Result
2:0
26/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 8
- Referee: Tzilos T. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Australia | ANT1 Pacific |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Usa | ANT1 Satellite |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (411/466) | 81% (281/348) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (411/466) | 81% (281/348) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (24/47) | 48% (30/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (121/147) | 51% (33/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (8/31) | 0% (0/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Calabria D. ↓, Kotsiras G. ↑,
- 45+4', Fernandez D. 🟨,
- 45+5', 1 - 0, Swiderski K. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Alho N. 🟨,
- 53', Djuricic F. 🟨,
- 56', Alho N. ↓, Pomonis K. ↑,
- 58', Chirivella P. 🟨,
- 66', Swiderski K. ↓, Sanches R. ↑,
- 67', Zaroury A. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
- 67', Emmanouilidis D. ↓, Gioacchini N. ↑,
- 67', Pomonis K. 🟨,
- 68', 2 - 0, Chicco J. (Own goal),
- 76', Bartolo J. ↓, Munoz Mumo ↑,
- 76', Chicco J. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,
- 82', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Mladenovic F. ↑,
- 83', Gnezda Cerin A. ↓, Siopis M. ↑,
- 90+2', Sanches R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Panathinaikos
75% | Draw
16.7% | Asteras Tripolis
8.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Panathinaikos's performance.Asteras Tripolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Panathinaikos - Asteras Tripolis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.26 ↓
(1.35) |
5.54 ↑
(4.33) |
11.04 ↑
(10) |
6.6%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Panathinaikos - Asteras Tripolis?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Panathinaikos will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Asteras Tripolis will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panathinaikos: 76.1% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Panathinaikos (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Panathinaikos will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Panathinaikos (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ) and 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 3.
- Panathinaikos has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Asteras Tripolis is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Asteras Tripolis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Panathinaikos is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Panathinaikos: Bokos I. G.
(Inactive)
Dessers C.
(Injury)
Kyriopoulos G.
(Knee Injury)
Pellistri F.
(Knock)
Sanches R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Asteras Tripolis: Sylla I.
(Inactive)
Tsintotas P.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Panathinaikos won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 0.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Panathinaikos won against Asteras Tripolis?
Panathinaikos has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Asteras Tripolis won against Panathinaikos?
Asteras Tripolis has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Panathinaikos - Asteras Tripolis were as follows:
08.12.2024
Asteras Tripolis
-
Panathinaikos
0:1
18.08.2024
Panathinaikos
-
Asteras Tripolis
0:1
21.01.2024
Panathinaikos
-
Asteras Tripolis
2:0
28.09.2023
Asteras Tripolis
-
Panathinaikos
1:4
30.01.2023
Asteras Tripolis
-
Panathinaikos
1:0
Latest results of Panathinaikos
Latest results of Asteras Tripolis
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AEK Athens ✔ | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 41:13 | 28 | 52 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 40:10 | 30 | 50 |
| 3 | PAOK | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 42:14 | 28 | 47 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 49:29 | 20 | 39 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 36 |
| 6 | Aris | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 28 |
| 7 | Volos | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 21:32 | -11 | 26 |
| 8 | OFI Crete | 21 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 27:37 | -10 | 25 |
| 9 | Atromitos | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22:36 | -14 | 21 |
| 11 | Kifisia | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 27:33 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21:34 | -13 | 21 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 16 |
| 14 | Panserraikos | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 14:53 | -39 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
