Result
2:1
14/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
Bolivia | Tigo Sports 3, Tigo Sports App |
Brazil | Paramount+ |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Chile | DirecTV Sports |
Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Italy | Como TV |
Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Peru | DirecTV Sports |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
South-america | DGO Latin America, ESPN 2 South |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.26 | 0.17 |
Ball Possession |
---|
60% | 40% |
Total shots |
---|
24 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
11 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
16 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
86% (435/506) | 78% (266/340) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.26 | 0.17 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.55 | 0.26 |
Total shots |
---|
24 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
11 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
16 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
16 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
30 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
86% (435/506) | 78% (266/340) |
Long passes |
---|
69% (31/45) | 41% (28/69) |
Passes in final third |
---|
75% (132/175) | 61% (48/79) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (8/34) | 18% (3/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.03 | 0.24 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 10 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
55% (6/11) | 60% (9/15) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 40 |
Clearances |
---|
27 | 33 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 9 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.26 | 1.55 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.74 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Martinez Arce A. E. ⚽, Abrigo J. (A),
- 43', William Furtado 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Christian ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 46', Villalba L. ↓, Gamarra M. ↑,
- 46', Romero L. ↓, Walace ↑,
- 49', Abrigo J. 🟨,
- 50', Kenji 🟨,
- 59', Zuniga D. 🟨,
- 59', Diaz L. ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
- 67', Abrigo J. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Bolasie Y. ⚽, William Furtado (A),
- 70', Kenji ↓, Dinenno J. ↑,
- 73', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,
- 76', Benitez J. 🟨,
- 76', Carrasco B. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
- 76', Benitez J. ↓, Parra P. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Gabriel Barbosa ⚽, Dinenno J. (A),
- 90+3', Fernandez J. ↓, Salgado D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro 37.8% | Draw 28.4% | Palestino 33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruzeiro's form might have worsened.Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palestino's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+20.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruzeiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-15.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palestino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cruzeiro - Palestino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.49 ↑ (1.62) |
3.34 ↓ (3.9) |
2.83 ↓ (5) |
5.5% (7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Palestino?
Users Predictions:
Cruzeiro will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruzeiro will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Cruzeiro is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Palestino has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Palestino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cruzeiro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Palestino?
Cruzeiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Cruzeiro?
Palestino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Palestino were as follows:
24.04.2025
Palestino
-
Cruzeiro
2:1
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Latest results of Palestino
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
4 | Bye | Independiente | |
5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
6 | Bye | Lanus | |
7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | |
2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | |
3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | |
4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | |
5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | |
6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | |
7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | |
8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal