Result
2:2
05/05/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie B - Round 37
- Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Croatia | SportKlub |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.36 | 0.71 |
Ball Possession |
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37% | 63% |
Goal Attempts |
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6 | 7 |
Shots on Goal |
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3 | 4 |
Shots off Goal |
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3 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
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0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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17 | 20 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 8 |
Offsides |
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1 | 2 |
Throw-ins |
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15 | 26 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 1 |
Fouls |
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11 | 12 |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 1 |
Total Passes |
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236 | 401 |
Completed Passes |
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180 | 337 |
Tackles |
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16 | 10 |
Attacks |
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68 | 130 |
Dangerous Attacks |
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38 | 55 |
Clearances Completed |
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25 | 11 |
Crosses Completed |
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10 | 18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 1', 1 - 0, Brunori M. ⚽, Soleri E. (A),
- 16', Diakite S. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 1, Caligara F. ⚽, Celia R. (A),
- 34', 2 - 1, Soleri E. ⚽, Segre J. (A),
- 45+1', Di Tacchio F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Gomes C. ↓, Henderson L. ↑,
- 57', Valzania L. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
- 57', Di Tacchio F. ↓, Masini P. ↑,
- 58', Tarantino J. ↓, Nestorovski I. ↑,
- 65', Celia R. ↓, D'Uffizi S. ↑,
- 68', Ranocchia F. ↓, Di Francesco F. ↑,
- 73', Henderson L. 🟨,
- 82', Falzerano M. ↓, Duris D. ↑,
- 83', Brunori M. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
- 83', Ceccaroni P. ↓, Marconi I. ↑,
- 83', Nedelcearu I. ↓, Stulac L. ↑,
- 90', Lucioni F. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Caligara F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Palermo 42% | Draw 30.4% | Ascoli 27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Palermo - Ascoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.24 ↑ (2.09) |
3.13 ↓ (3.45) |
3.5 ↑ (3.49) |
5.2% (5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Palermo - Ascoli?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Ascoli will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 16.1% – 74.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Palermo won 4.
- Palermo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Ascoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Palermo will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Palermo won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-6.
- Including matches at home between the teams Palermo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Ascoli?
Palermo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against Palermo?
Ascoli has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Ascoli were as follows:
16.09.2023
Ascoli
-
Palermo
0:1
29.01.2023
Ascoli
-
Palermo
1:2
27.08.2022
Palermo
-
Ascoli
2:3
Latest results of Palermo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Modena | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 17 |
2 | Palermo | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 15 |
3 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Venezia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
5 | Avellino | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
6 | Cesena | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
7 | Monza | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
8 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
9 | Juve Stabia | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Sudtirol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Reggiana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
12 | Empoli | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
13 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
14 | Catanzaro | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
15 | Entella | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
16 | Bari | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
17 | Pescara | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 5 |
18 | Sampdoria | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
19 | Mantova | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
20 | Spezia | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation