Result
1:2
22/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 26
- Referee: Papapetrou A. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 2.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (210/286) | 86% (446/518) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 2.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (210/286) | 86% (446/518) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (21/52) | 50% (26/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (45/85) | 80% (103/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.97 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | 0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', Alagbe O. 🟨,
- 24', Andino S. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 1, Zaroury A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+5', 0 - 2, Tetteh A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', Munoz Mumo ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
- 61', Chidera O. M. ↓, Macheda F. ↑,
- 65', Kotsiras G. ↓, Pantelidis P. ↑,
- 70', Emmanouilidis D. ↓, Mitrovic S. ↑,
- 71', Tetteh A. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
- 71', Andino S. ↓, Jagusic A. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 2, Ingason S. I. (Own goal),
- 83', Sylla I. ↓, Pomonis K. ↑,
- 83', Almyras C. ↓, Grammenos D. ↑,
- 84', Ingason S. I. ↓, Gnezda Cerin A. ↑,
- 84', Siopis M. ↓, Djuricic F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Asteras Tripolis
16.7% | Draw
26.5% | Panathinaikos
56.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Asteras Tripolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Panathinaikos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Asteras Tripolis - Panathinaikos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.52 ↓
(6) |
3.51 ↓
(3.87) |
1.66 ↑
(1.52) |
6.9%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis - Panathinaikos?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Asteras Tripolis will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Panathinaikos will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panathinaikos: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Asteras Tripolis (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Asteras Tripolis (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Asteras Tripolis (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )
- Panathinaikos is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Asteras Tripolis won 1.
- Asteras Tripolis has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Panathinaikos is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Panathinaikos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Panathinaikos is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Asteras Tripolis: Chicco J.
(Inactive)
Gioacchini N.
(Inactive)
Mendieta J.
(Inactive)
Papadopoulos N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Panathinaikos: Dessers C.
(Thigh Injury)
Kontouris S.
(Yellow Cards)
Kyriopoulos G.
(Knee Injury)
Palmer-Brown E.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Asteras Tripolis: Triantafyllopoulos K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Panathinaikos: Katris G.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Asteras Tripolis won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Asteras Tripolis won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Asteras Tripolis won against Panathinaikos?
Asteras Tripolis has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Panathinaikos won against Asteras Tripolis?
Panathinaikos has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Asteras Tripolis - Panathinaikos were as follows:
26.10.2025
Panathinaikos
-
Asteras Tripolis
2:0
08.12.2024
Asteras Tripolis
-
Panathinaikos
0:1
18.08.2024
Panathinaikos
-
Asteras Tripolis
0:1
21.01.2024
Panathinaikos
-
Asteras Tripolis
2:0
28.09.2023
Asteras Tripolis
-
Panathinaikos
1:4
Latest results of Asteras Tripolis
Latest results of Panathinaikos
Greek Super League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 9 | Atromitos | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 27:31 | -4 | 31 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:40 | -13 | 30 |
| 11 | Kifisia | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 33:44 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:44 | -20 | 23 |
| 13 | Panserraikos | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18:56 | -38 | 21 |
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 25:42 | -17 | 21 |
Relegation ~ Super League 2
