Cruzeiro vs Palestino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Cruzeiro - Palestino
Result
2:1
14/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 3, Tigo Sports App
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
italyItalyComo TV
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America, ESPN 2 South
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.17
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
247
Shots on target
111
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
163
Passes
86% (435/506)78% (266/340)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.550.26
Total shots
247
Shots on target
111
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
163
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
163
Touches in opposition box
3015
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
86% (435/506)78% (266/340)
Long passes
69% (31/45)41% (28/69)
Passes in final third
75% (132/175)61% (48/79)
Crosses
24% (8/34)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.24
Throw-ins
1710
Fouls
1110
Tackles
55% (6/11)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4640
Clearances
2733
Interceptions
412
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
09
xGOT faced
0.261.55
Goals prevented
-0.74-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Martinez Arce A. E. , Abrigo J. (A),
  • 43', William Furtado 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Christian , Rodriguinho ,
  • 46', Villalba L. , Gamarra M. ,
  • 46', Romero L. , Walace ,
  • 49', Abrigo J. 🟨,
  • 50', Kenji 🟨,
  • 59', Zuniga D. 🟨,
  • 59', Diaz L. , Bolasie Y. ,
  • 67', Abrigo J. , Arias J. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Bolasie Y. , William Furtado (A),
  • 70', Kenji , Dinenno J. ,
  • 73', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,
  • 76', Benitez J. 🟨,
  • 76', Carrasco B. , Castro F. ,
  • 76', Benitez J. , Parra P. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Gabriel Barbosa , Dinenno J. (A),
  • 90+3', Fernandez J. , Salgado D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cruzeiro
37.8%
Draw
28.4%
Palestino
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 23.9% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5% 23.5% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruzeiro's form might have worsened.
  • Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palestino's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+20.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruzeiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palestino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cruzeiro - Palestino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (1.62)
    3.34
    (3.9)
    2.83
    (5)
    5.5%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Palestino?
  • Users Predictions: Cruzeiro will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruzeiro will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cruzeiro is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Palestino has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Palestino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cruzeiro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Palestino were as follows:
    24.04.2025 Palestino - Cruzeiro 2:1
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    11.05.2025 Sport Recife - Cruzeiro 0:4
    07.05.2025 Mushuc Runa - Cruzeiro 1:1
    04.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Flamengo 2:1
    01.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Vila Nova 2:0
    27.04.2025 Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama 1:0
    Latest results of Palestino
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2