Result
1:0
24/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 18
- Referee: Kokkinos G. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (254/341) | 73% (223/305) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (254/341) | 73% (223/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (16/46) | 39% (24/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (81/126) | 40% (23/57) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Kalinin I. 🟨,
- 18', Riera A. 🟨,
- 18', Sourlis V. 🟨,
- 44', Olafsson D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', 1 - 0, Sagal A. ⚽,
- 50', Iliadis T. 🟨,
- 54', Ivan A. ↓, Alex Teixeira ↑,
- 57', Garate L. 🟨,
- 63', Garate L. ↓, Naor G. ↑,
- 67', Pantelakis E. 🟨,
- 67', Alex Teixeira 🟨,
- 69', Doiranlis G. ↓, Ben Sallam S. ↑,
- 76', Atanasov J. ↓, Chatzistravos Z. ↑,
- 79', De Marco V. ↓, Maskanakis A. ↑,
- 80', Riera A. ↓, Brooks E. ↑,
- 87', Pantelakis E. ↓, Kossonou A. ↑,
- 87', Tupta L. ↓, Mourgos S. ↑,
- 87', Sagal A. ↓, Pasas G. ↑,
- 90+1', Lyratzis L. 🟨,
- 90+6', Brooks E. 🟥,
Chances of winning
AEL Larissa
51.4% | Draw
29.5% | Panserraikos
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEL Larissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Panserraikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panserraikos than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
AEL Larissa - Panserraikos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.8) |
3.18 ↓
(3.4) |
4.99 ↑
(4.41) |
6%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for AEL Larissa - Panserraikos?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Larissa will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Larissa: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AEL Larissa will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 1.
- Recent performances by Larissa have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Panserraikos has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Larissa is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Larissa: Perez F.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Panserraikos: Galvan B. A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Panserraikos: Sofianos M.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 0.9:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Larissa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Larissa won against Panserraikos?
AEL Larissa has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Panserraikos won against AEL Larissa?
Panserraikos has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEL Larissa - Panserraikos were as follows:
25.10.2025
Panserraikos
-
AEL Larissa
0:2
12.08.2025
AEL Larissa
-
Panserraikos
1:1
26.09.2024
AEL Larissa
-
Panserraikos
0:1
11.08.2024
Panserraikos
-
AEL Larissa
0:0
03.05.2023
AEL Larissa
-
Panserraikos
0:0
Latest results of AEL Larissa
Latest results of Panserraikos
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 42:11 | 31 | 53 |
| 2 | AEK Athens ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 53 |
| 3 | PAOK ✔ | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 44:14 | 30 | 50 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 49:30 | 19 | 39 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:23 | 11 | 39 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 22 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 7 | Aris | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
| 8 | Atromitos | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 24:27 | -3 | 27 |
| 9 | Volos | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28:33 | -5 | 24 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 22:37 | -15 | 21 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 21:37 | -16 | 21 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis ✔ | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20:37 | -17 | 16 |
| 14 | Panserraikos ✔ | 23 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15:55 | -40 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Olympiacos Piraeus is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
PAOK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )
Panserraikos is Super League (Relegation Group )
