Paderborn vs Preußen Münster – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 19
  • Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.321.13
Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
288
Shots on target
82
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
76
Passes
86% (494/575)71% (206/292)
Yellow cards
13
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.321.13
xG on target (xGOT)
2.681.01
Total shots
288
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
142
Blocked shots
64
Shots inside the box
236
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
21
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
5015
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
109
Passes
86% (494/575)71% (206/292)
Long passes
55% (24/44)30% (16/53)
Passes in final third
78% (185/238)48% (28/58)
Crosses
33% (11/33)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
2.481.25
Throw ins
2319
Fouls
910
Tackles
43% (6/14)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5345
Clearances
1445
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
15
xGOT faced
1.012.68
Goals prevented
0.010.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Amenyido E. , ter Horst J. (A),
  • 28', Bouchama Y. 🟥,
  • 33', Batista Meier O. , Meyerhofer M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Hansen M. , Muller R. ,
  • 46', Bilbija F. , Michel S. ,
  • 46', Castaneda S. , Tigges S. ,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Tigges S. , Curda L. (A),
  • 66', ter Horst J. 🟨,
  • 68', Amenyido E. , Makridis C. ,
  • 77', Okpala K. , Batzner N. ,
  • 78', Behrens M. 🟨,
  • 79', Sertdemir Z. , Preissinger R. ,
  • 79', Benger M. , Schulz M. ,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Tigges S. , Obermair R. (A),
  • 85', Baur M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Klaas S. , Engelns L. ,
  • 90+3', Preissinger R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paderborn
56.5%
Draw
25%
Preußen Münster
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 26.8% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 26.5% 19.5%

Paderborn - Preußen Münster Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.67
(1.77)
3.77
(3.52)
5.09
(4.78)
6%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paderborn - Preußen Münster?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Münster will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 54.1%91.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25, 1st Half - Paderborn (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Paderborn (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paderborn will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2.
    • Paderborn has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Münster has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Paderborn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Münster has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Paderborn is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Münster: Batmaz M. (Knee Injury) Bolay L. (Injury) Jaeckel P. (Red Card) Mees J. (Injury) Scherder S. (Knee Injury) Tikvic A. (Knee Injury) Vilhelmsson O. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 2.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Preußen Münster were as follows:
    08.08.2025 Preußen Münster - Paderborn 1:1
    14.02.2025 Paderborn - Preußen Münster 2:0
    13.09.2024 Preußen Münster - Paderborn 3:3
    14.01.2024 Paderborn - Preußen Münster 6:1
    Latest results of Paderborn
    18.01.2026 Holstein Kiel - Paderborn 2:0
    19.12.2025 Paderborn - Darmstadt 2:2
    13.12.2025 Karlsruher - Paderborn 0:4
    06.12.2025 Paderborn - Elversberg 1:2
    28.11.2025 Schalke 04 - Paderborn 2:1
    Latest results of Preußen Münster
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke20123524:141039
    2Elversberg20115437:201738
    3Darmstadt20108236:221438
    4Paderborn20113631:23836
    5Hannover20105535:27835
    6Kaiserslautern2094735:27831
    7Hertha Berlin2087525:20531
    8Bochum2075829:26326
    9Nurnberg2075823:28-526
    10Karlsruher SC2075829:36-726
    11Holstein Kiel2066825:26-124
    12Braunschweig20731021:32-1124
    13Dusseldorf20721119:30-1123
    14Arminia Bielefeld2056930:28221
    15Preussen Munster2056924:31-721
    16SG Dynamo Dresden20551029:36-720
    17Magdeburg20621226:33-720
    18Greuther Furth20541128:47-1919

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