Result
0:2
25/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 8
- Referee: Gioumatzidis M. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (205/301) | 82% (392/480) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (205/301) | 82% (392/480) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/53) | 51% (37/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (33/66) | 69% (91/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 15% (4/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.06 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 37', 0 - 1, Bagalianis P. ⚽,
- 40', Staikos P. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 2, Warda A. ⚽, Papageorgiou A. (A),
- 45+4', Lyratzis L. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Banjaqui Z. ↓, Maras A. ↑,
- 46', Green A. ↓, Georgiadis C. ↑,
- 46', Staikos P. ↓, Chatzistravos Z. ↑,
- 59', Kalinin I. ↓, Tsaousis M. ↑,
- 59', Ivan A. ↓, Karelis N. ↑,
- 63', Mourgos S. ↓, Sagal A. ↑,
- 63', Warda A. ↓, Tupta L. ↑,
- 66', Nunnely C. 🟨,
- 66', Perez F. 🟨,
- 70', Chatzistravos Z. 🟨,
- 73', Perez F. ↓, Sourlis V. ↑,
- 76', Liasos A. ↓, Omeonga S. ↑,
- 80', Pasas G. ↓, Garate L. ↑,
- 87', Omeonga S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Panserraikos
40% | Draw
31% | AEL Larissa
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panserraikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Panserraikos's form might have worsened.AEL Larissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panserraikos than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Panserraikos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Panserraikos - AEL Larissa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.06) |
3.04 ↓
(3.2) |
3.26 ↓
(3.75) |
6%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Panserraikos - AEL Larissa?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Panserraikos will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Larissa will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 54.1% – 91.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panserraikos won 2.
- Recent performances by Panserraikos have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Larissa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Larissa has had a series of home games.
- Panserraikos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Panserraikos: Armougom Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Galvan B. A.
(Injury)
Guillaumier M.
(Inactive)
Leo J.
(Knock)
Omeonga S.
(Inactive)
Sofianos M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Larissa: Ferigra E.
(Injury)
Sourlis V.
(Inactive)
Venetikidis T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Larissa: Deligiannidis P.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Panserraikos won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Panserraikos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Panserraikos won against AEL Larissa?
Panserraikos has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Larissa won against Panserraikos?
AEL Larissa has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Panserraikos - AEL Larissa were as follows:
12.08.2025
AEL Larissa
-
Panserraikos
1:1
26.09.2024
AEL Larissa
-
Panserraikos
0:1
11.08.2024
Panserraikos
-
AEL Larissa
0:0
03.05.2023
AEL Larissa
-
Panserraikos
0:0
22.12.2022
Panserraikos
-
AEL Larissa
2:1
Latest results of Panserraikos
Latest results of AEL Larissa
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PAOK | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | AEK Athens FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 | Aris | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 12 |
| 5 | Levadiakos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | Panathinaikos | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Volos | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 | Atromitos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Kifisia | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 11 | AEL Larissa | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | OFI Crete | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 13 | Panserraikos | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
