Result
0:5
14/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 14
- Referee: Papapetrou A. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 2.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (281/340) | 88% (461/525) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 2.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 4.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (281/340) | 88% (461/525) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (30/52) | 50% (17/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (55/81) | 78% (115/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.96 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 26', 0 - 1, Pineda O. ⚽,
- 32', Rota L. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 2, Joao Mario ⚽, Ljubicic R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Bouchalakis A. ↓, Agapakis G. ↑,
- 46', Smyrlis L. ↓, Nikolaou E. ↑,
- 62', 0 - 3, Ljubicic R. ⚽, Kaloskamis D. (A),
- 63', Kaloskamis D. ↓, Koita A. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 4, Ljubicic R. ⚽, Rota L. (A),
- 68', Relvas F. ↓, Chrysopoulos K. ↑,
- 68', Joao Mario ↓, Grujic M. ↑,
- 68', Jovic L. ↓, Eliasson N. ↑,
- 72', Esteban Diego ↓, Belevonis C. ↑,
- 72', Aleksic K. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
- 75', Grujic M. 🟨,
- 77', Garcia U. 🟨,
- 77', 0 - 5, Chrysopoulos K. ⚽, Eliasson N. (A),
- 80', Penrice J. ↓, Pilios S. ↑,
- 81', Agapakis G. 🟨,
- 89', Kojic L. ↓, Manos C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Panetolikos
11.3% | Draw
21.1% | AEK Athens
67.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panetolikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panetolikos than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Panetolikos - AEK Athens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.26 ↓
(8.8) |
4.44 ↓
(4.45) |
1.39 ↑
(1.37) |
6.5%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Panetolikos - AEK Athens?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Panetolikos will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). AEK will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 30.4% – 86.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Panetolikos (7.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AEK Athens will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Panetolikos (votes: 1 - 20%). AEK (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panetolikos won 1.
- Panetolikos has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- AEK is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- AEK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, AEK is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panetolikos won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 12:41. (average 0.6:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Panetolikos won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Panetolikos won against AEK Athens?
Panetolikos has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against Panetolikos?
AEK Athens has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Panetolikos - AEK Athens were as follows:
02.11.2025
AEK Athens
-
Panetolikos
1:0
24.09.2025
AEK Athens
-
Panetolikos
2:1
25.01.2025
AEK Athens
-
Panetolikos
1:0
05.10.2024
Panetolikos
-
AEK Athens
1:0
18.12.2023
Panetolikos
-
AEK Athens
2:2
Latest results of Panetolikos
Latest results of AEK Athens
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 42:11 | 31 | 53 |
| 2 | AEK Athens ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 53 |
| 3 | PAOK ✔ | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 44:14 | 30 | 50 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 49:30 | 19 | 39 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:23 | 11 | 39 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 22 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 7 | Aris | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
| 8 | Atromitos | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 24:27 | -3 | 27 |
| 9 | Volos | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28:33 | -5 | 24 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 22:37 | -15 | 21 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 21:37 | -16 | 21 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis ✔ | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20:37 | -17 | 16 |
| 14 | Panserraikos ✔ | 23 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15:55 | -40 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Olympiacos Piraeus is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
PAOK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )
Panserraikos is Super League (Relegation Group )
