30% (16/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (185/238) | 48% (28/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (11/33) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 1.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Amenyido E. ⚽, ter Horst J. (A),
- 28', Bouchama Y. 🟥,
- 33', Batista Meier O. ↓, Meyerhofer M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Hansen M. ↓, Muller R. ↑,
- 46', Bilbija F. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
- 46', Castaneda S. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Tigges S. ⚽, Curda L. (A),
- 66', ter Horst J. 🟨,
- 68', Amenyido E. ↓, Makridis C. ↑,
- 77', Okpala K. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
- 78', Behrens M. 🟨,
- 79', Sertdemir Z. ↓, Preissinger R. ↑,
- 79', Benger M. ↓, Schulz M. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Tigges S. ⚽, Obermair R. (A),
- 85', Baur M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Klaas S. ↓, Engelns L. ↑,
- 90+3', Preissinger R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paderborn
56.5% | Draw
25% | Preußen Münster
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Preußen Münster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (+1%)
Paderborn - Preußen Münster Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.77) |
3.77 ↑
(3.52) |
5.09 ↑
(4.78) |
6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paderborn - Preußen Münster?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Münster will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 54.1% – 91.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25, 1st Half - Paderborn (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Paderborn (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paderborn will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2.
- Paderborn has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Münster has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Paderborn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Münster has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Paderborn is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Paderborn: Hoffmeier M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Münster: Batmaz M.
(Knee Injury)
Bolay L.
(Injury)
Jaeckel P.
(Red Card)
Mees J.
(Injury)
Scherder S.
(Knee Injury)
Tikvic A.
(Knee Injury)
Vilhelmsson O.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 2.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Preußen Münster?
Paderborn has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Preußen Münster won against Paderborn?
Preußen Münster has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Preußen Münster were as follows:
08.08.2025
Preußen Münster
-
Paderborn
1:1
14.02.2025
Paderborn
-
Preußen Münster
2:0
13.09.2024
Preußen Münster
-
Paderborn
3:3
14.01.2024
Paderborn
-
Preußen Münster
6:1
Latest results of Paderborn
Latest results of Preußen Münster
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33:20 | 13 | 46 |
| 2 | Darmstadt | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 44:25 | 19 | 45 |
| 3 | Elversberg | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 42:25 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Paderborn | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 43 |
| 5 | Hannover | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 41:30 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 37 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 8 | Nurnberg | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 30:32 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Karlsruher SC | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 10 | Bochum | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 29 |
| 11 | Arminia Bielefeld | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 27 |
| 12 | Dusseldorf | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 21:33 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | Braunschweig | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Holstein Kiel | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 24 |
| 15 | Preussen Munster | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 23 |
| 16 | Magdeburg | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 23 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 32:40 | -8 | 22 |
| 18 | Greuther Furth | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 34:54 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
