Result
04/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 20
Chances of winning
UD San Fernando 50.8% | Draw 27.1% | Panadería Pulido 22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Panadería Pulido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panadería Pulido than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
UD San Fernando - Panadería Pulido Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.8 ↓ (1.97) |
3.37 ↑ (3.21) |
4.13 ↑ (3.45) |
9.4% (11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UD San Fernando won 1.
- UD San Fernando is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Panadería is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Panadería may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, UD San Fernando is considered a favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, UD San Fernando won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, UD San Fernando won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has UD San Fernando won against Panadería Pulido?
UD San Fernando has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Panadería Pulido won against UD San Fernando?
Panadería Pulido has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UD San Fernando - Panadería Pulido were as follows:
20.09.2025
Panadería Pulido
-
UD San Fernando
0:0
Latest results of UD San Fernando
Latest results of Panadería Pulido
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Paso | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 36:14 | 22 | 49 |
| 2 | Tenerife C | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 44:26 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | Tamaraceite | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 4 | Panaderia | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 38:20 | 18 | 44 |
| 5 | San Fernando | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 31:18 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Mensajero | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 39:24 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Lanzarote | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 36:29 | 7 | 35 |
| 8 | Las Palmas C | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 44:35 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Villa Santa Brigida | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 28:23 | 5 | 34 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 11 | CD Marino | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 38:28 | 10 | 32 |
| 12 | Yaiza | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 24:32 | -8 | 25 |
| 13 | Arucas | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 22:32 | -10 | 24 |
| 14 | San Miguel | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 23 |
| 15 | Herbania | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:43 | -14 | 21 |
| 16 | San Bartolome | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 17:41 | -24 | 21 |
| 17 | Telde | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 19:51 | -32 | 17 |
| 18 | SD Tenisca | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 20:51 | -31 | 16 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )
Relegation