Result
2:1
14/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 3, Tigo Sports App |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | DGO Latin America, ESPN 2 South |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (435/506) | 78% (266/340) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (435/506) | 78% (266/340) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (31/45) | 41% (28/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (132/175) | 61% (48/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/34) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Martinez Arce A. E. ⚽, Abrigo J. (A),
- 43', William Furtado 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Christian ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 46', Villalba L. ↓, Gamarra M. ↑,
- 46', Romero L. ↓, Walace ↑,
- 49', Abrigo J. 🟨,
- 50', Kenji 🟨,
- 59', Zuniga D. 🟨,
- 59', Diaz L. ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
- 67', Abrigo J. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Bolasie Y. ⚽, William Furtado (A),
- 70', Kenji ↓, Dinenno J. ↑,
- 73', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,
- 76', Benitez J. 🟨,
- 76', Carrasco B. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
- 76', Benitez J. ↓, Parra P. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Gabriel Barbosa ⚽, Dinenno J. (A),
- 90+3', Fernandez J. ↓, Salgado D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
37.8% | Draw
28.4% | Palestino
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruzeiro's form might have worsened.Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palestino's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+20.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruzeiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-15.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palestino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cruzeiro - Palestino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↑
(1.62) |
3.34 ↓
(3.9) |
2.83 ↓
(5) |
5.5%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Palestino?
Users Predictions:
Cruzeiro will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruzeiro will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Cruzeiro is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Palestino has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Palestino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cruzeiro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Palestino?
Cruzeiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Cruzeiro?
Palestino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Palestino were as follows:
24.04.2025
Palestino
-
Cruzeiro
2:1
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Latest results of Palestino
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
