Result
1:1
22/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 22
- Referee: Tsimenteridis S. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2, ERT Sports 2 |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 2.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (292/367) | 84% (471/559) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 2.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (292/367) | 84% (471/559) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/52) | 48% (35/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (67/87) | 68% (98/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 40% (4/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Chatsidis D. ⚽,
- 34', Batubinsika D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Pavlenka J. ↓, Tsiftsis A. ↑,
- 59', Sisto P. ↓, Kakuta G. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Sagal A. ⚽, Kakuta G. (A),
- 63', Atanasov J. 🟨,
- 68', Chatsidis D. ↓, Jeremejeff A. ↑,
- 68', Ozdoev M. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 74', Macon Y. 🟨,
- 75', Anagnostopoulos A. 🟨,
- 82', Sagal A. ↓, Mourgos S. ↑,
- 87', Sanchez J. ↓, Kenny J. ↑,
- 89', Macon Y. ↓, Apostolakis K. ↑,
- 89', Tupta L. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
Chances of winning
AEL Larissa
10.5% | Draw
20.5% | PAOK
69% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for AEL Larissa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
AEL Larissa - PAOK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9.09 ↑
(8.83) |
4.61 ↑
(4.3) |
1.35 ↓
(1.37) |
6.6%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AEL Larissa - PAOK?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Larissa will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). PAOK will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. PAOK (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.25 - Larissa (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Larissa (votes: 1 - 33.3%). PAOK (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 0.
- Larissa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- PAOK has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- PAOK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, PAOK is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Larissa: Melissas N.
(Inactive)
Pantelakis E.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in PAOK: Despodov K.
(Injury)
Ivanusec L.
(Toe Injury)
Meite S.
(Injury)
Pelkas D.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 9:34. (average 0.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Larissa won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Larissa won against PAOK?
AEL Larissa has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has PAOK won against AEL Larissa?
PAOK has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEL Larissa - PAOK were as follows:
29.10.2025
PAOK
-
AEL Larissa
4:1
24.08.2025
PAOK
-
AEL Larissa
1:0
Latest results of AEL Larissa
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 42:11 | 31 | 53 |
| 2 | AEK Athens ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 53 |
| 3 | PAOK ✔ | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 44:14 | 30 | 50 |
| 4 | Panathinaikos | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 38:24 | 14 | 42 |
| 5 | Levadiakos | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 49:30 | 19 | 39 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 23 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 28 |
| 7 | Aris | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
| 8 | Atromitos | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 24:27 | -3 | 27 |
| 9 | Volos | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28:33 | -5 | 24 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 22:37 | -15 | 21 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 21:37 | -16 | 21 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis ✔ | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20:37 | -17 | 16 |
| 14 | Panserraikos ✔ | 23 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15:55 | -40 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Olympiacos Piraeus is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
PAOK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )
Panserraikos is Super League (Relegation Group )
