Result
0:4
04/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 24
- Referee: Djuraev G. (Uzb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Uzbekistan | MTRK Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 29', 0 - 1, Resan B. ⚽,
- 39', 0 - 2, Flamarion ⚽,
- 43', Kulmatov S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Ruziev J. ↓, Juraev A. ↑,
- 57', Pulatov I. 🟨,
- 57', Tabatadze T. 🟨,
- 57', Adkhamzoda U. 🟨,
- 62', Khayrullaev R. ↓, Cirjak F. ↑,
- 62', Yuldoshev M. ↓, Jurabekov S. ↑,
- 69', Resan B. ↓, Khamdamov D. ↑,
- 75', Flamarion ↓, Tahseen Z. ↑,
- 76', Khamdamov D. 🟨,
- 80', 0 - 3, Sergeev I. ⚽,
- 84', 0 - 4, Sergeev I. ⚽,
- 85', Sergeev I. ↓, Abdikholikov B. ↑,
- 85', Turgunboev A. ↓, Erkinov K. ↑,
- 90+3', Begic D. ↓, Tupliev B. ↑,
- 90+7', Alizhonov K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Buxoro
18.6% | Draw
25.2% | Pakhtakor
56.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buxoro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxoro than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pakhtakor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Buxoro - Pakhtakor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.95 ↓
(6.07) |
3.64 ↓
(3.92) |
1.64 ↑
(1.53) |
8.8%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Super League (Relegation) and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buxoro won 0.
- Buxoro is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Pakhtakor is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Buxoro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Pakhtakor has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Pakhtakor is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Buxoro won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 9:46. (average 0.5:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Buxoro won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:20. (average 0.4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Buxoro won against Pakhtakor?
Buxoro has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pakhtakor won against Buxoro?
Pakhtakor has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Buxoro - Pakhtakor were as follows:
10.05.2025
Pakhtakor
-
Buxoro
6:0
29.10.2023
Buxoro
-
Pakhtakor
0:1
13.05.2023
Pakhtakor
-
Buxoro
1:0
Latest results of Pakhtakor
Uzbek League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nasaf Qarshi | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 46:19 | 27 | 53 |
| 2 | Neftchi Fargona | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
| 3 | Pakhtakor | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 49:20 | 29 | 46 |
| 4 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 35:25 | 10 | 44 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 38:30 | 8 | 40 |
| 6 | OKMK | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 35:27 | 8 | 40 |
| 7 | Navbahor Namangan | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 39:29 | 10 | 37 |
| 8 | Qizilqum | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 20:30 | -10 | 29 |
| 9 | Sogdiana | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 30:30 | 0 | 28 |
| 10 | Kokand 1912 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 26 |
| 11 | Andijan | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 25 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18:26 | -8 | 25 |
| 13 | Mashal Muborak | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 18:40 | -22 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25:30 | -5 | 21 |
| 15 | Buxoro | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 21 |
| 16 | Shortan Guzor | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 16:43 | -27 | 12 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Super League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro Liga
