Result
2:2
05/05/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie B - Round 37
- Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 236 | 401 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 180 | 337 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 68 | 130 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 38 | 55 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 1', 1 - 0, Brunori M. ⚽, Soleri E. (A),
- 16', Diakite S. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 1, Caligara F. ⚽, Celia R. (A),
- 34', 2 - 1, Soleri E. ⚽, Segre J. (A),
- 45+1', Di Tacchio F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Gomes C. ↓, Henderson L. ↑,
- 57', Valzania L. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
- 57', Di Tacchio F. ↓, Masini P. ↑,
- 58', Tarantino J. ↓, Nestorovski I. ↑,
- 65', Celia R. ↓, D'Uffizi S. ↑,
- 68', Ranocchia F. ↓, Di Francesco F. ↑,
- 73', Henderson L. 🟨,
- 82', Falzerano M. ↓, Duris D. ↑,
- 83', Brunori M. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
- 83', Ceccaroni P. ↓, Marconi I. ↑,
- 83', Nedelcearu I. ↓, Stulac L. ↑,
- 90', Lucioni F. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Caligara F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Palermo
42% | Draw
30.4% | Ascoli
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Palermo - Ascoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2.09) |
3.12 ↓
(3.45) |
3.45 ↓
(3.49) |
5.4%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Palermo - Ascoli?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Ascoli will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 16.1% – 74.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Palermo won 4.
- Palermo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Ascoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Palermo will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Palermo won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-6.
- Including matches at home between the teams Palermo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Ascoli?
Palermo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against Palermo?
Ascoli has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Ascoli were as follows:
16.09.2023
Ascoli
-
Palermo
0:1
29.01.2023
Ascoli
-
Palermo
1:2
27.08.2022
Palermo
-
Ascoli
2:3
Latest results of Palermo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 64:27 | 37 | 68 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 62:32 | 30 | 65 |
| 3 | Monza | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 50:26 | 24 | 65 |
| 4 | Palermo | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 52:27 | 25 | 61 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 49:38 | 11 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:25 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 38:38 | 0 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 41:47 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 | Avellino | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 37:51 | -14 | 39 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 34:35 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Empoli | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 43:47 | -4 | 36 |
| 13 | Padova | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Mantova | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 36:48 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:45 | -14 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31:46 | -15 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 30:49 | -19 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 43:58 | -15 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
