Palermo vs Ascoli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Palermo - Ascoli
Result
2:2
05/05/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie B - Round 37
  • Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.360.71
Ball Possession
37%63%
Goal Attempts
67
Shots on Goal
34
Shots off Goal
32
Blocked Shots
01
Free Kicks
1720
Corner Kicks
28
Offsides
12
Throw-ins
1526
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Fouls
1112
Yellow Cards
31
Total Passes
236401
Completed Passes
180337
Tackles
1610
Attacks
68130
Dangerous Attacks
3855
Clearances Completed
2511
Crosses Completed
1018

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Brunori M. , Soleri E. (A),
  • 16', Diakite S. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Caligara F. , Celia R. (A),
  • 34', 2 - 1, Soleri E. , Segre J. (A),
  • 45+1', Di Tacchio F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Gomes C. , Henderson L. ,
  • 57', Valzania L. , Rodriguez P. ,
  • 57', Di Tacchio F. , Masini P. ,
  • 58', Tarantino J. , Nestorovski I. ,
  • 65', Celia R. , D'Uffizi S. ,
  • 68', Ranocchia F. , Di Francesco F. ,
  • 73', Henderson L. 🟨,
  • 82', Falzerano M. , Duris D. ,
  • 83', Brunori M. , Mancuso L. ,
  • 83', Ceccaroni P. , Marconi I. ,
  • 83', Nedelcearu I. , Stulac L. ,
  • 90', Lucioni F. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Caligara F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Palermo
42%
Draw
30.4%
Ascoli
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.4% 27.5% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 27.4% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Palermo - Ascoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.09)
    3.12
    (3.45)
    3.45
    (3.49)
    5.4%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Palermo - Ascoli?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Ascoli will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 16.1%74.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Palermo won 4.
    • Palermo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Ascoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Palermo will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Palermo won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Palermo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Ascoli were as follows:
    16.09.2023 Ascoli - Palermo 0:1
    29.01.2023 Ascoli - Palermo 1:2
    27.08.2022 Palermo - Ascoli 2:3
    Latest results of Palermo
    01.05.2024 Spezia - Palermo 1:0
    27.04.2024 Palermo - Reggiana 1:2
    19.04.2024 Palermo - Parma 0:0
    13.04.2024 Nuova Cosenza - Palermo 1:1
    06.04.2024 Palermo - Sampdoria 2:2
    Latest results of Ascoli
    01.05.2024 Ascoli - Nuova Cosenza 0:1
    27.04.2024 Ternana - Ascoli 0:1
    20.04.2024 Ascoli - Modena 0:0
    13.04.2024 Cittadella - Ascoli 0:0
    07.04.2024 Ascoli - Venezia 0:0
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2